Liga Profesional Argentina · Clausura - 11
Banfield1–1Rosario Central
Real Scored · Match result
Match prediction · 6 October 2026
Match Finished
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THE PREDICTION
Our match outlook
Away or drawWon
Based on 10 previous home-team games and 10 previous away-team games. Small samples provide less evidence.
Prediction saved
Match information
- Competition
- Liga Profesional Argentina
- Venue
- Estadio Florencio Sola
- Status
- Match Finished
- Score
- 1–1
- 90-minute score
- 1–1
- Last updated
Goals and cards
Goals
- 41′
- 80′
Cards
- 12′Tomas AdoryanYellow CardBanfieldFoul
- 30′Federico NavarroYellow CardRosario CentralFoul
- 76′Emanuel CoronelYellow CardRosario CentralFoul
- 83′Santiago EsquivelYellow CardBanfieldFoul
Events updated
Lineups
Banfield
Formation: 4-2-3-1
Coach: Pedro Troglio
Starting XI
- 50D. RodriguezG
- 4J. L. AlfaroD
- 2S. DanieleD
- 6N. MerianoD
- 27I. AbrahamD
- 20T. AdoryanM
- 5S. EsquivelM
- 18F. MedinaM
- 10L. GomezM
- 40D. ZalazarM
- 9A. BalboaF
Substitutes
- 25G. SantilliG
- 3N. PazD
- 19L. CanoD
- 37R. MalancaD
- 13B. OviedoD
- 21L. VillegasM
- 24S. LopezM
- 35N. PaisM
- 30F. AnselmoF
- 28M. HernandezF
- 7L. PineroF
- 16J. AcostaF
Rosario Central
Formation: 4-2-3-1
Coach: Jorge Almiron
Starting XI
- 23C. LedesmaG
- 32E. CoronelD
- 46I. OvandoD
- 13G. AvilaD
- 33A. SotoD
- 31F. NavarroM
- 5F. IbarraM
- 27G. DuarteM
- 11A. Di MariaM
- 26G. CantizanoM
- 22E. CopettiF
Substitutes
- 38D. FernandezG
- 6J. KomarD
- 24J. GimenezD
- 15F. Mallo BlancoD
- 2S. ZarachoD
- 42E. VeronD
- 55F. CarniceroD
- 44P. GiacconeM
- 9M. RubenF
- 10F. CerviM
- 16T. BadaloniF
- 18J. FernandezF
G: goalkeeper · D: defender · M: midfielder · F: forward. Select a player to view their profile.
Lineups updated
Real Scored match analysis
Banfield vs Rosario Central: match review and analysis
Banfield vs Rosario Central in Liga Profesional Argentina on 6 October 2026 has finished at full time. The match goal score was 1–1. Review the team form and league context below.
Real Scored brings together the match information, available team results and current standings below. The saved pre-match selection is Away or draw.
Banfield recorded 1 wins, 5 draws and 4 losses in the 10 games used here, scoring 11 and conceding 16. Rosario Central recorded 5 wins, 3 draws and 2 losses, with 12 scored and 8 conceded across 10 games.
| Statistic | Banfield | Rosario Central |
|---|---|---|
| Games | 10 | 10 |
| Wins | 1 | 5 |
| Draws | 5 | 3 |
| Losses | 4 | 2 |
| Goals scored | 11 | 12 |
| Goals conceded | 16 | 8 |
| Over 1.5 games | 8 | 5 |
Why this selection?
The calculation combines each team’s recent attacking record with the opposing defence. Newer games receive more weight, and results at the same home or away venue receive extra weight.
Banfield: (1.22 weighted goals scored + 0.79 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 1.01 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
Rosario Central: (1.37 weighted goals scored + 1.72 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 1.55 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
The model favours the away side avoiding defeat. An away win or a draw satisfies this selection. It ranked highest when comparing the three double-chance options with Over 1.5 using a Poisson goal model.
Model goals are estimates from past scores, not shot-based expected goals. These form records were saved with the prediction before kickoff. League position is context below and is not an input to this goal model. Injuries, lineups and odds are not included.
