Primera B · Clausura - 12
Bogota FC3–3Envigado
Real Scored · Match result
Match prediction · 5 October 2026
Match Finished
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THE PREDICTION
Our match outlook
Away or drawWon
Based on 10 previous home-team games and 10 previous away-team games. Small samples provide less evidence.
Prediction saved
Match information
- Competition
- Primera B
- Venue
- Estadio Metropolitano de Techo
- Status
- Match Finished
- Score
- 3–3
- 90-minute score
- 3–3
- Last updated
Goals and cards
Goals
- 31′S. AcunaNormal GoalEnvigado
- 45′G. CuervoNormal GoalEnvigado
- 68′M. MarulandaPenaltyEnvigado
- 71′J. ArangoNormal GoalBogota FC
- 78′D. EstupinanNormal GoalBogota FC
- 90′S. PereaNormal GoalBogota FC
Cards
- 42′Unknown playerYellow CardEnvigado
- 68′Unknown playerYellow CardBogota FC
- 77′Unknown playerYellow CardEnvigado
- 83′Unknown playerYellow CardEnvigado
- 84′Unknown playerYellow CardBogota FC
- 89′Unknown playerRed CardEnvigado
Events updated
Lineups
Envigado
Coach: Andres Orozco
Starting XI
- 88A. Tovar
- 28J. J. Gamboa Valencia
- 2D. Palacios
- 17Y. Rodallega
- 14M. Betancurt
- 6J. Palacios
- 5S. Norena
- 19S. Acuna
- 8W. Hurtado
- 15G. Cuervo
- 99M. Marulanda
Substitutes
Bogota FC
Starting XI
- 29A. Aguilar
- 32A. Gutierrez
- 2M. Palacios
- 3S. Diaz
- 31J. Asprilla
- 8J. Perez
- 5J. Sanchez
- 81Y. Mosquera
- 21J. Arango
- 20N. Segura
- 7K. Aladesanmi
Substitutes
G: goalkeeper · D: defender · M: midfielder · F: forward. Select a player to view their profile.
Lineups updated
Real Scored match analysis
Bogota FC vs Envigado: match review and analysis
Bogota FC vs Envigado in Primera B on 5 October 2026 has finished at full time. The match goal score was 3–3. Review the team form and league context below.
Real Scored brings together the match information, available team results and current standings below. The saved pre-match selection is Away or draw.
Bogota FC recorded 2 wins, 2 draws and 6 losses in the 10 games used here, scoring 5 and conceding 13. Envigado recorded 1 wins, 5 draws and 4 losses, with 8 scored and 11 conceded across 10 games.
| Statistic | Bogota FC | Envigado |
|---|---|---|
| Games | 10 | 10 |
| Wins | 2 | 1 |
| Draws | 2 | 5 |
| Losses | 6 | 4 |
| Goals scored | 5 | 8 |
| Goals conceded | 13 | 11 |
| Over 1.5 games | 6 | 6 |
Why this selection?
The calculation combines each team’s recent attacking record with the opposing defence. Newer games receive more weight, and results at the same home or away venue receive extra weight.
Bogota FC: (0.58 weighted goals scored + 0.92 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 0.75 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
Envigado: (0.85 weighted goals scored + 1.28 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 1.07 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
The model favours the away side avoiding defeat. An away win or a draw satisfies this selection. It ranked highest when comparing the three double-chance options with Over 1.5 using a Poisson goal model.
Model goals are estimates from past scores, not shot-based expected goals. These form records were saved with the prediction before kickoff. League position is context below and is not an input to this goal model. Injuries, lineups and odds are not included.
Recent results and goal trends
LAST 10 GAMES
Bogota FC recent form
0.50 goals scored and 1.30 conceded per game. 6 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| QuindioPrimera B | Away | 0–1 | Lost | |
| BarranquillaPrimera B | Home | 2–1 | Won | |
| Tigres FCPrimera B | Away | 0–0 | Draw | |
| Ind. YumboPrimera B | Home | 0–2 | Lost | |
| Depor FCPrimera B | Away | 1–2 | Lost | |
| PopayanPrimera B | Away | 2–1 | Won | |
| Real CartagenaPrimera B | Away | 0–2 | Lost | |
| Leones FCPrimera B | Home | 0–1 | Lost | |
| Internacional PalmiraPrimera B | Away | 0–0 | Draw | |
| Deportivo PastoCopa Colombia | Home | 0–3 | Lost |
Scores shown from Bogota FC’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.
