NPFL · Regular Season - 7
Bendel Insurance4–1Barau FC
Real Scored · Match result
Match prediction · 4 October 2026
Match Finished
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THE PREDICTION
Our match outlook
Over 1.5 goalsWon
Based on 10 previous home-team games and 10 previous away-team games. Small samples provide less evidence.
Prediction saved
Match information
- Competition
- NPFL
- Venue
- Samuel Ogbemudia Stadium
- Status
- Match Finished
- Score
- 4–1
- 90-minute score
- 4–1
- Last updated
Goals and cards
Goals
Match events are not yet available.
Cards
Match events are not yet available.
Lineups
Lineups have not been supplied yet. Confirmed selections appear here when available.
Real Scored match analysis
Bendel Insurance vs Barau FC: match review and analysis
Bendel Insurance vs Barau FC in NPFL on 4 October 2026 has finished at full time. The match goal score was 4–1. Review the team form and league context below.
Real Scored brings together the match information, available team results and current standings below. The saved pre-match selection is Over 1.5 goals.
Bendel Insurance recorded 4 wins, 2 draws and 4 losses in the 10 games used here, scoring 17 and conceding 17. Barau FC recorded 6 wins, 4 draws and 0 losses, with 17 scored and 6 conceded across 10 games.
| Statistic | Bendel Insurance | Barau FC |
|---|---|---|
| Games | 10 | 10 |
| Wins | 4 | 6 |
| Draws | 2 | 4 |
| Losses | 4 | 0 |
| Goals scored | 17 | 17 |
| Goals conceded | 17 | 6 |
| Over 1.5 games | 9 | 7 |
Why this selection?
The calculation combines each team’s recent attacking record with the opposing defence. Newer games receive more weight, and results at the same home or away venue receive extra weight.
Bendel Insurance: (1.83 weighted goals scored + 0.62 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 1.22 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
Barau FC: (1.44 weighted goals scored + 1.71 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 1.57 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
The combined scoring outlook makes at least two total goals the strongest of the four options compared. Either team can score those goals. It ranked highest when comparing the three double-chance options with Over 1.5 using a Poisson goal model.
Model goals are estimates from past scores, not shot-based expected goals. These form records were saved with the prediction before kickoff. League position is context below and is not an input to this goal model. Injuries, lineups and odds are not included.
Recent results and goal trends
LAST 10 GAMES
Bendel Insurance recent form
1.70 goals scored and 1.70 conceded per game. 9 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Abia WarriorsNPFL | Away | 0–3 | Lost | |
| Ikorodu CityNPFL | Home | 2–1 | Won | |
| Ranchers BeesNPFL | Away | 1–2 | Lost | |
| Kun Khalifat FCNPFL | Home | 4–2 | Won | |
| Nasarawa UnitedNPFL | Away | 0–1 | Lost | |
| Warri WolvesNPFL | Home | 2–1 | Won | |
| El Kanemi WarriorsFederation Cup | Home | 3–3 | Draw | |
| Crown FCFederation Cup | Home | 3–1 | Won | |
| Remo StarsNPFL | Home | 1–1 | Draw | |
| Enugu RangersNPFL | Away | 1–2 | Lost |
Scores shown from Bendel Insurance’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.
LAST 10 GAMES
Barau FC recent form
1.70 goals scored and 0.60 conceded per game. 7 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sporting LagosNPFL | Away | 1–1 | Draw | |
| Abia WarriorsNPFL | Home | 2–0 | Won | |
| Ikorodu CityNPFL | Away | 0–0 | Draw | |
| Ranchers BeesNPFL | Home | 3–1 | Won | |
| Kun Khalifat FCNPFL | Away | 0–0 | Draw | |
| Nasarawa UnitedNPFL | Home | 3–1 | Won | |
| Ikorodu CityFederation Cup | Away | 2–2 | Draw | |
| Sunshine Stars U19Federation Cup | Away | 2–1 | Won | |
| AbakalikiFederation Cup | Home | 1–0 | Won | |
| Nasarawa UnitedNPFL | Home | 3–0 | Won |
Scores shown from Barau FC’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.
LEAGUE CONTEXT
NPFL — current table
Season 2027 · Latest stored table, updated . This table may include games played after this prediction was made.
Barau FC are ranked 4 in Premier League, with 12 points from 7 games.
Bendel Insurance are ranked 5 in Premier League, with 12 points from 7 games.
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Enugu Rangers | 7 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 12 | 7 | 5 | 16 |
| 2 | Rivers United | 7 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 13 | 2 | 11 | 15 |
| 3 | Doma United | 7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 10 | 8 | 2 | 13 |
| 4 | Barau FC | 7 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 10 | 7 | 3 | 12 |
| 5 | Bendel Insurance | 7 | 4 | 0 | 3 | 13 | 11 | 2 | 12 |
| 6 | Kano Pillars | 7 | 2 | 5 | 0 | 11 | 7 | 4 | 11 |
| 7 | Plateau United | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 9 | 8 | 1 | 11 |
| 8 | Kwara United | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 9 | 7 | 2 | 10 |
| 9 | Ikorodu City | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 8 | 7 | 1 | 9 |
| 10 | Sporting Lagos | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 8 | 8 | 0 | 9 |
| 11 | Katsina United | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 6 | 9 | -3 | 9 |
| 12 | Niger Tornadoes | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 7 | -1 | 8 |
| 13 | Shooting Stars | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 7 | 9 | -2 | 8 |
| 14 | Nasarawa United | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 8 | -2 | 8 |
| 15 | Abia Warriors | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 8 | 11 | -3 | 8 |
| 16 | Enyimba | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 9 | 10 | -1 | 7 |
| 17 | Ranchers Bees | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 9 | 10 | -1 | 7 |
| 18 | Warri Wolves | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 6 | -3 | 7 |
| 19 | Inter Lagos | 7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 10 | -6 | 5 |
| 20 | Kun Khalifat FC | 7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 14 | -9 | 5 |
P: played · W: wins · D: draws · L: losses · GF/GA: goals for/against · GD: goal difference · Pts: points. Highlighted rows identify this match’s teams.
About this prediction
We compare each team’s recent goals scored and conceded, giving more weight to recent games and the same home or away venue. A goal model then chooses double chance or Over 1.5 goals. Predictions can change before kickoff and are not guaranteed results. Live scores refresh every 5 seconds.