Tercera División RFEF - Group 2 · Group 2 - 6
Avilés StadiumvsLlanes
Real Scored · Match preview
Match prediction · 11 October 2026
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THE PREDICTION
Our match outlook
Home or awayBased on 10 previous home-team games and 10 previous away-team games. Small samples provide less evidence.
Prediction saved
Match information
- Competition
- Tercera División RFEF - Group 2
- Venue
- To be confirmed
- Status
- Not Started
- Score
- Not started
- 90-minute score
- —
- Last updated
Goals and cards
Goals
Match events are not yet available.
Cards
Match events are not yet available.
Lineups
Lineups have not been supplied yet. Confirmed selections appear here when available.
Real Scored match analysis
Avilés Stadium vs Llanes: match review and analysis
Avilés Stadium vs Llanes in Tercera División RFEF - Group 2 on 11 October 2026. Compare recent results, goal trends and league positions in this match preview.
Real Scored brings together the match information, available team results and current standings below. The saved pre-match selection is Home or away.
Avilés Stadium recorded 1 wins, 1 draws and 8 losses in the 10 games used here, scoring 5 and conceding 20. Llanes recorded 1 wins, 3 draws and 6 losses, with 10 scored and 21 conceded across 10 games.
| Statistic | Avilés Stadium | Llanes |
|---|---|---|
| Games | 10 | 10 |
| Wins | 1 | 1 |
| Draws | 1 | 3 |
| Losses | 8 | 6 |
| Goals scored | 5 | 10 |
| Goals conceded | 20 | 21 |
| Over 1.5 games | 6 | 7 |
Why this selection?
The calculation combines each team’s recent attacking record with the opposing defence. Newer games receive more weight, and results at the same home or away venue receive extra weight.
Avilés Stadium: (0.48 weighted goals scored + 1.95 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 1.22 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
Llanes: (1.00 weighted goals scored + 1.78 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 1.39 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
The model favours a decisive result. Either side winning satisfies this selection; a draw does not. It ranked highest when comparing the three double-chance options with Over 1.5 using a Poisson goal model.
Model goals are estimates from past scores, not shot-based expected goals. These form records were saved with the prediction before kickoff. League position is context below and is not an input to this goal model. Injuries, lineups and odds are not included.
Recent results and goal trends
LAST 10 GAMES
Avilés Stadium recent form
0.50 goals scored and 2.00 conceded per game. 6 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| LealtadTercera División RFEF - Group 2 | Away | 0–2 | Lost | |
| Sporting Gijón IITercera División RFEF - Group 2 | Home | 1–2 | Lost | |
| PravianoTercera División RFEF - Group 2 | Away | 1–0 | Won | |
| L'EntreguTercera División RFEF - Group 2 | Home | 0–1 | Lost | |
| CovadongaTercera División RFEF - Group 2 | Away | 0–4 | Lost | |
| LlaneraFriendlies Clubs | Home | 0–1 | Lost | |
| LlaneraTercera División RFEF - Group 2 | Home | 1–2 | Lost | |
| Real TitánicoTercera División RFEF - Group 2 | Away | 2–2 | Draw | |
| LlanesTercera División RFEF - Group 2 | Home | 0–1 | Lost | |
| Sporting Gijón IITercera División RFEF - Group 2 | Away | 0–5 | Lost |
Scores shown from Avilés Stadium’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.
LAST 10 GAMES
Llanes recent form
1.00 goals scored and 2.10 conceded per game. 7 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| CondalTercera División RFEF - Group 2 | Home | 1–1 | Draw | |
| LealtadTercera División RFEF - Group 2 | Away | 1–1 | Draw | |
| Gijón IndustrialTercera División RFEF - Group 2 | Home | 2–2 | Draw | |
| Sporting Gijón IITercera División RFEF - Group 2 | Away | 1–3 | Lost | |
| MosconiaTercera División RFEF - Group 2 | Home | 1–5 | Lost | |
| Sporting Gijón IIFriendlies Clubs | Home | 0–1 | Lost | |
| LangreoFriendlies Clubs | Home | 2–3 | Lost | |
| San MartínTercera División RFEF - Group 2 | Away | 0–1 | Lost | |
| CovadongaTercera División RFEF - Group 2 | Home | 1–4 | Lost | |
| Avilés StadiumTercera División RFEF - Group 2 | Away | 1–0 | Won |
Scores shown from Llanes’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.
LEAGUE CONTEXT
Tercera División RFEF - Group 2 — current table
Season 2026 · Latest stored table, updated . Refresh delayed; showing the last available table. This table may include games played after this prediction was made.
Llanes are ranked 15 in Tercera: Group 2, with 3 points from 5 games.
Avilés Stadium are ranked 16 in Tercera: Group 2, with 3 points from 5 games.
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Covadonga | 5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 14 | 4 | 10 | 13 |
| 2 | Sporting Gijón II | 5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 9 | 4 | 5 | 13 |
| 3 | Mosconia | 5 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 8 | 1 | 7 | 11 |
| 4 | Condal | 5 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 8 | 2 | 6 | 11 |
| 5 | Colunga | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 9 | 7 | 2 | 10 |
| 6 | Caudal | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 6 | 2 | 10 |
| 7 | Siero | 5 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 9 |
| 8 | Langreo | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 10 | 8 | 2 | 8 |
| 9 | Gijón Industrial | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 8 | 6 | 2 | 7 |
| 10 | Lealtad | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 7 |
| 11 | San Martín | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 10 | -5 | 5 |
| 12 | Praviano | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 6 | 8 | -2 | 4 |
| 13 | L'Entregu | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 6 | -4 | 4 |
| 14 | Ceares | 5 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 7 | 11 | -4 | 3 |
| 15 | Llanes | 5 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 6 | 12 | -6 | 3 |
| 16 | Avilés Stadium | 5 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 9 | -7 | 3 |
| 17 | Astur | 5 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 8 | -5 | 2 |
| 18 | Andes | 5 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 9 | -7 | 1 |
P: played · W: wins · D: draws · L: losses · GF/GA: goals for/against · GD: goal difference · Pts: points. Highlighted rows identify this match’s teams.
About this prediction
We compare each team’s recent goals scored and conceded, giving more weight to recent games and the same home or away venue. A goal model then chooses double chance or Over 1.5 goals. Predictions can change before kickoff and are not guaranteed results. Live scores refresh every 5 seconds.