J2 League · Regular Season - 9
Blaublitz Akita1–0Sagan Tosu
Real Scored · Match result
Match prediction · 4 October 2026
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THE PREDICTION
Our match outlook
Home or awayWon
Based on 10 previous home-team games and 10 previous away-team games. Small samples provide less evidence.
Prediction saved
Match information
- Competition
- J2 League
- Venue
- Soyu Stadium
- Status
- Match Finished
- Score
- 1–0
- 90-minute score
- 1–0
- Last updated
Goals and cards
Goals
Match events are not yet available.
Cards
Match events are not yet available.
Lineups
Lineups have not been supplied yet. Confirmed selections appear here when available.
Real Scored match analysis
Blaublitz Akita vs Sagan Tosu: match review and analysis
Blaublitz Akita vs Sagan Tosu in J2 League on 4 October 2026 has finished at full time. The match goal score was 1–0. Review the team form and league context below.
Real Scored brings together the match information, available team results and current standings below. The saved pre-match selection is Home or away.
Blaublitz Akita recorded 2 wins, 4 draws and 4 losses in the 10 games used here, scoring 12 and conceding 15. Sagan Tosu recorded 3 wins, 2 draws and 5 losses, with 13 scored and 14 conceded across 10 games.
| Statistic | Blaublitz Akita | Sagan Tosu |
|---|---|---|
| Games | 10 | 10 |
| Wins | 2 | 3 |
| Draws | 4 | 2 |
| Losses | 4 | 5 |
| Goals scored | 12 | 13 |
| Goals conceded | 15 | 14 |
| Over 1.5 games | 7 | 8 |
Why this selection?
The calculation combines each team’s recent attacking record with the opposing defence. Newer games receive more weight, and results at the same home or away venue receive extra weight.
Blaublitz Akita: (1.44 weighted goals scored + 1.40 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 1.42 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
Sagan Tosu: (0.98 weighted goals scored + 1.39 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 1.19 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
The model favours a decisive result. Either side winning satisfies this selection; a draw does not. It ranked highest when comparing the three double-chance options with Over 1.5 using a Poisson goal model.
Model goals are estimates from past scores, not shot-based expected goals. These form records were saved with the prediction before kickoff. League position is context below and is not an input to this goal model. Injuries, lineups and odds are not included.
Recent results and goal trends
LAST 10 GAMES
Blaublitz Akita recent form
1.20 goals scored and 1.50 conceded per game. 7 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Albirex NiigataJ2 League | Home | 2–2 | Draw | |
| Shonan BellmareJ2 League | Away | 1–1 | Draw | |
| Tokushima VortisJ2 League | Home | 4–1 | Won | |
| Omiya ArdijaJ2 League | Home | 0–0 | Draw | |
| Ehime FCJ-League Cup | Away | 0–1 | Lost | |
| Vanraure HachinoheJ2 League | Away | 0–1 | Lost | |
| ImabariEmperor Cup | Away | 1–4 | Lost | |
| Ventforet KofuJ2 League | Home | 3–0 | Won | |
| Kataller ToyamaJ2 League | Home | 0–4 | Lost | |
| Jubilo IwataJ2 League | Away | 1–1 | Draw |
Scores shown from Blaublitz Akita’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.
LAST 10 GAMES
Sagan Tosu recent form
1.30 goals scored and 1.40 conceded per game. 8 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tokyo VerdyJ-League Cup | Home | 1–1 | Draw | |
| Montedio YamagataJ2 League | Away | 0–2 | Lost | |
| Vissel KobeEmperor Cup | Away | 0–1 | Lost | |
| IwakiJ2 League | Home | 1–3 | Lost | |
| ImabariJ2 League | Away | 0–1 | Lost | |
| Tegevajaro MiyazakiJ2 League | Home | 2–0 | Won | |
| Nara ClubJ-League Cup | Away | 2–1 | Won | |
| Yokohama FCJ2 League | Away | 2–2 | Draw | |
| Kataller ToyamaEmperor Cup | Home | 4–0 | Won | |
| Tochigi CityJ2 League | Home | 1–3 | Lost |
Scores shown from Sagan Tosu’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.
LEAGUE CONTEXT
J2 League — current table
Season 2026 · Latest stored table, updated . Refresh delayed; showing the last available table. This table may include games played after this prediction was made.
Blaublitz Akita are ranked 8 in J2 League, with 13 points from 9 games.
Sagan Tosu are ranked 17 in J2 League, with 8 points from 9 games.
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Vegalta Sendai | 9 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 17 | 8 | 9 | 20 |
| 2 | Albirex Niigata | 9 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 13 | 13 | 0 | 19 |
| 3 | Kataller Toyama | 9 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 18 | 9 | 9 | 17 |
| 4 | Omiya Ardija | 9 | 4 | 5 | 0 | 17 | 8 | 9 | 17 |
| 5 | Yokohama FC | 9 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 18 | 11 | 7 | 17 |
| 6 | Shonan Bellmare | 9 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 10 | 8 | 2 | 16 |
| 7 | Fujieda MYFC | 9 | 3 | 4 | 2 | 13 | 10 | 3 | 13 |
| 8 | Blaublitz Akita | 9 | 3 | 4 | 2 | 12 | 10 | 2 | 13 |
| 9 | Tokushima Vortis | 9 | 4 | 1 | 4 | 9 | 10 | -1 | 13 |
| 10 | Montedio Yamagata | 9 | 4 | 0 | 5 | 11 | 8 | 3 | 12 |
| 11 | Tegevajaro Miyazaki | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 13 | 13 | 0 | 12 |
| 12 | Oita Trinita | 9 | 2 | 5 | 2 | 9 | 7 | 2 | 11 |
| 13 | Tochigi City | 9 | 3 | 1 | 5 | 15 | 15 | 0 | 10 |
| 14 | Jubilo Iwata | 9 | 3 | 1 | 5 | 11 | 13 | -2 | 10 |
| 15 | Vanraure Hachinohe | 9 | 3 | 1 | 5 | 5 | 14 | -9 | 10 |
| 16 | Iwaki | 9 | 3 | 0 | 6 | 12 | 17 | -5 | 9 |
| 17 | Sagan Tosu | 9 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 8 | 12 | -4 | 8 |
| 18 | Consadole Sapporo | 9 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 12 | 18 | -6 | 8 |
| 19 | Imabari | 9 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 9 | 18 | -9 | 7 |
| 20 | Ventforet Kofu | 9 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 7 | 17 | -10 | 7 |
P: played · W: wins · D: draws · L: losses · GF/GA: goals for/against · GD: goal difference · Pts: points. Highlighted rows identify this match’s teams.
About this prediction
We compare each team’s recent goals scored and conceded, giving more weight to recent games and the same home or away venue. A goal model then chooses double chance or Over 1.5 goals. Predictions can change before kickoff and are not guaranteed results. Live scores refresh every 5 seconds.