FA Cup · 3rd Round Qualifying
Barton Town Old Boys1–4Chorley
Real Scored · Match result
Match prediction · 3 October 2026
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THE PREDICTION
Our match outlook
Over 1.5 goalsWon
Based on 10 previous home-team games and 10 previous away-team games. Small samples provide less evidence.
Prediction saved
Match information
- Competition
- FA Cup
- Venue
- To be confirmed
- Status
- Match Finished
- Score
- 1–4
- 90-minute score
- 1–4
- Last updated
Goals and cards
Goals
Match events are not yet available.
Cards
Match events are not yet available.
Lineups
Lineups have not been supplied yet. Confirmed selections appear here when available.
Real Scored match analysis
Barton Town Old Boys vs Chorley: match review and analysis
Barton Town Old Boys vs Chorley in FA Cup on 3 October 2026 has finished at full time. The match goal score was 1–4. Review the team form and league context below.
Real Scored brings together the match information, available team results and current standings below. The saved pre-match selection is Over 1.5 goals.
Barton Town Old Boys recorded 5 wins, 2 draws and 3 losses in the 10 games used here, scoring 17 and conceding 19. Chorley recorded 5 wins, 2 draws and 3 losses, with 16 scored and 15 conceded across 10 games.
| Statistic | Barton Town Old Boys | Chorley |
|---|---|---|
| Games | 10 | 10 |
| Wins | 5 | 5 |
| Draws | 2 | 2 |
| Losses | 3 | 3 |
| Goals scored | 17 | 16 |
| Goals conceded | 19 | 15 |
| Over 1.5 games | 8 | 9 |
Why this selection?
The calculation combines each team’s recent attacking record with the opposing defence. Newer games receive more weight, and results at the same home or away venue receive extra weight.
Barton Town Old Boys: (1.76 weighted goals scored + 1.49 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 1.62 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
Chorley: (1.41 weighted goals scored + 1.77 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 1.59 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
The combined scoring outlook makes at least two total goals the strongest of the four options compared. Either team can score those goals. It ranked highest when comparing the three double-chance options with Over 1.5 using a Poisson goal model.
Model goals are estimates from past scores, not shot-based expected goals. These form records were saved with the prediction before kickoff. League position is context below and is not an input to this goal model. Injuries, lineups and odds are not included.
Recent results and goal trends
LAST 10 GAMES
Barton Town Old Boys recent form
1.70 goals scored and 1.90 conceded per game. 8 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Boldmere St. MichaelsFA Cup | Home | 3–1 | Won | |
| North FerribyFA Cup | Home | 2–0 | Won | |
| North FerribyFA Cup | Away | 0–0 | Draw | |
| Carlton TownFA Cup | Home | 1–6 | Lost | |
| Loughborough UniversityFA Cup | Home | 2–1 | Won | |
| Loughborough UniversityFA Cup | Away | 1–1 | Draw | |
| Rugby TownFA Cup | Home | 0–1 | Lost | |
| Northampton ON ChenecksFA Cup | Away | 3–2 | Won | |
| Newark TownFA Cup | Home | 5–2 | Won | |
| ScunthorpeFriendlies Clubs | Home | 0–5 | Lost |
Scores shown from Barton Town Old Boys’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.
LAST 10 GAMES
Chorley recent form
1.60 goals scored and 1.50 conceded per game. 9 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spalding UnitedNational League - North | Home | 2–1 | Won | |
| RylandsFA Cup | Away | 1–0 | Won | |
| King's Lynn TownNational League - North | Away | 0–2 | Lost | |
| Darlington 1883National League - North | Home | 5–2 | Won | |
| Oxford CityNational League - North | Away | 0–4 | Lost | |
| Brackley TownNational League - North | Home | 2–2 | Draw | |
| Merthyr TownNational League - North | Away | 1–1 | Draw | |
| Scarborough AthleticNational League - North | Home | 2–1 | Won | |
| MarineNational League - North | Away | 2–0 | Won | |
| South ShieldsNational League - North | Away | 1–2 | Lost |
Scores shown from Chorley’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.
LEAGUE CONTEXT
FA Cup — current table
No league table is currently available for this competition and season. Some cup rounds and friendlies do not have standings.
About this prediction
We compare each team’s recent goals scored and conceded, giving more weight to recent games and the same home or away venue. A goal model then chooses double chance or Over 1.5 goals. Predictions can change before kickoff and are not guaranteed results. Live scores refresh every 5 seconds.