LAST 10 GAMES
Envigado recent form
0.80 goals scored and 1.10 conceded per game. 6 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| OrsomarsoPrimera B | Home | 0–0 | Draw | |
| Depor FCPrimera B | Home | 3–0 | Won | |
| Real CartagenaPrimera B | Away | 0–0 | Draw | |
| Leones FCPrimera B | Home | 1–1 | Draw | |
| PopayanPrimera B | Away | 2–2 | Draw | |
| Union MagdalenaPrimera B | Home | 0–1 | Lost | |
| QuindioPrimera B | Away | 0–1 | Lost | |
| Tigres FCPrimera B | Away | 1–2 | Lost | |
| Ind. YumboPrimera B | Away | 1–1 | Draw | |
| Once CaldasCopa Colombia | Home | 0–3 | Lost |
Scores shown from Envigado’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.
LEAGUE CONTEXT
Primera B — current table
Season 2026 · Latest stored table, updated . Refresh delayed; showing the last available table. This table may include games played after this prediction was made.
Envigado are ranked 3 in Primera B: Tabla Anual, with 56 points from 34 games.
Bogota FC are ranked 8 in Primera B: Tabla Anual, with 38 points from 32 games.
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Internacional Palmira | 32 | 17 | 8 | 7 | 40 | 28 | 12 | 59 |
| 2 | Quindio | 32 | 16 | 9 | 7 | 33 | 21 | 12 | 57 |
| 3 | Envigado | 34 | 15 | 11 | 8 | 46 | 31 | 15 | 56 |
| 4 | Real Cartagena | 34 | 15 | 10 | 9 | 53 | 39 | 14 | 55 |
| 5 | Union Magdalena | 32 | 15 | 8 | 9 | 45 | 31 | 14 | 53 |
| 6 | Tigres FC | 32 | 12 | 9 | 11 | 32 | 26 | 6 | 45 |
| 7 | Ind. Yumbo | 26 | 11 | 9 | 6 | 28 | 20 | 8 | 42 |
| 8 | Bogota FC | 32 | 9 | 11 | 12 | 28 | 35 | -7 | 38 |
| 9 | Real Cundinamarca | 26 | 9 | 9 | 8 | 33 | 29 | 4 | 36 |
| 10 | Barranquilla | 32 | 9 | 8 | 15 | 37 | 43 | -6 | 35 |
| 11 | Patriotas | 26 | 9 | 7 | 10 | 30 | 34 | -4 | 34 |
| 12 | Popayan | 26 | 7 | 10 | 9 | 33 | 34 | -1 | 31 |
| 13 | Orsomarso | 26 | 6 | 9 | 11 | 20 | 28 | -8 | 27 |
| 14 | Depor FC | 26 | 5 | 8 | 13 | 25 | 40 | -15 | 23 |
| 15 | Leones FC | 26 | 4 | 8 | 14 | 16 | 41 | -25 | 20 |
| 16 | Real Santander | 26 | 3 | 10 | 13 | 22 | 41 | -19 | 19 |
Envigado are ranked 4 in Primera B: Apertura, with 29 points from 15 games.
Bogota FC are ranked 6 in Primera B: Apertura, with 23 points from 15 games.
