Major League Soccer · Regular Season - 28
AustinvsNashville SC
Real Scored · Match preview
Match prediction · 11 October 2026
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THE PREDICTION
Our match outlook
Over 1.5 goalsBased on 10 previous home-team games and 10 previous away-team games. Small samples provide less evidence.
Prediction saved
Match information
- Competition
- Major League Soccer
- Venue
- Q2 Stadium
- Status
- Not Started
- Score
- Not started
- 90-minute score
- —
- Last updated
Goals and cards
Goals
Match events are not yet available.
Cards
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Lineups
Lineups have not been supplied yet. Confirmed selections appear here when available.
Real Scored match analysis
Austin vs Nashville SC: match review and analysis
Austin vs Nashville SC in Major League Soccer on 11 October 2026. Compare recent results, goal trends and league positions in this match preview.
Real Scored brings together the match information, available team results and current standings below. The saved pre-match selection is Over 1.5 goals.
Austin recorded 3 wins, 5 draws and 2 losses in the 10 games used here, scoring 13 and conceding 13. Nashville SC recorded 6 wins, 2 draws and 2 losses, with 21 scored and 9 conceded across 10 games.
| Statistic | Austin | Nashville SC |
|---|---|---|
| Games | 10 | 10 |
| Wins | 3 | 6 |
| Draws | 5 | 2 |
| Losses | 2 | 2 |
| Goals scored | 13 | 21 |
| Goals conceded | 13 | 9 |
| Over 1.5 games | 9 | 8 |
Why this selection?
The calculation combines each team’s recent attacking record with the opposing defence. Newer games receive more weight, and results at the same home or away venue receive extra weight.
Austin: (1.42 weighted goals scored + 0.90 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 1.16 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
Nashville SC: (1.89 weighted goals scored + 1.39 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 1.64 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
The combined scoring outlook makes at least two total goals the strongest of the four options compared. Either team can score those goals. It ranked highest when comparing the three double-chance options with Over 1.5 using a Poisson goal model.
Model goals are estimates from past scores, not shot-based expected goals. These form records were saved with the prediction before kickoff. League position is context below and is not an input to this goal model. Injuries, lineups and odds are not included.
Recent results and goal trends
LAST 10 GAMES
Austin recent form
1.30 goals scored and 1.30 conceded per game. 9 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| San DiegoMajor League Soccer | Home | 3–3 | Draw | |
| FC DallasMajor League Soccer | Away | 0–0 | Draw | |
| Vancouver WhitecapsMajor League Soccer | Away | 2–1 | Won | |
| Colorado RapidsMajor League Soccer | Home | 1–1 | Draw | |
| San Jose EarthquakesMajor League Soccer | Home | 1–1 | Draw | |
| Portland TimbersMajor League Soccer | Away | 2–1 | Won | |
| TolucaLeagues Cup | Away | 0–2 | Lost | |
| Philadelphia UnionMajor League Soccer | Home | 1–1 | Draw | |
| Seattle SoundersMajor League Soccer | Away | 2–1 | Won | |
| FC DallasMajor League Soccer | Home | 1–2 | Lost |
Scores shown from Austin’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.
LAST 10 GAMES
Nashville SC recent form
2.10 goals scored and 0.90 conceded per game. 8 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Toronto FCMajor League Soccer | Home | 2–0 | Won | |
| Chicago FireMajor League Soccer | Home | 3–0 | Won | |
| Inter MiamiMajor League Soccer | Away | 2–2 | Draw | |
| Toronto FCMajor League Soccer | Away | 1–2 | Lost | |
| New York City FCMajor League Soccer | Away | 0–0 | Draw | |
| FC CincinnatiMajor League Soccer | Home | 4–0 | Won | |
| Columbus CrewMajor League Soccer | Home | 3–2 | Won | |
| New York Red BullsMajor League Soccer | Away | 1–0 | Won | |
| Inter MiamiMajor League Soccer | Home | 4–1 | Won | |
| MonterreyLeagues Cup | Away | 1–2 | Lost |
Scores shown from Nashville SC’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.
