Allsvenskan · Regular Season - 23
BK HackenvsOrgryte IS
Real Scored · Match preview
Match prediction · 11 October 2026
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THE PREDICTION
Our match outlook
Home or drawBased on 10 previous home-team games and 10 previous away-team games. Small samples provide less evidence.
Prediction saved
Match information
- Competition
- Allsvenskan
- Venue
- Nordic Wellness Arena
- Status
- Not Started
- Score
- Not started
- 90-minute score
- —
- Last updated
Goals and cards
Goals
Match events are not yet available.
Cards
Match events are not yet available.
Lineups
Lineups have not been supplied yet. Confirmed selections appear here when available.
Real Scored match analysis
BK Hacken vs Orgryte IS: match review and analysis
BK Hacken vs Orgryte IS in Allsvenskan on 11 October 2026. Compare recent results, goal trends and league positions in this match preview.
Real Scored brings together the match information, available team results and current standings below. The saved pre-match selection is Home or draw.
BK Hacken recorded 5 wins, 3 draws and 2 losses in the 10 games used here, scoring 15 and conceding 9. Orgryte IS recorded 1 wins, 3 draws and 6 losses, with 12 scored and 19 conceded across 10 games.
| Statistic | BK Hacken | Orgryte IS |
|---|---|---|
| Games | 10 | 10 |
| Wins | 5 | 1 |
| Draws | 3 | 3 |
| Losses | 2 | 6 |
| Goals scored | 15 | 12 |
| Goals conceded | 9 | 19 |
| Over 1.5 games | 7 | 9 |
Why this selection?
The calculation combines each team’s recent attacking record with the opposing defence. Newer games receive more weight, and results at the same home or away venue receive extra weight.
BK Hacken: (1.53 weighted goals scored + 1.96 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 1.75 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
Orgryte IS: (1.07 weighted goals scored + 0.86 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 0.97 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
The model favours the home side avoiding defeat. A home win or a draw satisfies this selection. It ranked highest when comparing the three double-chance options with Over 1.5 using a Poisson goal model.
Model goals are estimates from past scores, not shot-based expected goals. These form records were saved with the prediction before kickoff. League position is context below and is not an input to this goal model. Injuries, lineups and odds are not included.
Recent results and goal trends
LAST 10 GAMES
BK Hacken recent form
1.50 goals scored and 0.90 conceded per game. 7 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| IF ElfsborgFriendlies Clubs | Away | 1–0 | Won | |
| Kalmar FFAllsvenskan | Away | 5–0 | Won | |
| Mjallby AIFAllsvenskan | Home | 1–1 | Draw | |
| GaisAllsvenskan | Away | 0–0 | Draw | |
| Vasteras SK FKAllsvenskan | Home | 1–3 | Lost | |
| UtsiktenSvenska Cupen | Away | 2–1 | Won | |
| SiriusAllsvenskan | Away | 3–0 | Won | |
| HalmstadAllsvenskan | Home | 1–0 | Won | |
| Hammarby FFAllsvenskan | Away | 0–3 | Lost | |
| Kalmar FFAllsvenskan | Home | 1–1 | Draw |
Scores shown from BK Hacken’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.
LAST 10 GAMES
Orgryte IS recent form
1.20 goals scored and 1.90 conceded per game. 9 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| SiriusAllsvenskan | Home | 1–2 | Lost | |
| Malmo FFAllsvenskan | Away | 1–4 | Lost | |
| Hammarby FFAllsvenskan | Home | 1–1 | Draw | |
| IFK GoteborgAllsvenskan | Away | 0–1 | Lost | |
| EskilsminneSvenska Cupen | Away | 1–1 | Draw | |
| HalmstadAllsvenskan | Home | 1–1 | Draw | |
| IF BrommapojkarnaAllsvenskan | Away | 1–3 | Lost | |
| AIK StockholmAllsvenskan | Home | 3–4 | Lost | |
| AIK StockholmAllsvenskan | Away | 3–0 | Won | |
| Vasteras SK FKAllsvenskan | Away | 0–2 | Lost |
Scores shown from Orgryte IS’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.
LEAGUE CONTEXT
Allsvenskan — current table
Season 2026 · Latest stored table, updated . Refresh delayed; showing the last available table. This table may include games played after this prediction was made.
BK Hacken are ranked 5 in Allsvenskan, with 36 points from 22 games.
Orgryte IS are ranked 15 in Allsvenskan, with 15 points from 22 games.
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Sirius | 22 | 16 | 3 | 3 | 52 | 28 | 24 | 51 |
| 2 | Hammarby FF | 22 | 13 | 4 | 5 | 49 | 20 | 29 | 43 |
| 3 | Djurgardens IF | 22 | 13 | 2 | 7 | 47 | 21 | 26 | 41 |
| 4 | IF Elfsborg | 22 | 10 | 7 | 5 | 31 | 22 | 9 | 37 |
| 5 | BK Hacken | 22 | 9 | 9 | 4 | 39 | 30 | 9 | 36 |
| 6 | Vasteras SK FK | 23 | 10 | 5 | 8 | 34 | 36 | -2 | 35 |
| 7 | IFK Goteborg | 23 | 10 | 5 | 8 | 32 | 41 | -9 | 35 |
| 8 | Malmo FF | 22 | 10 | 3 | 9 | 37 | 33 | 4 | 33 |
| 9 | AIK Stockholm | 22 | 9 | 6 | 7 | 31 | 34 | -3 | 33 |
| 10 | Gais | 22 | 8 | 6 | 8 | 28 | 20 | 8 | 30 |
| 11 | IF Brommapojkarna | 22 | 7 | 6 | 9 | 30 | 36 | -6 | 27 |
| 12 | Mjallby AIF | 22 | 5 | 7 | 10 | 27 | 38 | -11 | 22 |
| 13 | Kalmar FF | 22 | 5 | 4 | 13 | 21 | 36 | -15 | 19 |
| 14 | Degerfors IF | 22 | 5 | 4 | 13 | 19 | 34 | -15 | 19 |
| 15 | Orgryte IS | 22 | 3 | 6 | 13 | 25 | 49 | -24 | 15 |
| 16 | Halmstad | 22 | 3 | 5 | 14 | 16 | 40 | -24 | 14 |
P: played · W: wins · D: draws · L: losses · GF/GA: goals for/against · GD: goal difference · Pts: points. Highlighted rows identify this match’s teams.
About this prediction
We compare each team’s recent goals scored and conceded, giving more weight to recent games and the same home or away venue. A goal model then chooses double chance or Over 1.5 goals. Predictions can change before kickoff and are not guaranteed results. Live scores refresh every 5 seconds.