Liga Profesional Argentina · Clausura - 11
Atletico Tucuman2–3Barracas Central
Real Scored · Match result
Match prediction · 3 October 2026
Match Finished
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THE PREDICTION
Our match outlook
Home or drawLost
Based on 10 previous home-team games and 10 previous away-team games. Small samples provide less evidence.
Prediction saved
Match information
- Competition
- Liga Profesional Argentina
- Venue
- Estadio Monumental Jose Fierro
- Status
- Match Finished
- Score
- 2–3
- 90-minute score
- 2–3
- Last updated
Goals and cards
Goals
Match events are not yet available.
Cards
Match events are not yet available.
Lineups
Lineups have not been supplied yet. Confirmed selections appear here when available.
Real Scored match analysis
Atletico Tucuman vs Barracas Central: match review and analysis
Atletico Tucuman vs Barracas Central in Liga Profesional Argentina on 3 October 2026 has finished at full time. The match goal score was 2–3. Review the team form and league context below.
Real Scored brings together the match information, available team results and current standings below. The saved pre-match selection is Home or draw.
Atletico Tucuman recorded 3 wins, 4 draws and 3 losses in the 10 games used here, scoring 10 and conceding 7. Barracas Central recorded 2 wins, 3 draws and 5 losses, with 5 scored and 10 conceded across 10 games.
| Statistic | Atletico Tucuman | Barracas Central |
|---|---|---|
| Games | 10 | 10 |
| Wins | 3 | 2 |
| Draws | 4 | 3 |
| Losses | 3 | 5 |
| Goals scored | 10 | 5 |
| Goals conceded | 7 | 10 |
| Over 1.5 games | 5 | 4 |
Why this selection?
The calculation combines each team’s recent attacking record with the opposing defence. Newer games receive more weight, and results at the same home or away venue receive extra weight.
Atletico Tucuman: (0.95 weighted goals scored + 1.04 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 1.00 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
Barracas Central: (0.49 weighted goals scored + 0.79 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 0.64 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
The model favours the home side avoiding defeat. A home win or a draw satisfies this selection. It ranked highest when comparing the three double-chance options with Over 1.5 using a Poisson goal model.
Model goals are estimates from past scores, not shot-based expected goals. These form records were saved with the prediction before kickoff. League position is context below and is not an input to this goal model. Injuries, lineups and odds are not included.
Recent results and goal trends
LAST 10 GAMES
Atletico Tucuman recent form
1.00 goals scored and 0.70 conceded per game. 5 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| AldosiviLiga Profesional Argentina | Away | 0–1 | Lost | |
| Independ. RivadaviaCopa Argentina | Away | 1–1 | Draw | |
| River PlateLiga Profesional Argentina | Home | 1–2 | Lost | |
| Racing ClubLiga Profesional Argentina | Away | 2–1 | Won | |
| Belgrano CordobaLiga Profesional Argentina | Home | 0–0 | Draw | |
| Instituto CordobaLiga Profesional Argentina | Home | 0–0 | Draw | |
| Estudiantes de Rio CuartoLiga Profesional Argentina | Away | 1–0 | Won | |
| IndependienteCopa Argentina | Home | 4–0 | Won | |
| Sarmiento JuninLiga Profesional Argentina | Home | 1–2 | Lost | |
| HuracanLiga Profesional Argentina | Away | 0–0 | Draw |
Scores shown from Atletico Tucuman’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.
LAST 10 GAMES
Barracas Central recent form
0.50 goals scored and 1.00 conceded per game. 4 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Independ. RivadaviaLiga Profesional Argentina | Home | 0–1 | Lost | |
| BanfieldLiga Profesional Argentina | Away | 1–1 | Draw | |
| Argentinos JRSLiga Profesional Argentina | Home | 0–0 | Draw | |
| TigreLiga Profesional Argentina | Away | 0–0 | Draw | |
| Estudiantes L.P.Copa Argentina | Away | 1–3 | Lost | |
| PlatenseLiga Profesional Argentina | Home | 1–2 | Lost | |
| Rosario CentralLiga Profesional Argentina | Home | 0–1 | Lost | |
| Gimnasia L.P.Liga Profesional Argentina | Away | 0–2 | Lost | |
| Deportivo RiestraLiga Profesional Argentina | Away | 1–0 | Won | |
| AldosiviLiga Profesional Argentina | Home | 1–0 | Won |
Scores shown from Barracas Central’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.