Recent results and goal trends
LAST 10 GAMES
Banfield recent form
1.10 goals scored and 1.60 conceded per game. 8 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gimnasia L.P.Liga Profesional Argentina | Away | 2–2 | Draw | |
| Barracas CentralLiga Profesional Argentina | Home | 1–1 | Draw | |
| Deportivo RiestraCopa Argentina | Away | 1–1 | Draw | |
| AldosiviLiga Profesional Argentina | Away | 1–3 | Lost | |
| River PlateLiga Profesional Argentina | Home | 2–3 | Lost | |
| Newells Old BoysLiga Profesional Argentina | Away | 1–2 | Lost | |
| MidlandCopa Argentina | Home | 2–2 | Draw | |
| Racing ClubLiga Profesional Argentina | Away | 1–0 | Won | |
| Belgrano CordobaLiga Profesional Argentina | Home | 0–2 | Lost | |
| Estudiantes de Rio CuartoLiga Profesional Argentina | Away | 0–0 | Draw |
Scores shown from Banfield’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.
LAST 10 GAMES
Rosario Central recent form
1.20 goals scored and 0.80 conceded per game. 5 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Estudiantes L.P.Super Copa International | Away | 3–1 | Won | |
| Argentinos JRSLiga Profesional Argentina | Home | 1–0 | Won | |
| TigreLiga Profesional Argentina | Away | 1–0 | Won | |
| Newells Old BoysLiga Profesional Argentina | Home | 1–1 | Draw | |
| Gimnasia L.P.Liga Profesional Argentina | Home | 1–2 | Lost | |
| Talleres CordobaLiga Profesional Argentina | Away | 2–2 | Draw | |
| CorinthiansCONMEBOL Libertadores | Away | 0–1 | Lost | |
| Barracas CentralLiga Profesional Argentina | Away | 1–0 | Won | |
| CorinthiansCONMEBOL Libertadores | Home | 0–0 | Draw | |
| AldosiviLiga Profesional Argentina | Home | 2–1 | Won |
Scores shown from Rosario Central’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.
LEAGUE CONTEXT
Liga Profesional Argentina — current table
Season 2026 · Latest stored table, updated . Refresh delayed; showing the last available table. This table may include games played after this prediction was made.
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Estudiantes L.P. | 16 | 9 | 4 | 3 | 19 | 7 | 12 | 31 |
| 2 | Boca Juniors | 16 | 8 | 6 | 2 | 22 | 9 | 13 | 30 |
| 3 | Velez Sarsfield | 16 | 7 | 7 | 2 | 18 | 12 | 6 | 28 |
| 4 | Talleres Cordoba | 16 | 7 | 5 | 4 | 17 | 13 | 4 | 26 |
| 5 | Independiente | 16 | 6 | 6 | 4 | 24 | 20 | 4 | 24 |
| 6 | Lanus | 16 | 6 | 6 | 4 | 18 | 15 | 3 | 24 |
| 7 | San Lorenzo | 16 | 5 | 7 | 4 | 14 | 14 | 0 | 22 |
| 8 | Union Santa Fe | 16 | 5 | 6 | 5 | 24 | 20 | 4 | 21 |
| 9 | Instituto Cordoba | 16 | 6 | 3 | 7 | 17 | 17 | 0 | 21 |
| 10 | Defensa Y Justicia | 16 | 4 | 7 | 5 | 18 | 21 | -3 | 19 |
| 11 | Gimnasia M. | 16 | 5 | 4 | 7 | 14 | 22 | -8 | 19 |
| 12 | Platense | 16 | 3 | 7 | 6 | 10 | 15 | -5 | 16 |
| 13 | Central Cordoba de Santiago | 16 | 4 | 4 | 8 | 11 | 21 | -10 | 16 |
| 14 | Newells Old Boys | 16 | 3 | 6 | 7 | 15 | 27 | -12 | 15 |
| 15 | Deportivo Riestra | 16 | 1 | 8 | 7 | 5 | 12 | -7 | 11 |
Rosario Central are ranked 4 in Apertura - Group B, with 28 points from 16 games.
Banfield are ranked 12 in Apertura - Group B, with 18 points from 16 games.
