Tercera División RFEF - Group 14 · Group 14 - 5
Atlético Pueblonuevo0–0Puebla Calzada
Real Scored · Match result
Match prediction · 3 October 2026
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THE PREDICTION
Our match outlook
Over 1.5 goalsLost
Based on 10 previous home-team games and 10 previous away-team games. Small samples provide less evidence.
Prediction saved
Match information
- Competition
- Tercera División RFEF - Group 14
- Venue
- To be confirmed
- Status
- Match Finished
- Score
- 0–0
- 90-minute score
- 0–0
- Last updated
Goals and cards
Goals
Match events are not yet available.
Cards
Match events are not yet available.
Lineups
Lineups have not been supplied yet. Confirmed selections appear here when available.
Real Scored match analysis
Atlético Pueblonuevo vs Puebla Calzada: match review and analysis
Atlético Pueblonuevo vs Puebla Calzada in Tercera División RFEF - Group 14 on 3 October 2026 has finished at full time. The match goal score was 0–0. Review the team form and league context below.
Real Scored brings together the match information, available team results and current standings below. The saved pre-match selection is Over 1.5 goals.
Atlético Pueblonuevo recorded 3 wins, 3 draws and 4 losses in the 10 games used here, scoring 11 and conceding 15. Puebla Calzada recorded 4 wins, 1 draws and 5 losses, with 15 scored and 15 conceded across 10 games.
| Statistic | Atlético Pueblonuevo | Puebla Calzada |
|---|---|---|
| Games | 10 | 10 |
| Wins | 3 | 4 |
| Draws | 3 | 1 |
| Losses | 4 | 5 |
| Goals scored | 11 | 15 |
| Goals conceded | 15 | 15 |
| Over 1.5 games | 7 | 8 |
Why this selection?
The calculation combines each team’s recent attacking record with the opposing defence. Newer games receive more weight, and results at the same home or away venue receive extra weight.
Atlético Pueblonuevo: (1.16 weighted goals scored + 1.43 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 1.29 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
Puebla Calzada: (1.56 weighted goals scored + 1.50 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 1.53 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
The combined scoring outlook makes at least two total goals the strongest of the four options compared. Either team can score those goals. It ranked highest when comparing the three double-chance options with Over 1.5 using a Poisson goal model.
Model goals are estimates from past scores, not shot-based expected goals. These form records were saved with the prediction before kickoff. League position is context below and is not an input to this goal model. Injuries, lineups and odds are not included.
Recent results and goal trends
LAST 10 GAMES
Atlético Pueblonuevo recent form
1.10 goals scored and 1.50 conceded per game. 7 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| GévoraTercera División RFEF - Group 14 | Away | 1–3 | Lost | |
| Santa AmaliaTercera División RFEF - Group 14 | Away | 1–1 | Draw | |
| CD ZafraTercera División RFEF - Group 14 | Away | 1–4 | Lost | |
| JaraízTercera División RFEF - Group 14 | Away | 2–2 | Draw | |
| AzuagaTercera División RFEF - Group 14 | Home | 1–0 | Won | |
| GévoraTercera División RFEF - Group 14 | Away | 1–1 | Draw | |
| CalamonteTercera División RFEF - Group 14 | Home | 2–0 | Won | |
| Puebla CalzadaTercera División RFEF - Group 14 | Away | 1–3 | Lost | |
| JaraízTercera División RFEF - Group 14 | Home | 1–0 | Won | |
| MontehermosoTercera División RFEF - Group 14 | Away | 0–1 | Lost |
Scores shown from Atlético Pueblonuevo’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.
LAST 10 GAMES
Puebla Calzada recent form
1.50 goals scored and 1.50 conceded per game. 8 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| QuintanaTercera División RFEF - Group 14 | Home | 1–2 | Lost | |
| PlasenciaTercera División RFEF - Group 14 | Away | 3–0 | Won | |
| CastueraTercera División RFEF - Group 14 | Home | 2–0 | Won | |
| JerezTercera División RFEF - Group 14 | Away | 2–2 | Draw | |
| Cabeza BueyTercera División RFEF - Group 14 | Away | 0–1 | Lost | |
| LlerenenseTercera División RFEF - Group 14 | Home | 4–1 | Won | |
| BadajozTercera División RFEF - Group 14 | Away | 0–5 | Lost | |
| Atlético PueblonuevoTercera División RFEF - Group 14 | Home | 3–1 | Won | |
| MontijoTercera División RFEF - Group 14 | Away | 0–1 | Lost | |
| MoraloTercera División RFEF - Group 14 | Home | 0–2 | Lost |
Scores shown from Puebla Calzada’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.
LEAGUE CONTEXT
Tercera División RFEF - Group 14 — current table
Season 2026 · Latest stored table, updated . Refresh delayed; showing the last available table. This table may include games played after this prediction was made.
Puebla Calzada are ranked 5 in Group 14, with 8 points from 5 games.
Atlético Pueblonuevo are ranked 16 in Group 14, with 3 points from 5 games.
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Azuaga | 5 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 14 | 2 | 12 | 15 |
| 2 | Moralo | 5 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 9 | 5 | 4 | 11 |
| 3 | Llerenense | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 10 |
| 4 | Castuera | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 3 | 5 | 9 |
| 5 | Puebla Calzada | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 8 | 4 | 4 | 8 |
| 6 | Gévora | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 8 | 9 | -1 | 8 |
| 7 | CD Zafra | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 7 |
| 8 | Villanovense | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 7 |
| 9 | Santa Amalia | 4 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 6 |
| 10 | Montijo | 5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 6 | 8 | -2 | 6 |
| 11 | Cabeza Buey | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 6 | 0 | 5 |
| 12 | Jerez | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 6 | -2 | 4 |
| 13 | Jaraíz | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 6 | 9 | -3 | 4 |
| 14 | Quintana | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 5 | -3 | 4 |
| 15 | Villafranca | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 7 | -3 | 3 |
| 16 | Atlético Pueblonuevo | 5 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 5 | 10 | -5 | 3 |
| 17 | Plasencia | 4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 8 | -6 | 1 |
| 18 | Guadiana | 5 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 11 | -9 | 1 |
P: played · W: wins · D: draws · L: losses · GF/GA: goals for/against · GD: goal difference · Pts: points. Highlighted rows identify this match’s teams.
About this prediction
We compare each team’s recent goals scored and conceded, giving more weight to recent games and the same home or away venue. A goal model then chooses double chance or Over 1.5 goals. Predictions can change before kickoff and are not guaranteed results. Live scores refresh every 5 seconds.