UEFA Europa League · League Stage - 2
AZ AlkmaarvsHapoel Beer Sheva
RealScored · Match preview
Match prediction · 15 October 2026
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THE PREDICTION
Our match outlook
Over 1.5 goalsBased on 10 previous home-team games and 10 previous away-team games. Small samples provide less evidence.
Prediction saved
Match information
- Competition
- UEFA Europa League
- Venue
- AFAS Stadion（Alkmaar）
- Status
- Not Started
- Score
- Not started
- 90-minute score
- —
- Last updated
Goals and cards
Goals
Match events are not yet available.
Cards
Match events are not yet available.
Lineups
Lineups are not available yet. Confirmed selections will appear here when available.
RealScored match analysis
AZ Alkmaar vs Hapoel Beer Sheva: match review and analysis
AZ Alkmaar vs Hapoel Beer Sheva in UEFA Europa League on 15 October 2026. Compare recent results, goal trends and league positions in this match preview.
RealScored brings together the match information, available team results and current standings below. The saved pre-match selection is Over 1.5 goals.
AZ Alkmaar recorded 7 wins, 1 draws and 2 losses in the 10 games used here, scoring 22 and conceding 9. Hapoel Beer Sheva recorded 5 wins, 2 draws and 3 losses, with 14 scored and 15 conceded across 10 games.
| Statistic | AZ Alkmaar | Hapoel Beer Sheva |
|---|---|---|
| Games | 10 | 10 |
| Wins | 7 | 5 |
| Draws | 1 | 2 |
| Losses | 2 | 3 |
| Goals scored | 22 | 14 |
| Goals conceded | 9 | 15 |
| Over 1.5 games | 8 | 8 |
Why this selection?
The calculation combines each team’s recent attacking record with the opposing defence. Newer games receive more weight, and results at the same home or away venue receive extra weight.
AZ Alkmaar: (1.87 weighted goals scored + 1.18 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 1.52 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
Hapoel Beer Sheva: (1.46 weighted goals scored + 0.95 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 1.21 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
The combined scoring outlook makes at least two total goals the strongest of the four options compared. Either team can score those goals. It ranked highest when comparing the three double-chance options with Over 1.5 using a Poisson goal model.
Model goals are estimates from past scores, not shot-based expected goals. These form records were saved with the prediction before kickoff. League position is context below and is not an input to this goal model. Injuries, lineups and odds are not included.
Recent results and goal trends
LAST 10 GAMES
AZ Alkmaar recent form
2.20 goals scored and 0.90 conceded per game. 8 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FeyenoordEredivisie | Away | 0–2 | Lost | |
| TelstarEredivisie | Home | 1–0 | Won | |
| SunderlandUEFA Europa League | Away | 0–1 | Lost | |
| Willem IIEredivisie | Home | 1–1 | Draw | |
| HeerenveenEredivisie | Away | 3–2 | Won | |
| GO Ahead EaglesEredivisie | Home | 5–2 | Won | |
| Fortuna SittardEredivisie | Away | 2–0 | Won | |
| UtrechtEredivisie | Away | 4–1 | Won | |
| ADO Den HaagEredivisie | Home | 2–0 | Won | |
| PSV EindhovenSuper Cup | Away | 4–0 | Won |
Scores shown from AZ Alkmaar’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.
LAST 10 GAMES
Hapoel Beer Sheva recent form
1.40 goals scored and 1.50 conceded per game. 8 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ironi TiberiasLigat Ha'al | Away | 2–0 | Won | |
| Ironi Kiryat ShmonaLigat Ha'al | Home | 1–0 | Won | |
| Dinamo ZagrebUEFA Europa League | Home | 0–0 | Draw | |
| Hapoel Petah TikvaLigat Ha'al | Away | 2–0 | Won | |
| Maccabi Tel AvivLigat Ha'al | Home | 1–4 | Lost | |
| Hapoel HaifaLigat Ha'al | Home | 2–2 | Draw | |
| Hapoel Ramat GanLigat Ha'al | Away | 2–1 | Won | |
| Sabah FAUEFA Champions League | Away | 2–3 | Lost | |
| Sabah FAUEFA Champions League | Home | 2–1 | Won | |
| Hapoel HaifaToto Cup Ligat Al | Away | 0–4 | Lost |
Scores shown from Hapoel Beer Sheva’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.
LEAGUE CONTEXT
UEFA Europa League — current table
Season 2026 · Latest stored table, updated . This table may include games played after this prediction was made.
Hapoel Beer Sheva are ranked 20 in UEFA Europa League, with 1 points from 1 games.
AZ Alkmaar are ranked 26 in UEFA Europa League, with 0 points from 1 games.
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Juventus | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 0 | 5 | 3 |
| 2 | Crystal Palace | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 4 | 3 |
| 3 | Sparta Praha | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 3 |
| 4 | Beşiktaş | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 3 |
| 5 | Union St. Gilloise | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 3 |
| 6 | Ferencvarosi TC | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 3 |
| 7 | Benfica | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 3 |
| 8 | Bayer Leverkusen | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 3 |
| 9 | OFI | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 3 |
| 10 | Bournemouth | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 3 |
| 11 | Lyon | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 3 |
| 12 | Torreense | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 3 |
| 13 | Olympiakos Piraeus | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 3 |
| 14 | Red Bull Salzburg | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 |
| 15 | Sunderland | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 |
| 16 | Omonia Nicosia | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 |
| 17 | Sturm Graz | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| 18 | Rennes | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| 19 | Dinamo Zagreb | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| 20 | Hapoel Beer Sheva | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| 21 | Jagiellonia | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | -1 | 0 |
| 22 | Real Sociedad | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | -1 | 0 |
| 23 | Anderlecht | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | -1 | 0 |
| 24 | Lillestrom | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | -1 | 0 |
| 25 | Celta Vigo | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | -1 | 0 |
| 26 | AZ Alkmaar | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | -1 | 0 |
| 27 | Levski Sofia | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | -1 | 0 |
| 28 | Celtic | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | -2 | 0 |
| 29 | 1899 Hoffenheim | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | -2 | 0 |
| 30 | AC Milan | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | -2 | 0 |
| 31 | Celje | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | -2 | 0 |
| 32 | Marseille | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 4 | -3 | 0 |
| 33 | Ararat-Armenia | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 4 | -3 | 0 |
| 34 | Plzen | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | -3 | 0 |
| 35 | Lech Poznan | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | -4 | 0 |
| 36 | NEC Nijmegen | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 5 | -5 | 0 |
P: played · W: wins · D: draws · L: losses · GF/GA: goals for/against · GD: goal difference · Pts: points. Highlighted rows identify this match’s teams.
About this prediction
We compare each team’s recent goals scored and conceded, giving more weight to recent games and the same home or away venue. A goal model then chooses double chance or Over 1.5 goals. Predictions can change before kickoff and are not guaranteed results. Live scores refresh every 5 seconds.