National League · Regular Season - 3
Ayeyawady UnitedvsThitsar Arman
Real Scored · Match preview
Match prediction · 10 October 2026
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THE PREDICTION
Our match outlook
Over 1.5 goalsBased on 10 previous home-team games and 10 previous away-team games. Small samples provide less evidence.
Prediction saved
Match information
- Competition
- National League
- Venue
- To be confirmed
- Status
- Not Started
- Score
- Not started
- 90-minute score
- —
- Last updated
Goals and cards
Goals
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Cards
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Lineups
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Real Scored match analysis
Ayeyawady United vs Thitsar Arman: match review and analysis
Ayeyawady United vs Thitsar Arman in National League on 10 October 2026. Compare recent results, goal trends and league positions in this match preview.
Real Scored brings together the match information, available team results and current standings below. The saved pre-match selection is Over 1.5 goals.
Ayeyawady United recorded 4 wins, 1 draws and 5 losses in the 10 games used here, scoring 13 and conceding 16. Thitsar Arman recorded 3 wins, 6 draws and 1 losses, with 22 scored and 15 conceded across 10 games.
| Statistic | Ayeyawady United | Thitsar Arman |
|---|---|---|
| Games | 10 | 10 |
| Wins | 4 | 3 |
| Draws | 1 | 6 |
| Losses | 5 | 1 |
| Goals scored | 13 | 22 |
| Goals conceded | 16 | 15 |
| Over 1.5 games | 8 | 9 |
Why this selection?
The calculation combines each team’s recent attacking record with the opposing defence. Newer games receive more weight, and results at the same home or away venue receive extra weight.
Ayeyawady United: (1.44 weighted goals scored + 1.44 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 1.44 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
Thitsar Arman: (2.39 weighted goals scored + 1.79 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 2.09 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
The combined scoring outlook makes at least two total goals the strongest of the four options compared. Either team can score those goals. It ranked highest when comparing the three double-chance options with Over 1.5 using a Poisson goal model.
Model goals are estimates from past scores, not shot-based expected goals. These form records were saved with the prediction before kickoff. League position is context below and is not an input to this goal model. Injuries, lineups and odds are not included.
Recent results and goal trends
LAST 10 GAMES
Ayeyawady United recent form
1.30 goals scored and 1.60 conceded per game. 8 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| DagonNational League | Home | 0–5 | Lost | |
| I.S.P.ENational League | Home | 2–1 | Won | |
| Sagaing UnitedNational League | Away | 1–2 | Lost | |
| Yarmanya UnitedNational League | Home | 5–0 | Won | |
| YadanarbonNational League | Away | 1–2 | Lost | |
| Thitsar ArmanNational League | Away | 0–0 | Draw | |
| Rakhine UnitedNational League | Home | 2–1 | Won | |
| Dagon PortNational League | Home | 1–0 | Won | |
| Shan UnitedNational League | Home | 1–3 | Lost | |
| DagonNational League | Home | 0–2 | Lost |
Scores shown from Ayeyawady United’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.
LAST 10 GAMES
Thitsar Arman recent form
2.20 goals scored and 1.50 conceded per game. 9 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hantharwady UnitedNational League | Home | 2–2 | Draw | |
| MyawadyNational League | Home | 2–2 | Draw | |
| Yarmanya UnitedNational League | Away | 5–0 | Won | |
| DagonNational League | Home | 2–2 | Draw | |
| I.S.P.ENational League | Home | 2–1 | Won | |
| Ayeyawady UnitedNational League | Home | 0–0 | Draw | |
| Dagon PortNational League | Home | 2–2 | Draw | |
| Yangon UnitedNational League | Away | 1–2 | Lost | |
| Sagaing UnitedNational League | Away | 3–3 | Draw | |
| YadanarbonNational League | Away | 3–1 | Won |
Scores shown from Thitsar Arman’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.
LEAGUE CONTEXT
National League — current table
Season 2026 · Latest stored table, updated . Refresh delayed; showing the last available table. This table may include games played after this prediction was made.
Ayeyawady United are ranked 6 in National League, with 3 points from 2 games.
Thitsar Arman are ranked 7 in National League, with 2 points from 2 games.
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Dagon | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 9 | 2 | 7 | 7 |
| 2 | Yangon United | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 1 | 6 | 6 |
| 3 | Shan United | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 2 | 4 | 4 |
| 4 | Yadanarbon | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 4 |
| 5 | Sagaing United | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 5 | 0 | 4 |
| 6 | Ayeyawady United | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 6 | -4 | 3 |
| 7 | Thitsar Arman | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 2 |
| 8 | Yangon Royals | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 2 |
| 9 | Hantharwady United | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 4 | -2 | 1 |
| 10 | I.S.P.E | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 8 | -3 | 1 |
| 11 | Myawady | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 6 | -4 | 1 |
| 12 | GFA | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 8 | -5 | 1 |
P: played · W: wins · D: draws · L: losses · GF/GA: goals for/against · GD: goal difference · Pts: points. Highlighted rows identify this match’s teams.
About this prediction
We compare each team’s recent goals scored and conceded, giving more weight to recent games and the same home or away venue. A goal model then chooses double chance or Over 1.5 goals. Predictions can change before kickoff and are not guaranteed results. Live scores refresh every 5 seconds.