LEAGUE CONTEXT
Major League Soccer — current table
Season 2026 · Latest stored table, updated . Refresh delayed; showing the last available table. This table may include games played after this prediction was made.
Austin are ranked 13 in Western Conference, with 31 points from 27 games.
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Vancouver Whitecaps | 27 | 15 | 5 | 7 | 60 | 29 | 31 | 50 |
| 2 | St. Louis City | 27 | 13 | 8 | 6 | 48 | 36 | 12 | 47 |
| 3 | FC Dallas | 27 | 13 | 8 | 6 | 50 | 42 | 8 | 47 |
| 4 | San Jose Earthquakes | 27 | 13 | 6 | 8 | 49 | 39 | 10 | 45 |
| 5 | Houston Dynamo | 27 | 13 | 5 | 9 | 34 | 32 | 2 | 44 |
| 6 | Los Angeles FC | 28 | 11 | 8 | 9 | 43 | 30 | 13 | 41 |
| 7 | Seattle Sounders | 27 | 10 | 8 | 9 | 35 | 35 | 0 | 38 |
| 8 | Colorado Rapids | 27 | 11 | 3 | 13 | 38 | 38 | 0 | 36 |
| 9 | Los Angeles Galaxy | 28 | 9 | 9 | 10 | 37 | 44 | -7 | 36 |
| 10 | Portland Timbers | 27 | 9 | 5 | 13 | 48 | 51 | -3 | 32 |
| 11 | Real Salt Lake | 27 | 9 | 5 | 13 | 40 | 44 | -4 | 32 |
| 12 | San Diego | 27 | 8 | 8 | 11 | 47 | 47 | 0 | 32 |
| 13 | Austin | 27 | 7 | 10 | 10 | 35 | 47 | -12 | 31 |
| 14 | Minnesota United FC | 27 | 7 | 8 | 12 | 40 | 49 | -9 | 29 |
| 15 | Sporting Kansas City | 27 | 6 | 3 | 18 | 32 | 65 | -33 | 21 |
Nashville SC are ranked 1 in Eastern Conference, with 60 points from 27 games.
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Nashville SC | 27 | 18 | 6 | 3 | 55 | 21 | 34 | 60 |
| 2 | New England Revolution | 27 | 14 | 4 | 9 | 45 | 36 | 9 | 46 |
| 3 | Inter Miami | 27 | 12 | 10 | 5 | 64 | 50 | 14 | 46 |
| 4 | Chicago Fire | 27 | 13 | 6 | 8 | 49 | 39 | 10 | 45 |
| 5 | Charlotte | 27 | 12 | 7 | 8 | 47 | 38 | 9 | 43 |
| 6 | Philadelphia Union | 27 | 11 | 6 | 10 | 54 | 44 | 10 | 39 |
| 7 | Orlando City SC | 27 | 10 | 4 | 13 | 48 | 64 | -16 | 34 |
| 8 | New York Red Bulls | 27 | 9 | 6 | 12 | 34 | 51 | -17 | 33 |
| 9 | New York City FC | 27 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 41 | 36 | 5 | 33 |
| 10 | FC Cincinnati | 26 | 8 | 9 | 9 | 55 | 64 | -9 | 33 |
| 11 | DC United | 26 | 6 | 12 | 8 | 34 | 42 | -8 | 30 |
| 12 | Columbus Crew | 27 | 8 | 5 | 14 | 39 | 43 | -4 | 29 |
| 13 | Toronto FC | 27 | 6 | 11 | 10 | 39 | 51 | -12 | 29 |
| 14 | Atlanta United FC | 27 | 7 | 6 | 14 | 32 | 45 | -13 | 27 |
| 15 | CF Montreal | 27 | 6 | 6 | 15 | 34 | 54 | -20 | 24 |
P: played · W: wins · D: draws · L: losses · GF/GA: goals for/against · GD: goal difference · Pts: points. Highlighted rows identify this match’s teams.
About this prediction
We compare each team’s recent goals scored and conceded, giving more weight to recent games and the same home or away venue. A goal model then chooses double chance or Over 1.5 goals. Predictions can change before kickoff and are not guaranteed results. Live scores refresh every 5 seconds.