Segunda División RFEF - Group 1 · Group 1 - 5
Basconia1–1Llanera
Real Scored · Match result
Match prediction · 3 October 2026
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THE PREDICTION
Our match outlook
Over 1.5 goalsWon
Based on 10 previous home-team games and 10 previous away-team games. Small samples provide less evidence.
Prediction saved
Match information
- Competition
- Segunda División RFEF - Group 1
- Venue
- To be confirmed
- Status
- Match Finished
- Score
- 1–1
- 90-minute score
- 1–1
- Last updated
Goals and cards
Goals
Match events are not yet available.
Cards
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Lineups
Lineups have not been supplied yet. Confirmed selections appear here when available.
Real Scored match analysis
Basconia vs Llanera: match review and analysis
Basconia vs Llanera in Segunda División RFEF - Group 1 on 3 October 2026 has finished at full time. The match goal score was 1–1. Review the team form and league context below.
Real Scored brings together the match information, available team results and current standings below. The saved pre-match selection is Over 1.5 goals.
Basconia recorded 4 wins, 4 draws and 2 losses in the 10 games used here, scoring 23 and conceding 15. Llanera recorded 6 wins, 1 draws and 3 losses, with 17 scored and 12 conceded across 10 games.
| Statistic | Basconia | Llanera |
|---|---|---|
| Games | 10 | 10 |
| Wins | 4 | 6 |
| Draws | 4 | 1 |
| Losses | 2 | 3 |
| Goals scored | 23 | 17 |
| Goals conceded | 15 | 12 |
| Over 1.5 games | 9 | 8 |
Why this selection?
The calculation combines each team’s recent attacking record with the opposing defence. Newer games receive more weight, and results at the same home or away venue receive extra weight.
Basconia: (2.33 weighted goals scored + 1.54 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 1.94 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
Llanera: (1.44 weighted goals scored + 1.54 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 1.49 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
The combined scoring outlook makes at least two total goals the strongest of the four options compared. Either team can score those goals. It ranked highest when comparing the three double-chance options with Over 1.5 using a Poisson goal model.
Model goals are estimates from past scores, not shot-based expected goals. These form records were saved with the prediction before kickoff. League position is context below and is not an input to this goal model. Injuries, lineups and odds are not included.
Recent results and goal trends
LAST 10 GAMES
Basconia recent form
2.30 goals scored and 1.50 conceded per game. 9 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Marino de LuancoSegunda División RFEF - Group 1 | Away | 2–1 | Won | |
| ArosaSegunda División RFEF - Group 1 | Home | 2–2 | Draw | |
| Atlético AstorgaSegunda División RFEF - Group 1 | Home | 3–2 | Won | |
| Ourense CFSegunda División RFEF - Group 1 | Away | 1–2 | Lost | |
| Racing Santander IIFriendlies Clubs | Away | 3–3 | Draw | |
| Gimnástica TorrelavegaFriendlies Clubs | Away | 1–2 | Lost | |
| EjeaSegunda División RFEF - Group 2 | Home | 5–1 | Won | |
| GernikaSegunda División RFEF - Group 2 | Home | 0–0 | Draw | |
| Sestao RiverSegunda División RFEF - Group 2 | Away | 2–2 | Draw | |
| MutilveraSegunda División RFEF - Group 2 | Home | 4–0 | Won |
Scores shown from Basconia’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.
LAST 10 GAMES
Llanera recent form
1.70 goals scored and 1.20 conceded per game. 8 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Racing Santander IISegunda División RFEF - Group 1 | Home | 2–1 | Won | |
| GernikaSegunda División RFEF - Group 1 | Away | 0–4 | Lost | |
| Deportivo Alavés IISegunda División RFEF - Group 1 | Home | 1–2 | Lost | |
| Gimnástica TorrelavegaSegunda División RFEF - Group 1 | Away | 1–2 | Lost | |
| Sporting Gijón IIFriendlies Clubs | Away | 2–2 | Draw | |
| Avilés StadiumFriendlies Clubs | Away | 1–0 | Won | |
| Avilés StadiumTercera División RFEF - Group 2 | Away | 2–1 | Won | |
| TuillaTercera División RFEF - Group 2 | Home | 4–0 | Won | |
| Real TitánicoTercera División RFEF - Group 2 | Home | 3–0 | Won | |
| LlanesTercera División RFEF - Group 2 | Away | 1–0 | Won |
Scores shown from Llanera’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.
LEAGUE CONTEXT
Segunda División RFEF - Group 1 — current table
Season 2026 · Latest stored table, updated . Refresh delayed; showing the last available table. This table may include games played after this prediction was made.
Basconia are ranked 7 in Segunda Rfef: Group 1, with 8 points from 5 games.
Llanera are ranked 15 in Segunda Rfef: Group 1, with 4 points from 5 games.
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Bergantiños | 5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 12 | 5 | 7 | 13 |
| 2 | Eibar II | 5 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 3 | 7 | 12 |
| 3 | Deportivo Alavés II | 5 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 6 | 6 | 12 |
| 4 | Sestao River | 5 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 3 | 4 | 12 |
| 5 | Ourense CF | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 10 |
| 6 | Gernika | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 12 | 5 | 7 | 8 |
| 7 | Basconia | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 9 | 8 | 1 | 8 |
| 8 | Amorebieta | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 7 |
| 9 | Portugalete | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 6 | -1 | 7 |
| 10 | Real Oviedo II | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 8 | 10 | -2 | 7 |
| 11 | Marino de Luanco | 5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 6 | 8 | -2 | 6 |
| 12 | Coruxo | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 7 | -1 | 5 |
| 13 | Compostela | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 6 | -3 | 4 |
| 14 | Gimnástica Torrelavega | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 6 | 10 | -4 | 4 |
| 15 | Llanera | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 10 | -5 | 4 |
| 16 | Atlético Astorga | 5 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 5 | 7 | -2 | 3 |
| 17 | Arosa | 5 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 6 | 13 | -7 | 3 |
| 18 | Racing Santander II | 5 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 11 | -8 | 1 |
P: played · W: wins · D: draws · L: losses · GF/GA: goals for/against · GD: goal difference · Pts: points. Highlighted rows identify this match’s teams.
About this prediction
We compare each team’s recent goals scored and conceded, giving more weight to recent games and the same home or away venue. A goal model then chooses double chance or Over 1.5 goals. Predictions can change before kickoff and are not guaranteed results. Live scores refresh every 5 seconds.