Premier League · Regular Season - 17
AtyrauvsYelimay Semey
RealScored · Match preview
Match prediction · 14 October 2026
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THE PREDICTION
Our match outlook
Over 1.5 goalsBased on 10 previous home-team games and 10 previous away-team games. Small samples provide less evidence.
Prediction saved
Match information
- Competition
- Premier League
- Venue
- Turkestan Arena
- Status
- Not Started
- Score
- Not started
- 90-minute score
- —
- Last updated
Goals and cards
Goals
Match events are not yet available.
Cards
Match events are not yet available.
Lineups
Lineups are not available yet. Confirmed selections will appear here when available.
RealScored match analysis
Atyrau vs Yelimay Semey: match review and analysis
Atyrau vs Yelimay Semey in Premier League on 14 October 2026. Compare recent results, goal trends and league positions in this match preview.
RealScored brings together the match information, available team results and current standings below. The saved pre-match selection is Over 1.5 goals.
Atyrau recorded 2 wins, 2 draws and 6 losses in the 10 games used here, scoring 8 and conceding 16. Yelimay Semey recorded 3 wins, 3 draws and 4 losses, with 12 scored and 17 conceded across 10 games.
| Statistic | Atyrau | Yelimay Semey |
|---|---|---|
| Games | 10 | 10 |
| Wins | 2 | 3 |
| Draws | 2 | 3 |
| Losses | 6 | 4 |
| Goals scored | 8 | 12 |
| Goals conceded | 16 | 17 |
| Over 1.5 games | 7 | 9 |
Why this selection?
The calculation combines each team’s recent attacking record with the opposing defence. Newer games receive more weight, and results at the same home or away venue receive extra weight.
Atyrau: (0.82 weighted goals scored + 1.73 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 1.28 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
Yelimay Semey: (1.20 weighted goals scored + 1.72 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 1.46 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
The combined scoring outlook makes at least two total goals the strongest of the four options compared. Either team can score those goals. It ranked highest when comparing the three double-chance options with Over 1.5 using a Poisson goal model.
Model goals are estimates from past scores, not shot-based expected goals. These form records were saved with the prediction before kickoff. League position is context below and is not an input to this goal model. Injuries, lineups and odds are not included.
Recent results and goal trends
LAST 10 GAMES
Atyrau recent form
0.80 goals scored and 1.60 conceded per game. 7 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| ZhenysPremier League | Away | 2–1 | Won | |
| OrdabasyPremier League | Home | 0–3 | Lost | |
| KaisarPremier League | Away | 0–1 | Lost | |
| Kyzyl-ZharPremier League | Away | 1–0 | Won | |
| FC AstanaPremier League | Home | 2–3 | Lost | |
| OkzhetpesPremier League | Home | 0–2 | Lost | |
| AktobePremier League | Home | 1–1 | Draw | |
| ZhetysuPremier League | Home | 1–1 | Draw | |
| FK Tobol KostanayPremier League | Away | 0–1 | Lost | |
| Kairat AlmatyPremier League | Home | 1–3 | Lost |
Scores shown from Atyrau’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.
LAST 10 GAMES
Yelimay Semey recent form
1.20 goals scored and 1.70 conceded per game. 9 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| AktobePremier League | Home | 1–3 | Lost | |
| FK Tobol KostanayPremier League | Away | 2–0 | Won | |
| ZhetysuPremier League | Home | 2–1 | Won | |
| FC AstanaPremier League | Away | 0–4 | Lost | |
| Kairat AlmatyPremier League | Home | 0–2 | Lost | |
| KaspiyPremier League | Away | 2–2 | Draw | |
| IrtyshPremier League | Home | 3–1 | Won | |
| ZhenysPremier League | Away | 0–0 | Draw | |
| KaisarPremier League | Home | 1–1 | Draw | |
| OrdabasyPremier League | Away | 1–3 | Lost |
Scores shown from Yelimay Semey’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.
LEAGUE CONTEXT
Premier League — current table
Season 2026 · Latest stored table, updated . Refresh delayed; showing the last available table. This table may include games played after this prediction was made.
Yelimay Semey are ranked 6 in Premier League, with 38 points from 26 games.
Atyrau are ranked 12 in Premier League, with 26 points from 25 games.
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Ordabasy | 26 | 19 | 4 | 3 | 52 | 19 | 33 | 61 |
| 2 | Kairat Almaty | 26 | 18 | 6 | 2 | 52 | 19 | 33 | 60 |
| 3 | FC Astana | 25 | 13 | 6 | 6 | 42 | 27 | 15 | 45 |
| 4 | Aktobe | 27 | 13 | 6 | 8 | 41 | 32 | 9 | 45 |
| 5 | Okzhetpes | 27 | 13 | 6 | 8 | 41 | 37 | 4 | 45 |
| 6 | Yelimay Semey | 26 | 10 | 8 | 8 | 36 | 36 | 0 | 38 |
| 7 | FK Tobol Kostanay | 27 | 11 | 4 | 12 | 35 | 36 | -1 | 37 |
| 8 | Ulytau | 27 | 9 | 8 | 10 | 26 | 32 | -6 | 35 |
| 9 | Zhenys | 27 | 8 | 8 | 11 | 27 | 34 | -7 | 32 |
| 10 | Kaspiy | 27 | 9 | 5 | 13 | 29 | 37 | -8 | 32 |
| 11 | Kyzyl-Zhar | 27 | 7 | 7 | 13 | 30 | 39 | -9 | 28 |
| 12 | Atyrau | 25 | 5 | 11 | 9 | 20 | 26 | -6 | 26 |
| 13 | Irtysh | 26 | 6 | 8 | 12 | 26 | 36 | -10 | 26 |
| 14 | Kaisar | 27 | 4 | 12 | 11 | 23 | 37 | -14 | 24 |
| 15 | Altay | 27 | 5 | 8 | 14 | 26 | 40 | -14 | 23 |
| 16 | Zhetysu | 27 | 5 | 7 | 15 | 26 | 45 | -19 | 22 |
P: played · W: wins · D: draws · L: losses · GF/GA: goals for/against · GD: goal difference · Pts: points. Highlighted rows identify this match’s teams.
About this prediction
We compare each team’s recent goals scored and conceded, giving more weight to recent games and the same home or away venue. A goal model then chooses double chance or Over 1.5 goals. Predictions can change before kickoff and are not guaranteed results. Live scores refresh every 5 seconds.