Serie A · Regular Season - 21
Atletico-MG1–0RB Bragantino
Real Scored · Match result
Match prediction · 3 October 2026
Match Finished
This match has finished. Go back home for the latest fixtures →
THE PREDICTION
Our match outlook
Over 1.5 goalsLost
Based on 10 previous home-team games and 10 previous away-team games. Small samples provide less evidence.
Prediction saved
Match information
- Competition
- Serie A
- Venue
- Arena MRV
- Status
- Match Finished
- Score
- 1–0
- 90-minute score
- 1–0
- Last updated
Goals and cards
Goals
- 18′BernardNormal GoalAtletico-MG
Cards
- 84′Ignacio SosaYellow CardRB BragantinoFoul
- 90+6′FredYellow CardAtletico-MGFoul
Events updated
Lineups
Atletico-MG
Formation: 4-2-3-1
Coach: Eduardo Dominguez
Starting XI
- 1Gabriel DelfimG
- 2NatanaelD
- 13LyancoD
- 14Vitor HugoD
- 6R. LodiD
- 39M. CisseM
- 8MayconM
- 28CuelloM
- 7FredM
- 11BernardM
- 19ReinierF
Substitutes
- 31RobertG
- 34Samuel
- 3L. DuarteD
- 30Victor HugoM
- 5AlexsanderM
- 17Igor GomesM
- 25T. PerezM
- 38IndioM
- 48GutteM
- 9M. CassierraF
- 92DuduF
- 29CauaF
RB Bragantino
Formation: 4-1-4-1
Coach: Mancini Vagner
Starting XI
- 18Tiago VolpiG
- 23A. Sant'AnnaD
- 2G. RodriguezD
- 16Gustavo MarquesD
- 29Juninho CapixabaD
- 4Alix ViniciusM
- 47Wallace YanM
- 7Eric RamiresM
- 5FabinhoM
- 11Fernando SantosM
- 8Eduardo SashaF
Substitutes
- 1CleitonG
- 3Eduardo SantosD
- 12VanderlanD
- 19BruninhoF
- 15I. SosaM
- 6GabrielM
- 35Matheus FernandesM
- 9I. PittaF
- 30H. MosqueraF
- 17VinicinhoF
- 21Lucas BarbosaM
- 32J. HerreraF
G: goalkeeper · D: defender · M: midfielder · F: forward. Select a player to view their profile.
Lineups updated
Real Scored match analysis
Atletico-MG vs RB Bragantino: match review and analysis
Atletico-MG vs RB Bragantino in Serie A on 3 October 2026 has finished at full time. The match goal score was 1–0. Review the team form and league context below.
Real Scored brings together the match information, available team results and current standings below. The saved pre-match selection is Over 1.5 goals.
Atletico-MG recorded 4 wins, 4 draws and 2 losses in the 10 games used here, scoring 15 and conceding 13. RB Bragantino recorded 2 wins, 3 draws and 5 losses, with 10 scored and 14 conceded across 10 games.
| Statistic | Atletico-MG | RB Bragantino |
|---|---|---|
| Games | 10 | 10 |
| Wins | 4 | 2 |
| Draws | 4 | 3 |
| Losses | 2 | 5 |
| Goals scored | 15 | 10 |
| Goals conceded | 13 | 14 |
| Over 1.5 games | 9 | 7 |
Why this selection?
The calculation combines each team’s recent attacking record with the opposing defence. Newer games receive more weight, and results at the same home or away venue receive extra weight.
Atletico-MG: (1.80 weighted goals scored + 1.53 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 1.67 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
RB Bragantino: (1.09 weighted goals scored + 1.33 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 1.21 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
The combined scoring outlook makes at least two total goals the strongest of the four options compared. Either team can score those goals. It ranked highest when comparing the three double-chance options with Over 1.5 using a Poisson goal model.
Model goals are estimates from past scores, not shot-based expected goals. These form records were saved with the prediction before kickoff. League position is context below and is not an input to this goal model. Injuries, lineups and odds are not included.
