Carioca - 2 · Regular Season - 5
Audax Rio0–0Nova Cidade
Real Scored · Match result
Match prediction · 3 October 2026
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THE PREDICTION
Our match outlook
Home or awayLost
Based on 10 previous home-team games and 10 previous away-team games. Small samples provide less evidence.
Prediction saved
Match information
- Competition
- Carioca - 2
- Venue
- To be confirmed
- Status
- Match Finished
- Score
- 0–0
- 90-minute score
- 0–0
- Last updated
Goals and cards
Goals
Match events are not yet available.
Cards
Match events are not yet available.
Lineups
Lineups have not been supplied yet. Confirmed selections appear here when available.
Real Scored match analysis
Audax Rio vs Nova Cidade: match review and analysis
Audax Rio vs Nova Cidade in Carioca - 2 on 3 October 2026 has finished at full time. The match goal score was 0–0. Review the team form and league context below.
Real Scored brings together the match information, available team results and current standings below. The saved pre-match selection is Home or away.
Audax Rio recorded 1 wins, 0 draws and 9 losses in the 10 games used here, scoring 6 and conceding 16. Nova Cidade recorded 3 wins, 3 draws and 4 losses, with 8 scored and 11 conceded across 10 games.
| Statistic | Audax Rio | Nova Cidade |
|---|---|---|
| Games | 10 | 10 |
| Wins | 1 | 3 |
| Draws | 0 | 3 |
| Losses | 9 | 4 |
| Goals scored | 6 | 8 |
| Goals conceded | 16 | 11 |
| Over 1.5 games | 6 | 4 |
Why this selection?
The calculation combines each team’s recent attacking record with the opposing defence. Newer games receive more weight, and results at the same home or away venue receive extra weight.
Audax Rio: (0.62 weighted goals scored + 1.32 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 0.97 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
Nova Cidade: (0.75 weighted goals scored + 1.58 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 1.16 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
The model favours a decisive result. Either side winning satisfies this selection; a draw does not. It ranked highest when comparing the three double-chance options with Over 1.5 using a Poisson goal model.
Model goals are estimates from past scores, not shot-based expected goals. These form records were saved with the prediction before kickoff. League position is context below and is not an input to this goal model. Injuries, lineups and odds are not included.
Recent results and goal trends
LAST 10 GAMES
Audax Rio recent form
0.60 goals scored and 1.60 conceded per game. 6 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| PetrópolisCarioca - 2 | Away | 2–3 | Lost | |
| Serrano RJCarioca - 2 | Home | 0–1 | Lost | |
| MacaéCarioca - 2 | Away | 0–2 | Lost | |
| ArtsulCarioca - 2 | Home | 0–2 | Lost | |
| São Gonçalo EC RJCarioca A2 | Away | 1–2 | Lost | |
| ResendeCarioca A2 | Home | 2–0 | Won | |
| CFRJ / MaricáCarioca A2 | Away | 0–1 | Lost | |
| Pérolas NegrasCarioca A2 | Home | 0–1 | Lost | |
| Americano CamposCarioca A2 | Away | 1–3 | Lost | |
| CabofrienseCarioca A2 | Away | 0–1 | Lost |
Scores shown from Audax Rio’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.
LAST 10 GAMES
Nova Cidade recent form
0.80 goals scored and 1.10 conceded per game. 4 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| GoytacazCarioca - 2 | Home | 1–2 | Lost | |
| NiteroienseCarioca - 2 | Away | 0–1 | Lost | |
| São Cristóvão RJCarioca - 2 | Home | 2–2 | Draw | |
| Duque de CaxiasCarioca - 2 | Away | 0–3 | Lost | |
| FriburguenseCarioca - 2 | Home | 1–0 | Won | |
| Campo GrandeCarioca - 2 | Home | 1–0 | Won | |
| Duque de CaxiasCarioca - 2 | Away | 2–2 | Draw | |
| BonsucessoCarioca - 2 | Away | 0–1 | Lost | |
| ArtsulCarioca - 2 | Home | 0–0 | Draw | |
| Serrano RJCarioca - 2 | Away | 1–0 | Won |
Scores shown from Nova Cidade’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.
LEAGUE CONTEXT
Carioca - 2 — current table
Season 2026 · Latest stored table, updated . Refresh delayed; showing the last available table. This table may include games played after this prediction was made.
Nova Cidade are ranked 10 in Carioca 2, with 2 points from 5 games.
Audax Rio are ranked 12 in Carioca 2, with 1 points from 5 games.
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Niteroiense | 5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 7 | 1 | 6 | 13 |
| 2 | Goytacaz | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 10 |
| 3 | Duque de Caxias | 5 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 5 | 4 | 9 |
| 4 | Petrópolis | 5 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 9 |
| 5 | Artsul | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 8 | 6 | 2 | 8 |
| 6 | Campo Grande | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 5 | 1 | 8 |
| 7 | Serrano RJ | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 6 | 0 | 8 |
| 8 | Macaé | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 7 | 6 | 1 | 7 |
| 9 | São Cristóvão RJ | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 4 | -1 | 5 |
| 10 | Nova Cidade | 5 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 8 | -5 | 2 |
| 11 | Carapebus | 5 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 10 | -6 | 1 |
| 12 | Audax Rio | 5 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 8 | -6 | 1 |
P: played · W: wins · D: draws · L: losses · GF/GA: goals for/against · GD: goal difference · Pts: points. Highlighted rows identify this match’s teams.
About this prediction
We compare each team’s recent goals scored and conceded, giving more weight to recent games and the same home or away venue. A goal model then chooses double chance or Over 1.5 goals. Predictions can change before kickoff and are not guaranteed results. Live scores refresh every 5 seconds.