Liga III - Serie 3 · Group 3 - 9
BercavsRâmnicu Sărat
RealScored · Match preview
Match prediction · 17 October 2026
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THE PREDICTION
Our match outlook
Over 1.5 goalsBased on 10 previous home-team games and 10 previous away-team games. Small samples provide less evidence.
Prediction saved
Match information
- Competition
- Liga III - Serie 3
- Venue
- To be confirmed
- Status
- Not Started
- Score
- Not started
- 90-minute score
- —
- Last updated
Goals and cards
Goals
Match events are not yet available.
Cards
Match events are not yet available.
Lineups
Lineups are not available yet. Confirmed selections will appear here when available.
RealScored match analysis
Berca vs Râmnicu Sărat: match review and analysis
Berca vs Râmnicu Sărat in Liga III - Serie 3 on 17 October 2026. Compare recent results, goal trends and league positions in this match preview.
RealScored brings together the match information, available team results and current standings below. The saved pre-match selection is Over 1.5 goals.
Berca recorded 5 wins, 1 draws and 4 losses in the 10 games used here, scoring 27 and conceding 23. Râmnicu Sărat recorded 2 wins, 2 draws and 6 losses, with 10 scored and 24 conceded across 10 games.
| Statistic | Berca | Râmnicu Sărat |
|---|---|---|
| Games | 10 | 10 |
| Wins | 5 | 2 |
| Draws | 1 | 2 |
| Losses | 4 | 6 |
| Goals scored | 27 | 10 |
| Goals conceded | 23 | 24 |
| Over 1.5 games | 10 | 9 |
Why this selection?
The calculation combines each team’s recent attacking record with the opposing defence. Newer games receive more weight, and results at the same home or away venue receive extra weight.
Berca: (2.72 weighted goals scored + 2.41 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 2.57 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
Râmnicu Sărat: (1.07 weighted goals scored + 2.53 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 1.80 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
The combined scoring outlook makes at least two total goals the strongest of the four options compared. Either team can score those goals. It ranked highest when comparing the three double-chance options with Over 1.5 using a Poisson goal model.
Model goals are estimates from past scores, not shot-based expected goals. These form records were saved with the prediction before kickoff. League position is context below and is not an input to this goal model. Injuries, lineups and odds are not included.
Recent results and goal trends
LAST 10 GAMES
Berca recent form
2.70 goals scored and 2.30 conceded per game. 10 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| PucioasaLiga III - Serie 3 | Away | 2–3 | Lost | |
| Voința CrevediaLiga III - Serie 3 | Home | 4–5 | Lost | |
| BlejoiLiga III - Serie 3 | Away | 1–6 | Lost | |
| Progresul DraganestiLiga III - Serie 3 | Home | 3–0 | Won | |
| Viitorul CorbeancaLiga III - Serie 3 | Away | 2–0 | Won | |
| TunariLiga III - Serie 3 | Home | 2–2 | Draw | |
| PăuleştiLiga III - Serie 3 | Away | 3–0 | Won | |
| Urban TituLiga III - Serie 3 | Home | 3–2 | Won | |
| BaicoiCupa României | Home | 2–3 | Lost | |
| Valenii de MunteCupa României | Home | 5–2 | Won |
Scores shown from Berca’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.
LAST 10 GAMES
Râmnicu Sărat recent form
1.00 goals scored and 2.40 conceded per game. 9 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| PlopeniLiga III - Serie 3 | Home | 3–2 | Won | |
| Flacăra MoreniLiga III - Serie 3 | Home | 1–5 | Lost | |
| PucioasaLiga III - Serie 3 | Away | 0–3 | Lost | |
| Voința CrevediaLiga III - Serie 3 | Home | 1–6 | Lost | |
| BlejoiLiga III - Serie 3 | Away | 2–0 | Won | |
| Progresul DraganestiLiga III - Serie 3 | Home | 1–1 | Draw | |
| Viitorul CorbeancaLiga III - Serie 3 | Away | 0–0 | Draw | |
| TunariLiga III - Serie 3 | Home | 1–2 | Lost | |
| CSM AdjudCupa României | Home | 0–3 | Lost | |
| Unirea BranişteaLiga III - Serie 2 | Home | 1–2 | Lost |
Scores shown from Râmnicu Sărat’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.
LEAGUE CONTEXT
Liga III - Serie 3 — current table
Season 2026 · Latest stored table, updated . Refresh delayed; showing the last available table. This table may include games played after this prediction was made.
Berca are ranked 4 in Group 3, with 13 points from 8 games.
Râmnicu Sărat are ranked 10 in Group 3, with 8 points from 8 games.
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Flacăra Moreni | 8 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 27 | 7 | 20 | 22 |
| 2 | Tunari | 8 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 16 | 11 | 5 | 17 |
| 3 | Blejoi | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 17 | 9 | 8 | 14 |
| 4 | Berca | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 20 | 18 | 2 | 13 |
| 5 | Progresul Draganesti | 8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 13 | 14 | -1 | 12 |
| 6 | Voința Crevedia | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 18 | 16 | 2 | 10 |
| 7 | Plopeni | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 8 | 13 | -5 | 10 |
| 8 | Pucioasa | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 9 | 8 | 1 | 9 |
| 9 | Urban Titu | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 10 | 15 | -5 | 9 |
| 10 | Râmnicu Sărat | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 9 | 19 | -10 | 8 |
| 11 | Viitorul Corbeanca | 8 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 4 | 10 | -6 | 6 |
| 12 | Păuleşti | 8 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 4 | 15 | -11 | 2 |
P: played · W: wins · D: draws · L: losses · GF/GA: goals for/against · GD: goal difference · Pts: points. Highlighted rows identify this match’s teams.
About this prediction
We compare each team’s recent goals scored and conceded, giving more weight to recent games and the same home or away venue. A goal model then chooses double chance or Over 1.5 goals. Predictions can change before kickoff and are not guaranteed results. Live scores refresh every 5 seconds.