Recent results and goal trends
LAST 10 GAMES
Atletico-MG recent form
1.50 goals scored and 1.30 conceded per game. 9 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chapecoense-scSerie A | Home | 1–1 | Draw | |
| SantosCONMEBOL Sudamericana | Home | 4–2 | Won | |
| FluminenseSerie A | Home | 3–1 | Won | |
| SantosCONMEBOL Sudamericana | Away | 0–2 | Lost | |
| Sao PauloSerie A | Away | 0–2 | Lost | |
| CruzeiroCopa Do Brasil | Home | 2–1 | Won | |
| VitoriaSerie A | Home | 2–1 | Won | |
| CruzeiroCopa Do Brasil | Away | 1–1 | Draw | |
| InternacionalSerie A | Away | 0–0 | Draw | |
| RB BragantinoCONMEBOL Sudamericana | Home | 2–2 | Draw |
Scores shown from Atletico-MG’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.
LAST 10 GAMES
RB Bragantino recent form
1.00 goals scored and 1.40 conceded per game. 7 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FlamengoSerie A | Away | 1–2 | Lost | |
| BotafogoSerie A | Away | 1–1 | Draw | |
| BahiaSerie A | Home | 2–3 | Lost | |
| Sao PauloSerie A | Away | 1–2 | Lost | |
| GremioSerie A | Home | 1–0 | Won | |
| Atletico-MGCONMEBOL Sudamericana | Away | 2–2 | Draw | |
| Atletico ParanaenseSerie A | Away | 1–1 | Draw | |
| Atletico-MGCONMEBOL Sudamericana | Home | 0–1 | Lost | |
| CorinthiansSerie A | Home | 0–2 | Lost | |
| Sporting CristalCONMEBOL Sudamericana | Home | 1–0 | Won |
Scores shown from RB Bragantino’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.
LEAGUE CONTEXT
Serie A — current table
Season 2026 · Latest stored table, updated . Refresh delayed; showing the last available table. This table may include games played after this prediction was made.
Atletico-MG are ranked 7 in Serie A, with 43 points from 28 games.
RB Bragantino are ranked 10 in Serie A, with 37 points from 29 games.
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Flamengo | 28 | 18 | 6 | 4 | 55 | 23 | 32 | 60 |
| 2 | Palmeiras | 28 | 16 | 9 | 3 | 47 | 21 | 26 | 57 |
| 3 | Atletico Paranaense | 28 | 14 | 7 | 7 | 43 | 32 | 11 | 49 |
| 4 | Cruzeiro | 29 | 14 | 6 | 9 | 44 | 40 | 4 | 48 |
| 5 | Fluminense | 28 | 13 | 9 | 6 | 44 | 36 | 8 | 48 |
| 6 | Bahia | 28 | 12 | 10 | 6 | 43 | 35 | 8 | 46 |
| 7 | Atletico-MG | 28 | 12 | 7 | 9 | 37 | 32 | 5 | 43 |
| 8 | Santos | 28 | 11 | 8 | 9 | 43 | 41 | 2 | 41 |
| 9 | Coritiba | 28 | 10 | 8 | 10 | 37 | 43 | -6 | 38 |
| 10 | RB Bragantino | 29 | 10 | 7 | 12 | 34 | 33 | 1 | 37 |
| 11 | Sao Paulo | 29 | 10 | 6 | 13 | 33 | 34 | -1 | 36 |
| 12 | Vitoria | 29 | 10 | 6 | 13 | 32 | 42 | -10 | 36 |
| 13 | Botafogo | 29 | 9 | 8 | 12 | 42 | 47 | -5 | 35 |
| 14 | Vasco DA Gama | 28 | 9 | 7 | 12 | 36 | 42 | -6 | 34 |
| 15 | Mirassol | 29 | 8 | 9 | 12 | 34 | 43 | -9 | 33 |
| 16 | Corinthians | 29 | 8 | 8 | 13 | 30 | 34 | -4 | 32 |
| 17 | Internacional | 29 | 7 | 10 | 12 | 32 | 37 | -5 | 31 |
| 18 | Gremio | 29 | 7 | 9 | 13 | 31 | 39 | -8 | 30 |
| 19 | Remo | 29 | 5 | 9 | 15 | 33 | 48 | -15 | 24 |
| 20 | Chapecoense-sc | 28 | 3 | 9 | 16 | 29 | 57 | -28 | 18 |
P: played · W: wins · D: draws · L: losses · GF/GA: goals for/against · GD: goal difference · Pts: points. Highlighted rows identify this match’s teams.
About this prediction
We compare each team’s recent goals scored and conceded, giving more weight to recent games and the same home or away venue. A goal model then chooses double chance or Over 1.5 goals. Predictions can change before kickoff and are not guaranteed results. Live scores refresh every 5 seconds.