1 Lyga · Regular Season - 26
BabrungasvsJonava
Real Scored · Match preview
Match prediction · 10 October 2026
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THE PREDICTION
Our match outlook
Home or drawBased on 10 previous home-team games and 10 previous away-team games. Small samples provide less evidence.
Prediction saved
Match information
- Competition
- 1 Lyga
- Venue
- To be confirmed
- Status
- Not Started
- Score
- Not started
- 90-minute score
- —
- Last updated
Goals and cards
Goals
Match events are not yet available.
Cards
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Lineups
Lineups have not been supplied yet. Confirmed selections appear here when available.
Real Scored match analysis
Babrungas vs Jonava: match review and analysis
Babrungas vs Jonava in 1 Lyga on 10 October 2026. Compare recent results, goal trends and league positions in this match preview.
Real Scored brings together the match information, available team results and current standings below. The saved pre-match selection is Home or draw.
Babrungas recorded 7 wins, 1 draws and 2 losses in the 10 games used here, scoring 17 and conceding 7. Jonava recorded 3 wins, 1 draws and 6 losses, with 10 scored and 13 conceded across 10 games.
| Statistic | Babrungas | Jonava |
|---|---|---|
| Games | 10 | 10 |
| Wins | 7 | 3 |
| Draws | 1 | 1 |
| Losses | 2 | 6 |
| Goals scored | 17 | 10 |
| Goals conceded | 7 | 13 |
| Over 1.5 games | 7 | 7 |
Why this selection?
The calculation combines each team’s recent attacking record with the opposing defence. Newer games receive more weight, and results at the same home or away venue receive extra weight.
Babrungas: (1.73 weighted goals scored + 1.42 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 1.58 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
Jonava: (1.00 weighted goals scored + 0.85 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 0.92 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
The model favours the home side avoiding defeat. A home win or a draw satisfies this selection. It ranked highest when comparing the three double-chance options with Over 1.5 using a Poisson goal model.
Model goals are estimates from past scores, not shot-based expected goals. These form records were saved with the prediction before kickoff. League position is context below and is not an input to this goal model. Injuries, lineups and odds are not included.
Recent results and goal trends
LAST 10 GAMES
Babrungas recent form
1.70 goals scored and 0.70 conceded per game. 7 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Žalgiris II1 Lyga | Away | 1–0 | Won | |
| Atmosfera1 Lyga | Home | 3–2 | Won | |
| BFA1 Lyga | Away | 1–2 | Lost | |
| Garliava1 Lyga | Away | 1–0 | Won | |
| Tauras1 Lyga | Home | 1–1 | Draw | |
| Neptūną Klaipėda1 Lyga | Away | 4–0 | Won | |
| Dainava1 Lyga | Away | 1–2 | Lost | |
| Transinvest 21 Lyga | Away | 1–0 | Won | |
| Ekranas1 Lyga | Home | 2–0 | Won | |
| Kauno Žalgiris II1 Lyga | Away | 2–0 | Won |
Scores shown from Babrungas’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.
LAST 10 GAMES
Jonava recent form
1.00 goals scored and 1.30 conceded per game. 7 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tauras1 Lyga | Home | 2–3 | Lost | |
| Neptūną Klaipėda1 Lyga | Away | 0–2 | Lost | |
| Dainava1 Lyga | Home | 0–0 | Draw | |
| Transinvest 21 Lyga | Away | 2–1 | Won | |
| FA Šiauliai II1 Lyga | Home | 0–1 | Lost | |
| Kauno Žalgiris II1 Lyga | Away | 1–2 | Lost | |
| Ekranas1 Lyga | Home | 1–2 | Lost | |
| Be1 NFA1 Lyga | Away | 2–0 | Won | |
| Garliava1 Lyga | Home | 1–0 | Won | |
| Minija1 Lyga | Away | 1–2 | Lost |
Scores shown from Jonava’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.
LEAGUE CONTEXT
1 Lyga — current table
Season 2026 · Latest stored table, updated . Refresh delayed; showing the last available table. This table may include games played after this prediction was made.
Babrungas are ranked 2 in 1 Lyga, with 61 points from 25 games.
Jonava are ranked 10 in 1 Lyga, with 27 points from 25 games.
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Minija | 25 | 22 | 1 | 2 | 68 | 13 | 55 | 67 |
| 2 | Babrungas | 25 | 19 | 4 | 2 | 43 | 11 | 32 | 61 |
| 3 | Be1 NFA | 25 | 16 | 3 | 6 | 45 | 27 | 18 | 51 |
| 4 | Žalgiris II | 26 | 14 | 4 | 8 | 40 | 33 | 7 | 46 |
| 5 | Neptūną Klaipėda | 25 | 14 | 2 | 9 | 33 | 30 | 3 | 44 |
| 6 | Tauras | 25 | 13 | 4 | 8 | 43 | 31 | 12 | 43 |
| 7 | BFA | 26 | 13 | 4 | 9 | 40 | 37 | 3 | 43 |
| 8 | Dainava | 26 | 11 | 8 | 7 | 37 | 27 | 10 | 41 |
| 9 | Atmosfera | 24 | 8 | 6 | 10 | 37 | 33 | 4 | 30 |
| 10 | Jonava | 25 | 7 | 6 | 12 | 28 | 33 | -5 | 27 |
| 11 | Garliava | 25 | 7 | 4 | 14 | 29 | 31 | -2 | 25 |
| 12 | Kauno Žalgiris II | 26 | 7 | 2 | 17 | 26 | 46 | -20 | 23 |
| 13 | Hegelmann II | 25 | 7 | 1 | 17 | 30 | 56 | -26 | 22 |
| 14 | Transinvest 2 | 25 | 6 | 3 | 16 | 29 | 58 | -29 | 21 |
| 15 | FA Šiauliai II | 26 | 4 | 6 | 16 | 30 | 59 | -29 | 18 |
| 16 | Ekranas | 25 | 4 | 2 | 19 | 25 | 58 | -33 | 14 |
P: played · W: wins · D: draws · L: losses · GF/GA: goals for/against · GD: goal difference · Pts: points. Highlighted rows identify this match’s teams.
About this prediction
We compare each team’s recent goals scored and conceded, giving more weight to recent games and the same home or away venue. A goal model then chooses double chance or Over 1.5 goals. Predictions can change before kickoff and are not guaranteed results. Live scores refresh every 5 seconds.