National League - National · Championship Group - 2
Auckland United7–1Napier City Rovers
Real Scored · Match result
Match prediction · 4 October 2026
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THE PREDICTION
Our match outlook
Over 1.5 goalsWon
Based on 10 previous home-team games and 10 previous away-team games. Small samples provide less evidence.
Prediction saved
Match information
- Competition
- National League - National
- Venue
- Keith Hay Park
- Status
- Match Finished
- Score
- 7–1
- 90-minute score
- 7–1
- Last updated
Goals and cards
Goals
Match events are not yet available.
Cards
Match events are not yet available.
Lineups
Lineups have not been supplied yet. Confirmed selections appear here when available.
Real Scored match analysis
Auckland United vs Napier City Rovers: match review and analysis
Auckland United vs Napier City Rovers in National League - National on 4 October 2026 has finished at full time. The match goal score was 7–1. Review the team form and league context below.
Real Scored brings together the match information, available team results and current standings below. The saved pre-match selection is Over 1.5 goals.
Auckland United recorded 2 wins, 2 draws and 6 losses in the 10 games used here, scoring 12 and conceding 19. Napier City Rovers recorded 6 wins, 1 draws and 3 losses, with 33 scored and 11 conceded across 10 games.
| Statistic | Auckland United | Napier City Rovers |
|---|---|---|
| Games | 10 | 10 |
| Wins | 2 | 6 |
| Draws | 2 | 1 |
| Losses | 6 | 3 |
| Goals scored | 12 | 33 |
| Goals conceded | 19 | 11 |
| Over 1.5 games | 9 | 9 |
Why this selection?
The calculation combines each team’s recent attacking record with the opposing defence. Newer games receive more weight, and results at the same home or away venue receive extra weight.
Auckland United: (1.14 weighted goals scored + 1.24 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 1.19 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
Napier City Rovers: (2.92 weighted goals scored + 1.82 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 2.37 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
The combined scoring outlook makes at least two total goals the strongest of the four options compared. Either team can score those goals. It ranked highest when comparing the three double-chance options with Over 1.5 using a Poisson goal model.
Model goals are estimates from past scores, not shot-based expected goals. These form records were saved with the prediction before kickoff. League position is context below and is not an input to this goal model. Injuries, lineups and odds are not included.
Recent results and goal trends
LAST 10 GAMES
Auckland United recent form
1.20 goals scored and 1.90 conceded per game. 9 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wellington Phoenix IINational League - National | Away | 1–1 | Draw | |
| Nelson SuburbsChatham Cup | Away | 1–2 | Lost | |
| CambridgeChatham Cup | Home | 1–1 | Draw | |
| Auckland FC 2National League - National | Away | 0–3 | Lost | |
| Wellington OlympicNational League - National | Home | 0–3 | Lost | |
| Western SuburbsNational League - National | Away | 0–1 | Lost | |
| Birkenhead UnitedNational League - National | Home | 3–2 | Won | |
| Auckland CityNational League - National | Away | 2–4 | Lost | |
| Coastal SpiritNational League - National | Home | 3–0 | Won | |
| Western SpringsNational League - National | Away | 1–2 | Lost |
Scores shown from Auckland United’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.
LAST 10 GAMES
Napier City Rovers recent form
3.30 goals scored and 1.10 conceded per game. 9 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| MiramarNational League - National | Home | 1–1 | Draw | |
| Cashmere TechnicalChatham Cup | Away | 1–2 | Lost | |
| Hibiscus CoastChatham Cup | Away | 5–2 | Won | |
| PetoneChatham Cup | Away | 4–0 | Won | |
| Wellington OlympicNational League - Central | Away | 0–1 | Lost | |
| PetoneNational League - Central | Home | 5–1 | Won | |
| MiramarNational League - Central | Away | 2–3 | Lost | |
| Waterside KaroriNational League - Central | Home | 6–0 | Won | |
| Island Bay UnitedNational League - Central | Home | 4–1 | Won | |
| Upper Hutt CityNational League - Central | Away | 5–0 | Won |
Scores shown from Napier City Rovers’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.
LEAGUE CONTEXT
National League - National — current table
Season 2026 · Latest stored table, updated . Refresh delayed; showing the last available table. This table may include games played after this prediction was made.
Auckland United are ranked 2 in First Division: Championship Group, with 4 points from 2 games.
Napier City Rovers are ranked 8 in First Division: Championship Group, with 1 points from 2 games.
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Cashmere Technical | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 14 | 0 | 14 | 6 |
| 2 | Auckland United | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 8 | 2 | 6 | 4 |
| 3 | Miramar | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 4 |
| 4 | Ferrymead Bays | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 4 |
| 5 | Auckland City | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 3 |
| 6 | Wellington Olympic | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 3 |
| 7 | Eastern Suburbs | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 4 | -2 | 1 |
| 8 | Napier City Rovers | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 8 | -6 | 1 |
| 9 | Wellington Phoenix II | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 11 | -10 | 1 |
| 10 | Auckland FC 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 5 | -2 | 0 |
| 11 | Birkenhead United | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | -4 | 0 |
P: played · W: wins · D: draws · L: losses · GF/GA: goals for/against · GD: goal difference · Pts: points. Highlighted rows identify this match’s teams.
About this prediction
We compare each team’s recent goals scored and conceded, giving more weight to recent games and the same home or away venue. A goal model then chooses double chance or Over 1.5 goals. Predictions can change before kickoff and are not guaranteed results. Live scores refresh every 5 seconds.