NPFL · Regular Season - 8
Barau FCvsEnugu Rangers
Real Scored · Match preview
Match prediction · 11 October 2026
Not Started
This match has finished. Go back home for the latest fixtures →
THE PREDICTION
Our match outlook
Over 1.5 goalsBased on 10 previous home-team games and 10 previous away-team games. Small samples provide less evidence.
Prediction saved
Match information
- Competition
- NPFL
- Venue
- To be confirmed
- Status
- Not Started
- Score
- Not started
- 90-minute score
- —
- Last updated
Goals and cards
Goals
Match events are not yet available.
Cards
Match events are not yet available.
Lineups
Lineups have not been supplied yet. Confirmed selections appear here when available.
Real Scored match analysis
Barau FC vs Enugu Rangers: match review and analysis
Barau FC vs Enugu Rangers in NPFL on 11 October 2026. Compare recent results, goal trends and league positions in this match preview.
Real Scored brings together the match information, available team results and current standings below. The saved pre-match selection is Over 1.5 goals.
Barau FC recorded 5 wins, 4 draws and 1 losses in the 10 games used here, scoring 15 and conceding 10. Enugu Rangers recorded 5 wins, 3 draws and 2 losses, with 16 scored and 12 conceded across 10 games.
| Statistic | Barau FC | Enugu Rangers |
|---|---|---|
| Games | 10 | 10 |
| Wins | 5 | 5 |
| Draws | 4 | 3 |
| Losses | 1 | 2 |
| Goals scored | 15 | 16 |
| Goals conceded | 10 | 12 |
| Over 1.5 games | 7 | 8 |
Why this selection?
The calculation combines each team’s recent attacking record with the opposing defence. Newer games receive more weight, and results at the same home or away venue receive extra weight.
Barau FC: (1.57 weighted goals scored + 1.16 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 1.36 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
Enugu Rangers: (1.60 weighted goals scored + 1.05 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 1.32 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
The combined scoring outlook makes at least two total goals the strongest of the four options compared. Either team can score those goals. It ranked highest when comparing the three double-chance options with Over 1.5 using a Poisson goal model.
Model goals are estimates from past scores, not shot-based expected goals. These form records were saved with the prediction before kickoff. League position is context below and is not an input to this goal model. Injuries, lineups and odds are not included.
Recent results and goal trends
LAST 10 GAMES
Barau FC recent form
1.50 goals scored and 1.00 conceded per game. 7 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bendel InsuranceNPFL | Away | 1–4 | Lost | |
| Sporting LagosNPFL | Away | 1–1 | Draw | |
| Abia WarriorsNPFL | Home | 2–0 | Won | |
| Ikorodu CityNPFL | Away | 0–0 | Draw | |
| Ranchers BeesNPFL | Home | 3–1 | Won | |
| Kun Khalifat FCNPFL | Away | 0–0 | Draw | |
| Nasarawa UnitedNPFL | Home | 3–1 | Won | |
| Ikorodu CityFederation Cup | Away | 2–2 | Draw | |
| Sunshine Stars U19Federation Cup | Away | 2–1 | Won | |
| AbakalikiFederation Cup | Home | 1–0 | Won |
Scores shown from Barau FC’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.
LAST 10 GAMES
Enugu Rangers recent form
1.60 goals scored and 1.20 conceded per game. 8 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Abia WarriorsNPFL | Home | 3–1 | Won | |
| Warri WolvesNPFL | Away | 1–0 | Won | |
| Ikorodu CityNPFL | Away | 0–2 | Lost | |
| Ranchers BeesNPFL | Home | 1–0 | Won | |
| Kun Khalifat FCNPFL | Away | 4–2 | Won | |
| Nasarawa UnitedNPFL | Home | 2–1 | Won | |
| AS SobemapCAF Champions League | Away | 1–1 | Draw | |
| AS SobemapCAF Champions League | Home | 1–1 | Draw | |
| Katsina UnitedNPFL | Home | 1–1 | Draw | |
| Rivers UnitedFederation Cup | Away | 2–3 | Lost |
Scores shown from Enugu Rangers’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.
LEAGUE CONTEXT
NPFL — current table
Season 2027 · Latest stored table, updated . Refresh delayed; showing the last available table. This table may include games played after this prediction was made.
Enugu Rangers are ranked 1 in Premier League, with 16 points from 7 games.
Barau FC are ranked 4 in Premier League, with 12 points from 7 games.
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Enugu Rangers | 7 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 12 | 7 | 5 | 16 |
| 2 | Rivers United | 7 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 13 | 2 | 11 | 15 |
| 3 | Doma United | 7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 10 | 8 | 2 | 13 |
| 4 | Barau FC | 7 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 10 | 7 | 3 | 12 |
| 5 | Bendel Insurance | 7 | 4 | 0 | 3 | 13 | 11 | 2 | 12 |
| 6 | Katsina United | 8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 10 | 11 | -1 | 12 |
| 7 | Kano Pillars | 7 | 2 | 5 | 0 | 11 | 7 | 4 | 11 |
| 8 | Plateau United | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 9 | 8 | 1 | 11 |
| 9 | Kwara United | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 9 | 7 | 2 | 10 |
| 10 | Ikorodu City | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 8 | 7 | 1 | 9 |
| 11 | Sporting Lagos | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 8 | 8 | 0 | 9 |
| 12 | Niger Tornadoes | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 7 | -1 | 8 |
| 13 | Shooting Stars | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 7 | 9 | -2 | 8 |
| 14 | Nasarawa United | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 8 | -2 | 8 |
| 15 | Abia Warriors | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 8 | 11 | -3 | 8 |
| 16 | Ranchers Bees | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 9 | 10 | -1 | 7 |
| 17 | Enyimba | 8 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 11 | 14 | -3 | 7 |
| 18 | Warri Wolves | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 6 | -3 | 7 |
| 19 | Inter Lagos | 7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 10 | -6 | 5 |
| 20 | Kun Khalifat FC | 7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 14 | -9 | 5 |
P: played · W: wins · D: draws · L: losses · GF/GA: goals for/against · GD: goal difference · Pts: points. Highlighted rows identify this match’s teams.
About this prediction
We compare each team’s recent goals scored and conceded, giving more weight to recent games and the same home or away venue. A goal model then chooses double chance or Over 1.5 goals. Predictions can change before kickoff and are not guaranteed results. Live scores refresh every 5 seconds.