Division 2 - Södra Götaland · Södra Götaland - 24
Berga3–0Österlen
Real Scored · Match result
Match prediction · 4 October 2026
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THE PREDICTION
Our match outlook
Over 1.5 goalsWon
Based on 10 previous home-team games and 10 previous away-team games. Small samples provide less evidence.
Prediction saved
Match information
- Competition
- Division 2 - Södra Götaland
- Venue
- To be confirmed
- Status
- Match Finished
- Score
- 3–0
- 90-minute score
- 3–0
- Last updated
Goals and cards
Goals
Match events are not yet available.
Cards
Match events are not yet available.
Lineups
Lineups have not been supplied yet. Confirmed selections appear here when available.
Real Scored match analysis
Berga vs Österlen: match review and analysis
Berga vs Österlen in Division 2 - Södra Götaland on 4 October 2026 has finished at full time. The match goal score was 3–0. Review the team form and league context below.
Real Scored brings together the match information, available team results and current standings below. The saved pre-match selection is Over 1.5 goals.
Berga recorded 6 wins, 1 draws and 3 losses in the 10 games used here, scoring 25 and conceding 18. Österlen recorded 3 wins, 3 draws and 4 losses, with 19 scored and 20 conceded across 10 games.
| Statistic | Berga | Österlen |
|---|---|---|
| Games | 10 | 10 |
| Wins | 6 | 3 |
| Draws | 1 | 3 |
| Losses | 3 | 4 |
| Goals scored | 25 | 19 |
| Goals conceded | 18 | 20 |
| Over 1.5 games | 10 | 10 |
Why this selection?
The calculation combines each team’s recent attacking record with the opposing defence. Newer games receive more weight, and results at the same home or away venue receive extra weight.
Berga: (2.45 weighted goals scored + 2.05 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 2.25 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
Österlen: (1.92 weighted goals scored + 1.84 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 1.88 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
The combined scoring outlook makes at least two total goals the strongest of the four options compared. Either team can score those goals. It ranked highest when comparing the three double-chance options with Over 1.5 using a Poisson goal model.
Model goals are estimates from past scores, not shot-based expected goals. These form records were saved with the prediction before kickoff. League position is context below and is not an input to this goal model. Injuries, lineups and odds are not included.
Recent results and goal trends
LAST 10 GAMES
Berga recent form
2.50 goals scored and 1.80 conceded per game. 10 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| SölvesborgDivision 2 - Södra Götaland | Away | 2–3 | Lost | |
| KarlshamnDivision 2 - Södra Götaland | Home | 4–1 | Won | |
| NosabyDivision 2 - Södra Götaland | Away | 3–1 | Won | |
| Lilla TorgDivision 2 - Södra Götaland | Home | 1–3 | Lost | |
| KarlskronaDivision 2 - Södra Götaland | Away | 1–4 | Lost | |
| Staffanstorp UnitedDivision 2 - Södra Götaland | Home | 1–1 | Draw | |
| TornsDivision 2 - Södra Götaland | Away | 4–3 | Won | |
| RäppeDivision 2 - Södra Götaland | Away | 3–0 | Won | |
| IFK TrelleborgDivision 2 - Södra Götaland | Home | 3–1 | Won | |
| Växjö NorraDivision 2 - Södra Götaland | Home | 3–1 | Won |
Scores shown from Berga’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.
LAST 10 GAMES
Österlen recent form
1.90 goals scored and 2.00 conceded per game. 10 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lilla TorgDivision 2 - Södra Götaland | Home | 3–3 | Draw | |
| Staffanstorp UnitedDivision 2 - Södra Götaland | Away | 2–2 | Draw | |
| IFK TrelleborgDivision 2 - Södra Götaland | Home | 1–4 | Lost | |
| KarlshamnDivision 2 - Södra Götaland | Home | 6–0 | Won | |
| Växjö NorraDivision 2 - Södra Götaland | Away | 0–3 | Lost | |
| RäppeDivision 2 - Södra Götaland | Away | 1–1 | Draw | |
| Oskarshamns AIKDivision 2 - Södra Götaland | Home | 0–3 | Lost | |
| SölvesborgDivision 2 - Södra Götaland | Home | 4–1 | Won | |
| LineroDivision 2 - Södra Götaland | Away | 2–0 | Won | |
| KarlskronaDivision 2 - Södra Götaland | Home | 0–3 | Lost |
Scores shown from Österlen’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.
LEAGUE CONTEXT
Division 2 - Södra Götaland — current table
Season 2026 · Latest stored table, updated . Refresh delayed; showing the last available table. This table may include games played after this prediction was made.
Berga are ranked 4 in South Gotaland, with 40 points from 24 games.
Österlen are ranked 8 in South Gotaland, with 30 points from 24 games.
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Karlskrona | 24 | 19 | 3 | 2 | 63 | 21 | 42 | 60 |
| 2 | IFK Trelleborg | 24 | 15 | 5 | 4 | 51 | 23 | 28 | 50 |
| 3 | Oskarshamns AIK | 24 | 14 | 3 | 7 | 60 | 30 | 30 | 45 |
| 4 | Berga | 24 | 12 | 4 | 8 | 52 | 36 | 16 | 40 |
| 5 | Nosaby | 24 | 11 | 6 | 7 | 45 | 39 | 6 | 39 |
| 6 | Linero | 24 | 12 | 2 | 10 | 45 | 41 | 4 | 38 |
| 7 | Växjö Norra | 24 | 9 | 8 | 7 | 31 | 33 | -2 | 35 |
| 8 | Österlen | 24 | 8 | 6 | 10 | 37 | 41 | -4 | 30 |
| 9 | Lilla Torg | 24 | 6 | 10 | 8 | 33 | 41 | -8 | 28 |
| 10 | Sölvesborg | 24 | 9 | 1 | 14 | 35 | 46 | -11 | 28 |
| 11 | Staffanstorp United | 24 | 6 | 8 | 10 | 37 | 41 | -4 | 26 |
| 12 | Torns | 24 | 7 | 0 | 17 | 31 | 66 | -35 | 21 |
| 13 | Räppe | 24 | 4 | 6 | 14 | 25 | 53 | -28 | 18 |
| 14 | Karlshamn | 24 | 4 | 2 | 18 | 26 | 60 | -34 | 14 |
P: played · W: wins · D: draws · L: losses · GF/GA: goals for/against · GD: goal difference · Pts: points. Highlighted rows identify this match’s teams.
About this prediction
We compare each team’s recent goals scored and conceded, giving more weight to recent games and the same home or away venue. A goal model then chooses double chance or Over 1.5 goals. Predictions can change before kickoff and are not guaranteed results. Live scores refresh every 5 seconds.