Primera División RFEF - Group 2 · Group 2 - 7
Atlético Madrid IIvsZaragoza
Real Scored · Match preview
Match prediction · 11 October 2026
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THE PREDICTION
Our match outlook
Over 1.5 goalsBased on 10 previous home-team games and 10 previous away-team games. Small samples provide less evidence.
Prediction saved
Match information
- Competition
- Primera División RFEF - Group 2
- Venue
- To be confirmed
- Status
- Not Started
- Score
- Not started
- 90-minute score
- —
- Last updated
Goals and cards
Goals
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Cards
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Lineups
Lineups have not been supplied yet. Confirmed selections appear here when available.
Real Scored match analysis
Atlético Madrid II vs Zaragoza: match review and analysis
Atlético Madrid II vs Zaragoza in Primera División RFEF - Group 2 on 11 October 2026. Compare recent results, goal trends and league positions in this match preview.
Real Scored brings together the match information, available team results and current standings below. The saved pre-match selection is Over 1.5 goals.
Atlético Madrid II recorded 2 wins, 3 draws and 5 losses in the 10 games used here, scoring 12 and conceding 13. Zaragoza recorded 8 wins, 0 draws and 2 losses, with 20 scored and 10 conceded across 10 games.
| Statistic | Atlético Madrid II | Zaragoza |
|---|---|---|
| Games | 10 | 10 |
| Wins | 2 | 8 |
| Draws | 3 | 0 |
| Losses | 5 | 2 |
| Goals scored | 12 | 20 |
| Goals conceded | 13 | 10 |
| Over 1.5 games | 7 | 8 |
Why this selection?
The calculation combines each team’s recent attacking record with the opposing defence. Newer games receive more weight, and results at the same home or away venue receive extra weight.
Atlético Madrid II: (1.43 weighted goals scored + 1.05 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 1.24 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
Zaragoza: (2.08 weighted goals scored + 1.48 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 1.78 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
The combined scoring outlook makes at least two total goals the strongest of the four options compared. Either team can score those goals. It ranked highest when comparing the three double-chance options with Over 1.5 using a Poisson goal model.
Model goals are estimates from past scores, not shot-based expected goals. These form records were saved with the prediction before kickoff. League position is context below and is not an input to this goal model. Injuries, lineups and odds are not included.
Recent results and goal trends
LAST 10 GAMES
Atlético Madrid II recent form
1.20 goals scored and 1.30 conceded per game. 7 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Real Madrid IIPrimera División RFEF - Group 2 | Away | 2–3 | Lost | |
| Villarreal IIPrimera División RFEF - Group 2 | Home | 1–3 | Lost | |
| HuescaPrimera División RFEF - Group 2 | Away | 0–0 | Draw | |
| Real MurciaPrimera División RFEF - Group 2 | Home | 4–0 | Won | |
| HérculesPrimera División RFEF - Group 2 | Away | 2–0 | Won | |
| Juventud TorremolinosPrimera División RFEF - Group 2 | Home | 2–2 | Draw | |
| MirandesFriendlies Clubs | Home | 1–2 | Lost | |
| Gimnástica SegovianaFriendlies Clubs | Away | 0–2 | Lost | |
| PonferradinaPrimera División RFEF - Play Offs | Home | 0–1 | Lost | |
| PonferradinaPrimera División RFEF - Play Offs | Away | 0–0 | Draw |
Scores shown from Atlético Madrid II’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.
LAST 10 GAMES
Zaragoza recent form
2.00 goals scored and 1.00 conceded per game. 8 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| TeruelPrimera División RFEF - Group 2 | Home | 4–1 | Won | |
| IbizaPrimera División RFEF - Group 2 | Away | 2–0 | Won | |
| FC CartagenaPrimera División RFEF - Group 2 | Home | 1–0 | Won | |
| Juventud TorremolinosPrimera División RFEF - Group 2 | Away | 4–3 | Won | |
| AntequeraPrimera División RFEF - Group 2 | Home | 1–0 | Won | |
| GimnasticPrimera División RFEF - Group 2 | Away | 0–2 | Lost | |
| NumanciaFriendlies Clubs | Away | 1–2 | Lost | |
| Athletic ClubFriendlies Clubs | Home | 3–1 | Won | |
| Villarreal IIFriendlies Clubs | Away | 2–0 | Won | |
| UD LogroñésFriendlies Clubs | Away | 2–1 | Won |
Scores shown from Zaragoza’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.
LEAGUE CONTEXT
Primera División RFEF - Group 2 — current table
Season 2026 · Latest stored table, updated . Refresh delayed; showing the last available table. This table may include games played after this prediction was made.
Zaragoza are ranked 1 in Segunda B: Group 2, with 15 points from 6 games.
Atlético Madrid II are ranked 12 in Segunda B: Group 2, with 8 points from 6 games.
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Zaragoza | 6 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 6 | 6 | 15 |
| 2 | Villarreal II | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 12 | 6 | 6 | 13 |
| 3 | Alcorcon | 6 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 13 | 4 | 9 | 12 |
| 4 | Real Murcia | 6 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 7 | 3 | 12 |
| 5 | FC Cartagena | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 9 | 4 | 5 | 11 |
| 6 | Real Jaén | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 8 | 5 | 3 | 11 |
| 7 | Ibiza | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 9 | 9 | 0 | 10 |
| 8 | Hércules | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 5 | 0 | 10 |
| 9 | Antequera | 6 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 10 | 8 | 2 | 9 |
| 10 | Real Madrid II | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 8 | 7 | 1 | 9 |
| 11 | Huesca | 6 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 7 | 7 | 0 | 9 |
| 12 | Atlético Madrid II | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 11 | 8 | 3 | 8 |
| 13 | Sant Andreu | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 7 | 7 | 0 | 8 |
| 14 | Gimnastic | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 7 | 9 | -2 | 7 |
| 15 | Algeciras | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 8 | 11 | -3 | 7 |
| 16 | Águilas | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 10 | -5 | 5 |
| 17 | Rayo Majadahonda | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 5 | 7 | -2 | 4 |
| 18 | Europa Fc | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 10 | -6 | 4 |
| 19 | Teruel | 6 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 12 | -10 | 2 |
| 20 | Juventud Torremolinos | 6 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 6 | 16 | -10 | 1 |
P: played · W: wins · D: draws · L: losses · GF/GA: goals for/against · GD: goal difference · Pts: points. Highlighted rows identify this match’s teams.
About this prediction
We compare each team’s recent goals scored and conceded, giving more weight to recent games and the same home or away venue. A goal model then chooses double chance or Over 1.5 goals. Predictions can change before kickoff and are not guaranteed results. Live scores refresh every 5 seconds.