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Internacional Palmira | 15 | 12 | 2 | 1 | 29 | 13 | 16 | 38 |
| 2 | Union Magdalena | 15 | 10 | 2 | 3 | 27 | 15 | 12 | 32 |
| 3 | Quindio | 15 | 9 | 4 | 2 | 20 | 10 | 10 | 31 |
| 4 | Envigado | 15 | 9 | 2 | 4 | 24 | 14 | 10 | 29 |
| 5 | Real Cartagena | 15 | 7 | 5 | 3 | 23 | 15 | 8 | 26 |
| 6 | Bogota FC | 15 | 6 | 5 | 4 | 16 | 14 | 2 | 23 |
| 7 | Barranquilla | 15 | 6 | 2 | 7 | 21 | 20 | 1 | 20 |
| 8 | Tigres FC | 15 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 15 | 14 | 1 | 20 |
| 9 | Ind. Yumbo | 15 | 4 | 7 | 4 | 13 | 14 | -1 | 19 |
| 10 | Orsomarso | 15 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 13 | 17 | -4 | 17 |
| 11 | Patriotas | 15 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 13 | 17 | -4 | 17 |
| 12 | Popayan | 15 | 2 | 7 | 6 | 15 | 20 | -5 | 13 |
| 13 | Real Cundinamarca | 15 | 2 | 7 | 6 | 14 | 19 | -5 | 13 |
| 14 | Leones FC | 15 | 2 | 4 | 9 | 8 | 24 | -16 | 10 |
| 15 | Depor FC | 15 | 1 | 6 | 8 | 12 | 23 | -11 | 9 |
| 16 | Real Santander | 15 | 1 | 4 | 10 | 9 | 23 | -14 | 7 |
Envigado are ranked 1 in Primera B: Apertura - Quadrangular, with 11 points from 6 games.
Bogota FC are ranked 4 in Primera B: Apertura - Quadrangular, with 3 points from 6 games.
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Envigado | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 11 |
| 1 | Real Cartagena | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 6 | 2 | 13 |
| 2 | Quindio | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 10 |
| 2 | Union Magdalena | 6 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 8 | 4 | 4 | 9 |
| 3 | Internacional Palmira | 6 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 7 |
| 3 | Barranquilla | 6 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 5 | 6 | -1 | 6 |
| 4 | Tigres FC | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 8 | -4 | 4 |
| 4 | Bogota FC | 6 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 8 | -5 | 3 |
Envigado are ranked 10 in Primera B: Clausura, with 12 points from 11 games.
Bogota FC are ranked 12 in Primera B: Clausura, with 12 points from 11 games.
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Real Cundinamarca | 11 | 7 | 2 | 2 | 19 | 10 | 9 | 23 |
| 2 | Ind. Yumbo | 11 | 7 | 2 | 2 | 15 | 6 | 9 | 23 |
| 3 | Tigres FC | 11 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 13 | 4 | 9 | 21 |
| 4 | Popayan | 11 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 18 | 14 | 4 | 18 |
| 5 | Patriotas | 11 | 5 | 2 | 4 | 17 | 17 | 0 | 17 |
| 6 | Quindio | 11 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 9 | 8 | 1 | 16 |
| 7 | Real Cartagena | 11 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 19 | 14 | 5 | 15 |
| 8 | Depor FC | 11 | 4 | 2 | 5 | 13 | 17 | -4 | 14 |
| 9 | Internacional Palmira | 11 | 4 | 2 | 5 | 8 | 12 | -4 | 14 |
| 10 | Envigado | 11 | 2 | 6 | 3 | 12 | 11 | 1 | 12 |
| 11 | Union Magdalena | 11 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 10 | 12 | -2 | 12 |
| 12 | Bogota FC | 11 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 9 | 13 | -4 | 12 |
| 13 | Real Santander | 11 | 2 | 6 | 3 | 13 | 18 | -5 | 12 |
| 14 | Orsomarso | 11 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 7 | 11 | -4 | 10 |
| 15 | Leones FC | 11 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 8 | 17 | -9 | 10 |
| 16 | Barranquilla | 11 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 11 | 17 | -6 | 9 |
P: played · W: wins · D: draws · L: losses · GF/GA: goals for/against · GD: goal difference · Pts: points. Highlighted rows identify this match’s teams.
About this prediction
We compare each team’s recent goals scored and conceded, giving more weight to recent games and the same home or away venue. A goal model then chooses double chance or Over 1.5 goals. Predictions can change before kickoff and are not guaranteed results. Live scores refresh every 5 seconds.