1 Lyga · Regular Season - 26
BFAvsŽalgiris II
Real Scored · Match preview
Match prediction · 9 October 2026
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THE PREDICTION
Our match outlook
Home or awayBased on 10 previous home-team games and 10 previous away-team games. Small samples provide less evidence.
Prediction saved
Match information
- Competition
- 1 Lyga
- Venue
- To be confirmed
- Status
- Not Started
- Score
- Not started
- 90-minute score
- —
- Last updated
Goals and cards
Goals
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Cards
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Lineups
Lineups have not been supplied yet. Confirmed selections appear here when available.
Real Scored match analysis
BFA vs Žalgiris II: match review and analysis
BFA vs Žalgiris II in 1 Lyga on 9 October 2026. Compare recent results, goal trends and league positions in this match preview.
Real Scored brings together the match information, available team results and current standings below. The saved pre-match selection is Home or away.
BFA recorded 5 wins, 3 draws and 2 losses in the 10 games used here, scoring 17 and conceding 12. Žalgiris II recorded 8 wins, 1 draws and 1 losses, with 17 scored and 7 conceded across 10 games.
| Statistic | BFA | Žalgiris II |
|---|---|---|
| Games | 10 | 10 |
| Wins | 5 | 8 |
| Draws | 3 | 1 |
| Losses | 2 | 1 |
| Goals scored | 17 | 17 |
| Goals conceded | 12 | 7 |
| Over 1.5 games | 8 | 5 |
Why this selection?
The calculation combines each team’s recent attacking record with the opposing defence. Newer games receive more weight, and results at the same home or away venue receive extra weight.
BFA: (1.74 weighted goals scored + 0.63 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 1.19 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
Žalgiris II: (1.59 weighted goals scored + 1.23 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 1.41 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
The model favours a decisive result. Either side winning satisfies this selection; a draw does not. It ranked highest when comparing the three double-chance options with Over 1.5 using a Poisson goal model.
Model goals are estimates from past scores, not shot-based expected goals. These form records were saved with the prediction before kickoff. League position is context below and is not an input to this goal model. Injuries, lineups and odds are not included.
Recent results and goal trends
LAST 10 GAMES
BFA recent form
1.70 goals scored and 1.20 conceded per game. 8 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| PanevėžysFriendlies Clubs | Away | 0–2 | Lost | |
| Atmosfera1 Lyga | Away | 1–1 | Draw | |
| Garliava1 Lyga | Away | 3–2 | Won | |
| Babrungas1 Lyga | Home | 2–1 | Won | |
| Tauras1 Lyga | Away | 2–2 | Draw | |
| Neptūną Klaipėda1 Lyga | Home | 2–0 | Won | |
| Dainava1 Lyga | Away | 0–0 | Draw | |
| Transinvest 21 Lyga | Home | 4–2 | Won | |
| FA Šiauliai II1 Lyga | Away | 0–1 | Lost | |
| Be1 NFA1 Lyga | Home | 3–1 | Won |
Scores shown from BFA’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.
LAST 10 GAMES
Žalgiris II recent form
1.70 goals scored and 0.70 conceded per game. 5 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Babrungas1 Lyga | Home | 0–1 | Lost | |
| Tauras1 Lyga | Away | 1–0 | Won | |
| Neptūną Klaipėda1 Lyga | Home | 1–0 | Won | |
| Dainava1 Lyga | Away | 1–0 | Won | |
| Transinvest 21 Lyga | Home | 4–3 | Won | |
| FA Šiauliai II1 Lyga | Away | 4–1 | Won | |
| Kauno Žalgiris II1 Lyga | Home | 2–1 | Won | |
| Ekranas1 Lyga | Away | 1–1 | Draw | |
| Minija1 Lyga | Home | 1–0 | Won | |
| Hegelmann II1 Lyga | Away | 2–0 | Won |
Scores shown from Žalgiris II’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.
LEAGUE CONTEXT
1 Lyga — current table
Season 2026 · Latest stored table, updated . Refresh delayed; showing the last available table. This table may include games played after this prediction was made.
Žalgiris II are ranked 6 in 1 Lyga, with 43 points from 25 games.
BFA are ranked 7 in 1 Lyga, with 43 points from 25 games.
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Minija | 25 | 22 | 1 | 2 | 68 | 13 | 55 | 67 |
| 2 | Babrungas | 25 | 19 | 4 | 2 | 43 | 11 | 32 | 61 |
| 3 | Be1 NFA | 24 | 16 | 2 | 6 | 43 | 25 | 18 | 50 |
| 4 | Neptūną Klaipėda | 25 | 14 | 2 | 9 | 33 | 30 | 3 | 44 |
| 5 | Tauras | 25 | 13 | 4 | 8 | 43 | 31 | 12 | 43 |
| 6 | Žalgiris II | 25 | 13 | 4 | 8 | 38 | 32 | 6 | 43 |
| 7 | BFA | 25 | 13 | 4 | 8 | 39 | 35 | 4 | 43 |
| 8 | Dainava | 25 | 11 | 7 | 7 | 35 | 25 | 10 | 40 |
| 9 | Atmosfera | 24 | 8 | 6 | 10 | 37 | 33 | 4 | 30 |
| 10 | Jonava | 25 | 7 | 6 | 12 | 28 | 33 | -5 | 27 |
| 11 | Garliava | 25 | 7 | 4 | 14 | 29 | 31 | -2 | 25 |
| 12 | Kauno Žalgiris II | 25 | 7 | 1 | 17 | 23 | 43 | -20 | 22 |
| 13 | Hegelmann II | 25 | 7 | 1 | 17 | 30 | 56 | -26 | 22 |
| 14 | Transinvest 2 | 25 | 6 | 3 | 16 | 29 | 58 | -29 | 21 |
| 15 | FA Šiauliai II | 25 | 4 | 5 | 16 | 27 | 56 | -29 | 17 |
| 16 | Ekranas | 25 | 4 | 2 | 19 | 25 | 58 | -33 | 14 |
P: played · W: wins · D: draws · L: losses · GF/GA: goals for/against · GD: goal difference · Pts: points. Highlighted rows identify this match’s teams.
About this prediction
We compare each team’s recent goals scored and conceded, giving more weight to recent games and the same home or away venue. A goal model then chooses double chance or Over 1.5 goals. Predictions can change before kickoff and are not guaranteed results. Live scores refresh every 5 seconds.