Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group C · Group C - 5
Atlético MalveiravsFazendense
Real Scored · Match preview
Match prediction · 11 October 2026
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THE PREDICTION
Our match outlook
Over 1.5 goalsBased on 10 previous home-team games and 10 previous away-team games. Small samples provide less evidence.
Prediction saved
Match information
- Competition
- Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group C
- Venue
- Estadio das Seixas
- Status
- Not Started
- Score
- Not started
- 90-minute score
- —
- Last updated
Goals and cards
Goals
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Cards
Match events are not yet available.
Lineups
Lineups have not been supplied yet. Confirmed selections appear here when available.
Real Scored match analysis
Atlético Malveira vs Fazendense: match review and analysis
Atlético Malveira vs Fazendense in Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group C on 11 October 2026. Compare recent results, goal trends and league positions in this match preview.
Real Scored brings together the match information, available team results and current standings below. The saved pre-match selection is Over 1.5 goals.
Atlético Malveira recorded 1 wins, 5 draws and 4 losses in the 10 games used here, scoring 8 and conceding 16. Fazendense recorded 2 wins, 1 draws and 7 losses, with 13 scored and 21 conceded across 10 games.
| Statistic | Atlético Malveira | Fazendense |
|---|---|---|
| Games | 10 | 10 |
| Wins | 1 | 2 |
| Draws | 5 | 1 |
| Losses | 4 | 7 |
| Goals scored | 8 | 13 |
| Goals conceded | 16 | 21 |
| Over 1.5 games | 8 | 8 |
Why this selection?
The calculation combines each team’s recent attacking record with the opposing defence. Newer games receive more weight, and results at the same home or away venue receive extra weight.
Atlético Malveira: (1.05 weighted goals scored + 2.33 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 1.69 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
Fazendense: (1.35 weighted goals scored + 1.57 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 1.46 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
The combined scoring outlook makes at least two total goals the strongest of the four options compared. Either team can score those goals. It ranked highest when comparing the three double-chance options with Over 1.5 using a Poisson goal model.
Model goals are estimates from past scores, not shot-based expected goals. These form records were saved with the prediction before kickoff. League position is context below and is not an input to this goal model. Injuries, lineups and odds are not included.
Recent results and goal trends
LAST 10 GAMES
Atlético Malveira recent form
0.80 goals scored and 1.60 conceded per game. 8 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| SertanenseCampeonato de Portugal Prio - Group C | Away | 1–1 | Draw | |
| NazarenosCampeonato de Portugal Prio - Group C | Home | 3–0 | Won | |
| MafraTaça de Portugal | Home | 2–2 | Draw | |
| FátimaCampeonato de Portugal Prio - Group C | Away | 0–5 | Lost | |
| Os MarialvasCampeonato de Portugal Prio - Group C | Home | 0–1 | Lost | |
| Oliveira HospitalCampeonato de Portugal Prio - Promotion Round | Away | 1–1 | Draw | |
| Vitória de SernacheCampeonato de Portugal Prio - Promotion Round | Home | 0–3 | Lost | |
| LouletanoCampeonato de Portugal Prio - Promotion Round | Away | 1–1 | Draw | |
| Oliveira HospitalCampeonato de Portugal Prio - Promotion Round | Home | 0–2 | Lost | |
| Vitória de SernacheCampeonato de Portugal Prio - Promotion Round | Away | 0–0 | Draw |
Scores shown from Atlético Malveira’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.
LAST 10 GAMES
Fazendense recent form
1.30 goals scored and 2.10 conceded per game. 8 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FC Alverca IICampeonato de Portugal Prio - Group C | Away | 0–5 | Lost | |
| Ginásio FigueirenseTaça de Portugal | Home | 6–1 | Won | |
| O ElvasCampeonato de Portugal Prio - Group C | Home | 1–2 | Lost | |
| MortáguaCampeonato de Portugal Prio - Group C | Away | 1–2 | Lost | |
| MocarrienseTaça de Portugal | Home | 1–0 | Won | |
| AD NogueirenseCampeonato de Portugal Prio - Group C | Home | 3–3 | Draw | |
| MirandelaTaça de Portugal | Home | 1–2 | Lost | |
| SintrenseTaça de Portugal | Away | 0–1 | Lost | |
| 1º DezembroTaça de Portugal | Home | 0–2 | Lost | |
| CaldasTaça de Portugal | Home | 0–3 | Lost |
Scores shown from Fazendense’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.
LEAGUE CONTEXT
Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group C — current table
Season 2026 · Latest stored table, updated . Refresh delayed; showing the last available table. This table may include games played after this prediction was made.
Atlético Malveira are ranked 10 in II Divisao: Group C, with 4 points from 4 games.
Fazendense are ranked 13 in II Divisao: Group C, with 1 points from 4 games.
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Mortágua | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 9 | 4 | 5 | 10 |
| 2 | O Elvas | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 2 | 4 | 10 |
| 3 | Oliveira Hospital | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 4 | 2 | 9 |
| 4 | Os Marialvas | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 2 | 6 | 9 |
| 5 | UD da Serra | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 6 | 4 | 2 | 8 |
| 6 | Naval 1893 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 4 | 2 | 6 |
| 7 | AD Nogueirense | 4 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 8 | 7 | 1 | 6 |
| 8 | Benfica Castelo Branco | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 9 | -2 | 6 |
| 9 | Fátima | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 5 | 1 | 4 |
| 10 | Atlético Malveira | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 7 | -3 | 4 |
| 11 | FC Alverca II | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 6 | 4 | 2 | 3 |
| 12 | Sertanense | 4 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 7 | -4 | 2 |
| 13 | Fazendense | 4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 12 | -7 | 1 |
| 14 | Nazarenos | 4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 10 | -9 | 0 |
P: played · W: wins · D: draws · L: losses · GF/GA: goals for/against · GD: goal difference · Pts: points. Highlighted rows identify this match’s teams.
About this prediction
We compare each team’s recent goals scored and conceded, giving more weight to recent games and the same home or away venue. A goal model then chooses double chance or Over 1.5 goals. Predictions can change before kickoff and are not guaranteed results. Live scores refresh every 5 seconds.