LEAGUE CONTEXT
Liga Profesional Argentina — current table
Season 2026 · Latest stored table, updated . This table may include games played after this prediction was made.
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Estudiantes L.P. | 16 | 9 | 4 | 3 | 19 | 7 | 12 | 31 |
| 2 | Boca Juniors | 16 | 8 | 6 | 2 | 22 | 9 | 13 | 30 |
| 3 | Velez Sarsfield | 16 | 7 | 7 | 2 | 18 | 12 | 6 | 28 |
| 4 | Talleres Cordoba | 16 | 7 | 5 | 4 | 17 | 13 | 4 | 26 |
| 5 | Independiente | 16 | 6 | 6 | 4 | 24 | 20 | 4 | 24 |
| 6 | Lanus | 16 | 6 | 6 | 4 | 18 | 15 | 3 | 24 |
| 7 | San Lorenzo | 16 | 5 | 7 | 4 | 14 | 14 | 0 | 22 |
| 8 | Union Santa Fe | 16 | 5 | 6 | 5 | 24 | 20 | 4 | 21 |
| 9 | Instituto Cordoba | 16 | 6 | 3 | 7 | 17 | 17 | 0 | 21 |
| 10 | Defensa Y Justicia | 16 | 4 | 7 | 5 | 18 | 21 | -3 | 19 |
| 11 | Gimnasia M. | 16 | 5 | 4 | 7 | 14 | 22 | -8 | 19 |
| 12 | Platense | 16 | 3 | 7 | 6 | 10 | 15 | -5 | 16 |
| 13 | Central Cordoba de Santiago | 16 | 4 | 4 | 8 | 11 | 21 | -10 | 16 |
| 14 | Newells Old Boys | 16 | 3 | 6 | 7 | 15 | 27 | -12 | 15 |
| 15 | Deportivo Riestra | 16 | 1 | 8 | 7 | 5 | 12 | -7 | 11 |
Barracas Central are ranked 9 in Apertura - Group B, with 21 points from 16 games.
Atletico Tucuman are ranked 13 in Apertura - Group B, with 14 points from 16 games.
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Independ. Rivadavia | 16 | 10 | 4 | 2 | 29 | 15 | 14 | 34 |
| 2 | River Plate | 16 | 9 | 2 | 5 | 22 | 12 | 10 | 29 |
| 3 | Argentinos JRS | 16 | 8 | 5 | 3 | 17 | 13 | 4 | 29 |
| 4 | Rosario Central | 16 | 8 | 4 | 4 | 20 | 16 | 4 | 28 |
| 5 | Belgrano Cordoba | 16 | 7 | 5 | 4 | 17 | 13 | 4 | 26 |
| 6 | Gimnasia L.P. | 16 | 8 | 2 | 6 | 19 | 19 | 0 | 26 |
| 7 | Huracan | 16 | 5 | 7 | 4 | 17 | 13 | 4 | 22 |
| 8 | Racing Club | 16 | 5 | 6 | 5 | 17 | 15 | 2 | 21 |
| 9 | Barracas Central | 16 | 5 | 6 | 5 | 15 | 15 | 0 | 21 |
| 10 | Tigre | 16 | 4 | 8 | 4 | 18 | 15 | 3 | 20 |
| 11 | Sarmiento Junin | 16 | 6 | 1 | 9 | 13 | 20 | -7 | 19 |
| 12 | Banfield | 16 | 5 | 3 | 8 | 17 | 19 | -2 | 18 |
| 13 | Atletico Tucuman | 16 | 3 | 5 | 8 | 15 | 20 | -5 | 14 |
| 14 | Aldosivi | 16 | 0 | 8 | 8 | 6 | 19 | -13 | 8 |
| 15 | Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto | 16 | 1 | 2 | 13 | 5 | 24 | -19 | 5 |
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Instituto Cordoba | 11 | 8 | 1 | 2 | 17 | 8 | 9 | 25 |
| 2 | Velez Sarsfield | 11 | 5 | 6 | 0 | 17 | 11 | 6 | 21 |
| 3 | Defensa Y Justicia | 11 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 16 | 11 | 5 | 21 |
| 4 | Boca Juniors | 11 | 5 | 5 | 1 | 17 | 11 | 6 | 20 |
