Süper Lig · Regular Season - 7
BeşiktaşvsKocaelispor
Real Scored · Match preview
Match prediction · 11 October 2026
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THE PREDICTION
Our match outlook
Home or drawBased on 10 previous home-team games and 10 previous away-team games. Small samples provide less evidence.
Prediction saved
Match information
- Competition
- Süper Lig
- Venue
- Tupras Stadium
- Status
- Not Started
- Score
- Not started
- 90-minute score
- —
- Last updated
Goals and cards
Goals
Match events are not yet available.
Cards
Match events are not yet available.
Lineups
Lineups have not been supplied yet. Confirmed selections appear here when available.
Real Scored match analysis
Beşiktaş vs Kocaelispor: match review and analysis
Beşiktaş vs Kocaelispor in Süper Lig on 11 October 2026. Compare recent results, goal trends and league positions in this match preview.
Real Scored brings together the match information, available team results and current standings below. The saved pre-match selection is Home or draw.
Beşiktaş recorded 7 wins, 0 draws and 3 losses in the 10 games used here, scoring 22 and conceding 9. Kocaelispor recorded 4 wins, 1 draws and 5 losses, with 8 scored and 8 conceded across 10 games.
| Statistic | Beşiktaş | Kocaelispor |
|---|---|---|
| Games | 10 | 10 |
| Wins | 7 | 4 |
| Draws | 0 | 1 |
| Losses | 3 | 5 |
| Goals scored | 22 | 8 |
| Goals conceded | 9 | 8 |
| Over 1.5 games | 6 | 5 |
Why this selection?
The calculation combines each team’s recent attacking record with the opposing defence. Newer games receive more weight, and results at the same home or away venue receive extra weight.
Beşiktaş: (2.61 weighted goals scored + 0.81 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 1.71 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
Kocaelispor: (0.84 weighted goals scored + 0.98 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 0.91 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
The model favours the home side avoiding defeat. A home win or a draw satisfies this selection. It ranked highest when comparing the three double-chance options with Over 1.5 using a Poisson goal model.
Model goals are estimates from past scores, not shot-based expected goals. These form records were saved with the prediction before kickoff. League position is context below and is not an input to this goal model. Injuries, lineups and odds are not included.
Recent results and goal trends
LAST 10 GAMES
Beşiktaş recent form
2.20 goals scored and 0.90 conceded per game. 6 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| AmedSüper Lig | Away | 2–3 | Lost | |
| MarseilleUEFA Europa League | Home | 4–1 | Won | |
| Erzurumspor FKSüper Lig | Home | 3–0 | Won | |
| FenerbahçeSüper Lig | Away | 2–1 | Won | |
| Çorum FKSüper Lig | Home | 6–2 | Won | |
| Kauno ŽalgirisUEFA Europa League | Away | 0–1 | Lost | |
| AlanyasporSüper Lig | Away | 0–1 | Lost | |
| Kauno ŽalgirisUEFA Europa League | Home | 3–0 | Won | |
| EyüpsporSüper Lig | Home | 1–0 | Won | |
| Hradec KrálovéUEFA Europa League | Home | 1–0 | Won |
Scores shown from Beşiktaş’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.
LAST 10 GAMES
Kocaelispor recent form
0.80 goals scored and 0.80 conceded per game. 5 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gaziantep FKSüper Lig | Home | 2–0 | Won | |
| GalatasaraySüper Lig | Away | 0–1 | Lost | |
| SamsunsporSüper Lig | Home | 1–0 | Won | |
| KonyasporSüper Lig | Away | 2–1 | Won | |
| AmedSüper Lig | Home | 2–0 | Won | |
| BaşakşehirSüper Lig | Away | 0–2 | Lost | |
| AntalyasporSüper Lig | Away | 0–1 | Lost | |
| Fatih KaragümrükSüper Lig | Home | 0–1 | Lost | |
| KasımpaşaSüper Lig | Away | 1–1 | Draw | |
| Gençlerbirliği S.K.Süper Lig | Away | 0–1 | Lost |
Scores shown from Kocaelispor’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.
LEAGUE CONTEXT
Süper Lig — current table
Season 2026 · Latest stored table, updated . Refresh delayed; showing the last available table. This table may include games played after this prediction was made.
Beşiktaş are ranked 3 in Süper Lig, with 12 points from 6 games.
Kocaelispor are ranked 4 in Süper Lig, with 12 points from 6 games.
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Galatasaray | 7 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 16 | 11 | 5 | 16 |
| 2 | Amed | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 15 | 7 | 8 | 13 |
| 3 | Beşiktaş | 6 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 14 | 7 | 7 | 12 |
| 4 | Kocaelispor | 6 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 4 | 3 | 12 |
| 5 | Alanyaspor | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 8 | 6 | 2 | 11 |
| 6 | Fenerbahçe | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 16 | 6 | 10 | 10 |
| 7 | Trabzonspor | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 13 | 5 | 8 | 10 |
| 8 | Rizespor | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 7 | 6 | 1 | 10 |
| 9 | Kasımpaşa | 7 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 8 | 8 | 0 | 10 |
| 10 | Gaziantep FK | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 7 | 7 | 0 | 8 |
| 11 | Çorum FK | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 13 | 12 | 1 | 7 |
| 12 | Başakşehir | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 10 | 11 | -1 | 7 |
| 13 | Gençlerbirliği S.K. | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 13 | -8 | 7 |
| 14 | Erzurumspor FK | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 11 | -8 | 7 |
| 15 | Konyaspor | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 8 | -4 | 4 |
| 16 | Samsunspor | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 6 | 12 | -6 | 4 |
| 17 | Göztepe | 6 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 11 | 15 | -4 | 3 |
| 18 | Eyüpspor | 6 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 2 | 16 | -14 | 3 |
P: played · W: wins · D: draws · L: losses · GF/GA: goals for/against · GD: goal difference · Pts: points. Highlighted rows identify this match’s teams.
About this prediction
We compare each team’s recent goals scored and conceded, giving more weight to recent games and the same home or away venue. A goal model then chooses double chance or Over 1.5 goals. Predictions can change before kickoff and are not guaranteed results. Live scores refresh every 5 seconds.