III Liga - Group 3 · Group III - 12
Barycz SułówvsStal Brzeg
Real Scored · Match preview
Match prediction · 10 October 2026
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THE PREDICTION
Our match outlook
Over 1.5 goalsBased on 10 previous home-team games and 10 previous away-team games. Small samples provide less evidence.
Prediction saved
Match information
- Competition
- III Liga - Group 3
- Venue
- To be confirmed
- Status
- Not Started
- Score
- Not started
- 90-minute score
- —
- Last updated
Goals and cards
Goals
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Cards
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Lineups
Lineups have not been supplied yet. Confirmed selections appear here when available.
Real Scored match analysis
Barycz Sułów vs Stal Brzeg: match review and analysis
Barycz Sułów vs Stal Brzeg in III Liga - Group 3 on 10 October 2026. Compare recent results, goal trends and league positions in this match preview.
Real Scored brings together the match information, available team results and current standings below. The saved pre-match selection is Over 1.5 goals.
Barycz Sułów recorded 5 wins, 2 draws and 3 losses in the 10 games used here, scoring 16 and conceding 13. Stal Brzeg recorded 3 wins, 1 draws and 6 losses, with 17 scored and 16 conceded across 10 games.
| Statistic | Barycz Sułów | Stal Brzeg |
|---|---|---|
| Games | 10 | 10 |
| Wins | 5 | 3 |
| Draws | 2 | 1 |
| Losses | 3 | 6 |
| Goals scored | 16 | 17 |
| Goals conceded | 13 | 16 |
| Over 1.5 games | 7 | 6 |
Why this selection?
The calculation combines each team’s recent attacking record with the opposing defence. Newer games receive more weight, and results at the same home or away venue receive extra weight.
Barycz Sułów: (1.73 weighted goals scored + 1.78 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 1.75 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
Stal Brzeg: (1.47 weighted goals scored + 1.36 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 1.42 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
The combined scoring outlook makes at least two total goals the strongest of the four options compared. Either team can score those goals. It ranked highest when comparing the three double-chance options with Over 1.5 using a Poisson goal model.
Model goals are estimates from past scores, not shot-based expected goals. These form records were saved with the prediction before kickoff. League position is context below and is not an input to this goal model. Injuries, lineups and odds are not included.
Recent results and goal trends
LAST 10 GAMES
Barycz Sułów recent form
1.60 goals scored and 1.30 conceded per game. 7 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Stilon GorzówIII Liga - Group 3 | Away | 1–2 | Lost | |
| Zagłębie Lubin IIIII Liga - Group 3 | Home | 3–3 | Draw | |
| Odra Bytom OdrzańskiIII Liga - Group 3 | Away | 0–1 | Lost | |
| Górnik PolkowiceIII Liga - Group 3 | Home | 2–1 | Won | |
| Zaglebie SosnowiecIII Liga - Group 3 | Home | 1–0 | Won | |
| Carina GubinIII Liga - Group 3 | Away | 1–0 | Won | |
| ROW RybnikIII Liga - Group 3 | Home | 4–0 | Won | |
| Karkonosze Jelenia GóraIII Liga - Group 3 | Away | 0–3 | Lost | |
| Warta GorzówIII Liga - Group 3 | Home | 2–2 | Draw | |
| Miedź Legnica IIIII Liga - Group 3 | Away | 2–1 | Won |
Scores shown from Barycz Sułów’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.
LAST 10 GAMES
Stal Brzeg recent form
1.70 goals scored and 1.60 conceded per game. 6 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Carina GubinIII Liga - Group 3 | Home | 0–1 | Lost | |
| ROW RybnikIII Liga - Group 3 | Away | 3–4 | Lost | |
| Karkonosze Jelenia GóraIII Liga - Group 3 | Home | 1–0 | Won | |
| Warta GorzówIII Liga - Group 3 | Away | 0–1 | Lost | |
| Miedź Legnica IIIII Liga - Group 3 | Home | 2–4 | Lost | |
| KluczborkIII Liga - Group 3 | Away | 0–1 | Lost | |
| Rakow IIIII Liga - Group 3 | Home | 3–0 | Won | |
| Polonia NysaIII Liga - Group 3 | Away | 2–3 | Lost | |
| Sparta KatowiceIII Liga - Group 3 | Home | 1–1 | Draw | |
| Ślęza WrocławIII Liga - Group 3 | Home | 5–1 | Won |
Scores shown from Stal Brzeg’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.
LEAGUE CONTEXT
III Liga - Group 3 — current table
Season 2026 · Latest stored table, updated . Refresh delayed; showing the last available table. This table may include games played after this prediction was made.
Barycz Sułów are ranked 4 in Group III, with 20 points from 11 games.
Stal Brzeg are ranked 13 in Group III, with 11 points from 11 games.
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Sparta Katowice | 11 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 19 | 7 | 12 | 24 |
| 2 | Zagłębie Lubin II | 11 | 6 | 5 | 0 | 23 | 13 | 10 | 23 |
| 3 | Odra Bytom Odrzański | 11 | 7 | 2 | 2 | 12 | 5 | 7 | 23 |
| 4 | Barycz Sułów | 11 | 6 | 2 | 3 | 18 | 13 | 5 | 20 |
| 5 | Zaglebie Sosnowiec | 10 | 6 | 1 | 3 | 15 | 9 | 6 | 19 |
| 6 | Górnik Polkowice | 12 | 5 | 3 | 4 | 23 | 19 | 4 | 18 |
| 7 | ROW Rybnik | 11 | 5 | 2 | 4 | 23 | 18 | 5 | 17 |
| 8 | Stilon Gorzów | 12 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 20 | 19 | 1 | 16 |
| 9 | Karkonosze Jelenia Góra | 11 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 12 | 9 | 3 | 15 |
| 10 | Miedź Legnica II | 11 | 4 | 2 | 5 | 25 | 21 | 4 | 14 |
| 11 | Warta Gorzów | 11 | 3 | 5 | 3 | 11 | 17 | -6 | 14 |
| 12 | Kluczbork | 10 | 4 | 0 | 6 | 10 | 17 | -7 | 12 |
| 13 | Stal Brzeg | 11 | 3 | 2 | 6 | 18 | 17 | 1 | 11 |
| 14 | Goczałkowice Zdrój | 11 | 3 | 2 | 6 | 11 | 16 | -5 | 11 |
| 15 | Ślęza Wrocław | 11 | 3 | 1 | 7 | 17 | 26 | -9 | 10 |
| 16 | Rakow II | 9 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 12 | 17 | -5 | 9 |
| 17 | Polonia Nysa | 11 | 2 | 2 | 7 | 12 | 24 | -12 | 8 |
| 18 | Carina Gubin | 11 | 2 | 2 | 7 | 8 | 22 | -14 | 8 |
P: played · W: wins · D: draws · L: losses · GF/GA: goals for/against · GD: goal difference · Pts: points. Highlighted rows identify this match’s teams.
About this prediction
We compare each team’s recent goals scored and conceded, giving more weight to recent games and the same home or away venue. A goal model then chooses double chance or Over 1.5 goals. Predictions can change before kickoff and are not guaranteed results. Live scores refresh every 5 seconds.