1. Liga Promotion · Regular Season - 10
Basel II3–2Luzern II
Real Scored · Match result
Match prediction · 3 October 2026
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THE PREDICTION
Our match outlook
Over 1.5 goalsWon
Based on 10 previous home-team games and 10 previous away-team games. Small samples provide less evidence.
Prediction saved
Match information
- Competition
- 1. Liga Promotion
- Venue
- To be confirmed
- Status
- Match Finished
- Score
- 3–2
- 90-minute score
- 3–2
- Last updated
Goals and cards
Goals
Match events are not yet available.
Cards
Match events are not yet available.
Lineups
Lineups have not been supplied yet. Confirmed selections appear here when available.
Real Scored match analysis
Basel II vs Luzern II: match review and analysis
Basel II vs Luzern II in 1. Liga Promotion on 3 October 2026 has finished at full time. The match goal score was 3–2. Review the team form and league context below.
Real Scored brings together the match information, available team results and current standings below. The saved pre-match selection is Over 1.5 goals.
Basel II recorded 5 wins, 0 draws and 5 losses in the 10 games used here, scoring 19 and conceding 19. Luzern II recorded 3 wins, 1 draws and 6 losses, with 16 scored and 17 conceded across 10 games.
| Statistic | Basel II | Luzern II |
|---|---|---|
| Games | 10 | 10 |
| Wins | 5 | 3 |
| Draws | 0 | 1 |
| Losses | 5 | 6 |
| Goals scored | 19 | 16 |
| Goals conceded | 19 | 17 |
| Over 1.5 games | 10 | 7 |
Why this selection?
The calculation combines each team’s recent attacking record with the opposing defence. Newer games receive more weight, and results at the same home or away venue receive extra weight.
Basel II: (1.82 weighted goals scored + 1.60 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 1.71 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
Luzern II: (1.51 weighted goals scored + 1.74 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 1.62 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
The combined scoring outlook makes at least two total goals the strongest of the four options compared. Either team can score those goals. It ranked highest when comparing the three double-chance options with Over 1.5 using a Poisson goal model.
Model goals are estimates from past scores, not shot-based expected goals. These form records were saved with the prediction before kickoff. League position is context below and is not an input to this goal model. Injuries, lineups and odds are not included.
Recent results and goal trends
LAST 10 GAMES
Basel II recent form
1.90 goals scored and 1.90 conceded per game. 10 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Young Boys II1. Liga Promotion | Away | 2–0 | Won | |
| Bulle1. Liga Promotion | Home | 1–2 | Lost | |
| Lugano II1. Liga Promotion | Away | 0–3 | Lost | |
| Brühl1. Liga Promotion | Home | 3–0 | Won | |
| YF Juventus1. Liga Promotion | Away | 3–2 | Won | |
| Zürich II1. Liga Promotion | Home | 2–3 | Lost | |
| Bellinzona1. Liga Promotion | Away | 3–2 | Won | |
| Grand-Saconnex1. Liga Promotion | Home | 1–2 | Lost | |
| Kreuzlingen1. Liga Promotion | Away | 1–3 | Lost | |
| Old BoysFriendlies Clubs | Away | 3–2 | Won |
Scores shown from Basel II’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.
LAST 10 GAMES
Luzern II recent form
1.60 goals scored and 1.70 conceded per game. 7 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Amical Saint-Prex1. Liga Promotion | Home | 2–3 | Lost | |
| Bavois1. Liga Promotion | Away | 1–0 | Won | |
| Biel-Bienne1. Liga Promotion | Home | 0–1 | Lost | |
| Breitenrain1. Liga Promotion | Away | 0–1 | Lost | |
| Young Boys II1. Liga Promotion | Away | 2–2 | Draw | |
| Bulle1. Liga Promotion | Home | 2–3 | Lost | |
| Lugano II1. Liga Promotion | Away | 3–4 | Lost | |
| Brühl1. Liga Promotion | Home | 0–2 | Lost | |
| YF Juventus1. Liga Promotion | Away | 3–0 | Won | |
| SolothurnFriendlies Clubs | Away | 3–1 | Won |
Scores shown from Luzern II’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.
LEAGUE CONTEXT
1. Liga Promotion — current table
Season 2026 · Latest stored table, updated . This table may include games played after this prediction was made.
Basel II are ranked 8 in 1 Liga Promotion, with 15 points from 10 games.
Luzern II are ranked 17 in 1 Liga Promotion, with 7 points from 10 games.
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Biel-Bienne | 10 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 23 | 10 | 13 | 25 |
| 2 | FC Schaffhausen | 10 | 7 | 1 | 2 | 21 | 13 | 8 | 22 |
| 3 | Bulle | 10 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 22 | 14 | 8 | 20 |
| 4 | Paradiso | 10 | 6 | 1 | 3 | 20 | 9 | 11 | 19 |
| 5 | Cham | 10 | 6 | 1 | 3 | 16 | 13 | 3 | 19 |
| 6 | Grand-Saconnex | 10 | 6 | 0 | 4 | 19 | 14 | 5 | 18 |
| 7 | YF Juventus | 10 | 5 | 1 | 4 | 14 | 14 | 0 | 16 |
| 8 | Basel II | 10 | 5 | 0 | 5 | 19 | 19 | 0 | 15 |
| 9 | Zürich II | 10 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 18 | 18 | 0 | 14 |
| 10 | Breitenrain | 10 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 13 | 15 | -2 | 14 |
| 11 | Amical Saint-Prex | 10 | 4 | 1 | 5 | 14 | 22 | -8 | 13 |
| 12 | Kreuzlingen | 10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 13 | 13 | 0 | 12 |
| 13 | Brühl | 10 | 3 | 2 | 5 | 12 | 15 | -3 | 11 |
| 14 | Young Boys II | 10 | 3 | 2 | 5 | 20 | 27 | -7 | 11 |
| 15 | Lugano II | 10 | 3 | 0 | 7 | 15 | 22 | -7 | 9 |
| 16 | Bavois | 10 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 10 | 12 | -2 | 8 |
| 17 | Luzern II | 10 | 2 | 1 | 7 | 15 | 19 | -4 | 7 |
| 18 | Bellinzona | 10 | 1 | 2 | 7 | 7 | 22 | -15 | 5 |
P: played · W: wins · D: draws · L: losses · GF/GA: goals for/against · GD: goal difference · Pts: points. Highlighted rows identify this match’s teams.
About this prediction
We compare each team’s recent goals scored and conceded, giving more weight to recent games and the same home or away venue. A goal model then chooses double chance or Over 1.5 goals. Predictions can change before kickoff and are not guaranteed results. Live scores refresh every 5 seconds.