| 5 | Lanus | 11 | 5 | 2 | 4 | 13 | 9 | 4 | 17 |
| 6 | Newells Old Boys | 11 | 4 | 5 | 2 | 11 | 8 | 3 | 17 |
| 7 | Gimnasia M. | 11 | 5 | 2 | 4 | 14 | 12 | 2 | 17 |
| 8 | Independiente | 11 | 5 | 2 | 4 | 11 | 12 | -1 | 17 |
| 9 | Estudiantes L.P. | 11 | 4 | 1 | 6 | 13 | 11 | 2 | 13 |
| 10 | Union Santa Fe | 11 | 4 | 1 | 6 | 17 | 19 | -2 | 13 |
| 11 | Deportivo Riestra | 11 | 2 | 5 | 4 | 9 | 11 | -2 | 11 |
| 12 | San Lorenzo | 11 | 3 | 2 | 6 | 4 | 11 | -7 | 11 |
| 13 | Platense | 11 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 11 | 17 | -6 | 10 |
| 14 | Central Cordoba de Santiago | 11 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 8 | 14 | -6 | 9 |
| 15 | Talleres Cordoba | 11 | 2 | 2 | 7 | 11 | 18 | -7 | 8 |
Barracas Central are ranked 8 in Clausura - Group B, with 15 points from 11 games.
Atletico Tucuman are ranked 10 in Clausura - Group B, with 13 points from 11 games.
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Argentinos JRS | 11 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 15 | 10 | 5 | 21 |
| 2 | Belgrano Cordoba | 11 | 5 | 4 | 2 | 12 | 7 | 5 | 19 |
| 3 | Rosario Central | 11 | 5 | 4 | 2 | 12 | 9 | 3 | 19 |
| 4 | Huracan | 11 | 5 | 4 | 2 | 11 | 8 | 3 | 19 |
| 5 | Independ. Rivadavia | 11 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 15 | 14 | 1 | 18 |
| 6 | Gimnasia L.P. | 11 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 16 | 16 | 0 | 18 |
| 7 | Sarmiento Junin | 10 | 5 | 1 | 4 | 17 | 16 | 1 | 16 |
| 8 | Barracas Central | 11 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 8 | 9 | -1 | 15 |
| 9 | River Plate | 10 | 4 | 1 | 5 | 13 | 12 | 1 | 13 |
| 10 | Atletico Tucuman | 11 | 3 | 4 | 4 | 9 | 9 | 0 | 13 |
| 11 | Tigre | 11 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 10 | 11 | -1 | 12 |
| 12 | Racing Club | 11 | 3 | 2 | 6 | 13 | 17 | -4 | 11 |
| 13 | Banfield | 11 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 12 | 17 | -5 | 10 |
| 14 | Aldosivi | 11 | 2 | 2 | 7 | 12 | 17 | -5 | 8 |
| 15 | Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto | 11 | 1 | 3 | 7 | 6 | 15 | -9 | 6 |
P: played · W: wins · D: draws · L: losses · GF/GA: goals for/against · GD: goal difference · Pts: points. Highlighted rows identify this match’s teams.
About this prediction
We compare each team’s recent goals scored and conceded, giving more weight to recent games and the same home or away venue. A goal model then chooses double chance or Over 1.5 goals. Predictions can change before kickoff and are not guaranteed results. Live scores refresh every 5 seconds.