USL League One · Group Stage
Boise1–0Greenville Triumph
Real Scored · Match result
Match prediction · 3 October 2026
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THE PREDICTION
Our match outlook
Home or drawWon
Based on 10 previous home-team games and 10 previous away-team games. Small samples provide less evidence.
Prediction saved
Match information
- Competition
- USL League One
- Venue
- To be confirmed
- Status
- Match Finished
- Score
- 1–0
- 90-minute score
- 1–0
- Last updated
Goals and cards
Goals
Match events are not yet available.
Cards
Match events are not yet available.
Lineups
Lineups have not been supplied yet. Confirmed selections appear here when available.
Real Scored match analysis
Boise vs Greenville Triumph: match review and analysis
Boise vs Greenville Triumph in USL League One on 3 October 2026 has finished at full time. The match goal score was 1–0. Review the team form and league context below.
Real Scored brings together the match information, available team results and current standings below. The saved pre-match selection is Home or draw.
Boise recorded 5 wins, 4 draws and 1 losses in the 10 games used here, scoring 17 and conceding 11. Greenville Triumph recorded 1 wins, 2 draws and 7 losses, with 10 scored and 21 conceded across 10 games.
| Statistic | Boise | Greenville Triumph |
|---|---|---|
| Games | 10 | 10 |
| Wins | 5 | 1 |
| Draws | 4 | 2 |
| Losses | 1 | 7 |
| Goals scored | 17 | 10 |
| Goals conceded | 11 | 21 |
| Over 1.5 games | 9 | 8 |
Why this selection?
The calculation combines each team’s recent attacking record with the opposing defence. Newer games receive more weight, and results at the same home or away venue receive extra weight.
Boise: (1.65 weighted goals scored + 2.55 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 2.10 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
Greenville Triumph: (0.88 weighted goals scored + 1.13 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 1.01 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
The model favours the home side avoiding defeat. A home win or a draw satisfies this selection. It ranked highest when comparing the three double-chance options with Over 1.5 using a Poisson goal model.
Model goals are estimates from past scores, not shot-based expected goals. These form records were saved with the prediction before kickoff. League position is context below and is not an input to this goal model. Injuries, lineups and odds are not included.
Recent results and goal trends
LAST 10 GAMES
Boise recent form
1.70 goals scored and 1.10 conceded per game. 9 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Corpus ChristiUSL League One | Away | 1–2 | Lost | |
| Spokane VelocityUSL League One | Away | 2–2 | Draw | |
| Charlotte IndependenceUSL League One | Home | 1–1 | Draw | |
| NY CosmosUSL League One | Home | 2–1 | Won | |
| NaplesUSL League One | Away | 2–0 | Won | |
| Chattanooga Red WolvesUSL League One | Away | 3–2 | Won | |
| One KnoxvilleUSL League One | Away | 2–2 | Draw | |
| Sporting San JoseFriendlies Clubs | Home | 2–0 | Won | |
| Forward MadisonUSL League One | Home | 2–1 | Won | |
| Corpus ChristiUSL League One | Home | 0–0 | Draw |
Scores shown from Boise’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.
LAST 10 GAMES
Greenville Triumph recent form
1.00 goals scored and 2.10 conceded per game. 8 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Union OmahaUSL League One | Home | 1–3 | Lost | |
| Sarasota ParadiseUSL League One | Away | 0–6 | Lost | |
| Corpus ChristiUSL League One | Home | 0–1 | Lost | |
| Fort WayneUSL League One | Home | 1–3 | Lost | |
| Chattanooga Red WolvesUSL League One | Away | 1–3 | Lost | |
| NaplesUSL League One | Home | 4–0 | Won | |
| Spokane VelocityUSL League One | Away | 1–2 | Lost | |
| One KnoxvilleUSL League One | Home | 1–1 | Draw | |
| Forward MadisonUSL League One | Away | 1–1 | Draw | |
| Charlotte IndependenceUSL League One | Away | 0–1 | Lost |
Scores shown from Greenville Triumph’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.
LEAGUE CONTEXT
USL League One — current table
Season 2026 · Latest stored table, updated . This table may include games played after this prediction was made.
Boise are ranked 5 in USL League One, with 49 points from 29 games.
Greenville Triumph are ranked 16 in USL League One, with 23 points from 28 games.
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Union Omaha | 29 | 19 | 4 | 6 | 53 | 31 | 22 | 61 |
| 2 | Charlotte Independence | 29 | 18 | 6 | 5 | 67 | 42 | 25 | 60 |
| 3 | Forward Madison | 29 | 15 | 7 | 7 | 50 | 27 | 23 | 52 |
| 4 | One Knoxville | 30 | 14 | 9 | 7 | 49 | 34 | 15 | 51 |
| 5 | Boise | 29 | 14 | 7 | 8 | 45 | 39 | 6 | 49 |
| 6 | Spokane Velocity | 27 | 14 | 5 | 8 | 41 | 36 | 5 | 47 |
| 7 | Chattanooga Red Wolves | 30 | 14 | 4 | 12 | 50 | 43 | 7 | 46 |
| 8 | Fort Wayne | 29 | 11 | 9 | 9 | 45 | 37 | 8 | 42 |
| 9 | Naples | 29 | 11 | 4 | 14 | 34 | 44 | -10 | 37 |
| 10 | Corpus Christi | 29 | 9 | 9 | 11 | 33 | 43 | -10 | 36 |
| 11 | Westchester SC | 29 | 9 | 6 | 14 | 48 | 46 | 2 | 33 |
| 12 | Sarasota Paradise | 28 | 9 | 6 | 13 | 39 | 43 | -4 | 33 |
| 13 | Alta | 29 | 8 | 8 | 13 | 35 | 42 | -7 | 32 |
| 14 | Portland Hearts of Pine | 29 | 7 | 10 | 12 | 43 | 53 | -10 | 31 |
| 15 | NY Cosmos | 28 | 7 | 4 | 17 | 36 | 56 | -20 | 25 |
| 16 | Greenville Triumph | 28 | 6 | 5 | 17 | 30 | 52 | -22 | 23 |
| 17 | Richmond Kickers | 29 | 6 | 5 | 18 | 30 | 60 | -30 | 23 |
P: played · W: wins · D: draws · L: losses · GF/GA: goals for/against · GD: goal difference · Pts: points. Highlighted rows identify this match’s teams.
About this prediction
We compare each team’s recent goals scored and conceded, giving more weight to recent games and the same home or away venue. A goal model then chooses double chance or Over 1.5 goals. Predictions can change before kickoff and are not guaranteed results. Live scores refresh every 5 seconds.