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Independ. Rivadavia | 16 | 10 | 4 | 2 | 29 | 15 | 14 | 34 |
| 2 | River Plate | 16 | 9 | 2 | 5 | 22 | 12 | 10 | 29 |
| 3 | Argentinos JRS | 16 | 8 | 5 | 3 | 17 | 13 | 4 | 29 |
| 4 | Rosario Central | 16 | 8 | 4 | 4 | 20 | 16 | 4 | 28 |
| 5 | Belgrano Cordoba | 16 | 7 | 5 | 4 | 17 | 13 | 4 | 26 |
| 6 | Gimnasia L.P. | 16 | 8 | 2 | 6 | 19 | 19 | 0 | 26 |
| 7 | Huracan | 16 | 5 | 7 | 4 | 17 | 13 | 4 | 22 |
| 8 | Racing Club | 16 | 5 | 6 | 5 | 17 | 15 | 2 | 21 |
| 9 | Barracas Central | 16 | 5 | 6 | 5 | 15 | 15 | 0 | 21 |
| 10 | Tigre | 16 | 4 | 8 | 4 | 18 | 15 | 3 | 20 |
| 11 | Sarmiento Junin | 16 | 6 | 1 | 9 | 13 | 20 | -7 | 19 |
| 12 | Banfield | 16 | 5 | 3 | 8 | 17 | 19 | -2 | 18 |
| 13 | Atletico Tucuman | 16 | 3 | 5 | 8 | 15 | 20 | -5 | 14 |
| 14 | Aldosivi | 16 | 0 | 8 | 8 | 6 | 19 | -13 | 8 |
| 15 | Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto | 16 | 1 | 2 | 13 | 5 | 24 | -19 | 5 |
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Instituto Cordoba | 11 | 8 | 1 | 2 | 17 | 8 | 9 | 25 |
| 2 | Velez Sarsfield | 11 | 5 | 6 | 0 | 17 | 11 | 6 | 21 |
| 3 | Defensa Y Justicia | 11 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 16 | 11 | 5 | 21 |
| 4 | Boca Juniors | 11 | 5 | 5 | 1 | 17 | 11 | 6 | 20 |
| 5 | Lanus | 11 | 5 | 2 | 4 | 13 | 9 | 4 | 17 |
| 6 | Newells Old Boys | 11 | 4 | 5 | 2 | 11 | 8 | 3 | 17 |
| 7 | Gimnasia M. | 11 | 5 | 2 | 4 | 14 | 12 | 2 | 17 |
| 8 | Independiente | 11 | 5 | 2 | 4 | 11 | 12 | -1 | 17 |
| 9 | Estudiantes L.P. | 11 | 4 | 1 | 6 | 13 | 11 | 2 | 13 |
| 10 | Union Santa Fe | 11 | 4 | 1 | 6 | 17 | 19 | -2 | 13 |
| 11 | Deportivo Riestra | 11 | 2 | 5 | 4 | 9 | 11 | -2 | 11 |
| 12 | San Lorenzo | 11 | 3 | 2 | 6 | 4 | 11 | -7 | 11 |
| 13 | Platense | 11 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 11 | 17 | -6 | 10 |
| 14 | Central Cordoba de Santiago | 11 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 8 | 14 | -6 | 9 |
| 15 | Talleres Cordoba | 11 | 2 | 2 | 7 | 11 | 18 | -7 | 8 |
Rosario Central are ranked 3 in Clausura - Group B, with 19 points from 11 games.
Banfield are ranked 13 in Clausura - Group B, with 10 points from 11 games.
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Argentinos JRS | 11 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 15 | 10 | 5 | 21 |
| 2 | Belgrano Cordoba | 11 | 5 | 4 | 2 | 12 | 7 | 5 | 19 |
| 3 | Rosario Central | 11 | 5 | 4 | 2 | 12 | 9 | 3 | 19 |
| 4 | Huracan | 11 | 5 | 4 | 2 | 11 | 8 | 3 | 19 |
| 5 | Independ. Rivadavia | 11 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 15 | 14 | 1 | 18 |
| 6 | Gimnasia L.P. | 11 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 16 | 16 | 0 | 18 |
| 7 | Sarmiento Junin | 10 | 5 | 1 | 4 | 17 | 16 | 1 | 16 |
| 8 | Barracas Central | 11 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 8 | 9 | -1 | 15 |
| 9 | River Plate | 10 | 4 | 1 | 5 | 13 | 12 | 1 | 13 |
| 10 | Atletico Tucuman | 11 | 3 | 4 | 4 | 9 | 9 | 0 | 13 |
| 11 | Tigre | 11 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 10 | 11 | -1 | 12 |
| 12 | Racing Club | 11 | 3 | 2 | 6 | 13 | 17 | -4 | 11 |
| 13 | Banfield | 11 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 12 | 17 | -5 | 10 |
| 14 | Aldosivi | 11 | 2 | 2 | 7 | 12 | 17 | -5 | 8 |
| 15 | Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto | 11 | 1 | 3 | 7 | 6 | 15 | -9 | 6 |
P: played · W: wins · D: draws · L: losses · GF/GA: goals for/against · GD: goal difference · Pts: points. Highlighted rows identify this match’s teams.
About this prediction
We compare each team’s recent goals scored and conceded, giving more weight to recent games and the same home or away venue. A goal model then chooses double chance or Over 1.5 goals. Predictions can change before kickoff and are not guaranteed results. Live scores refresh every 5 seconds.