National League · Regular Season - 12
Boreham Wood3–1Altrincham
Real Scored · Match result
Match prediction · 3 October 2026
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THE PREDICTION
Our match outlook
Over 1.5 goalsWon
Based on 10 previous home-team games and 10 previous away-team games. Small samples provide less evidence.
Prediction saved
Match information
- Competition
- National League
- Venue
- Meadow Park
- Status
- Match Finished
- Score
- 3–1
- 90-minute score
- 3–1
- Last updated
Goals and cards
Goals
Match events are not yet available.
Cards
Match events are not yet available.
Lineups
Lineups have not been supplied yet. Confirmed selections appear here when available.
Real Scored match analysis
Boreham Wood vs Altrincham: match review and analysis
Boreham Wood vs Altrincham in National League on 3 October 2026 has finished at full time. The match goal score was 3–1. Review the team form and league context below.
Real Scored brings together the match information, available team results and current standings below. The saved pre-match selection is Over 1.5 goals.
Boreham Wood recorded 8 wins, 2 draws and 0 losses in the 10 games used here, scoring 23 and conceding 10. Altrincham recorded 7 wins, 0 draws and 3 losses, with 15 scored and 12 conceded across 10 games.
| Statistic | Boreham Wood | Altrincham |
|---|---|---|
| Games | 10 | 10 |
| Wins | 8 | 7 |
| Draws | 2 | 0 |
| Losses | 0 | 3 |
| Goals scored | 23 | 15 |
| Goals conceded | 10 | 12 |
| Over 1.5 games | 10 | 7 |
Why this selection?
The calculation combines each team’s recent attacking record with the opposing defence. Newer games receive more weight, and results at the same home or away venue receive extra weight.
Boreham Wood: (2.38 weighted goals scored + 1.18 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 1.78 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
Altrincham: (1.52 weighted goals scored + 0.94 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 1.23 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
The combined scoring outlook makes at least two total goals the strongest of the four options compared. Either team can score those goals. It ranked highest when comparing the three double-chance options with Over 1.5 using a Poisson goal model.
Model goals are estimates from past scores, not shot-based expected goals. These form records were saved with the prediction before kickoff. League position is context below and is not an input to this goal model. Injuries, lineups and odds are not included.
Recent results and goal trends
LAST 10 GAMES
Boreham Wood recent form
2.30 goals scored and 1.00 conceded per game. 10 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kidderminster HarriersNational League | Home | 3–1 | Won | |
| Solihull MoorsNational League | Away | 3–0 | Won | |
| Everton U21National League Cup | Home | 1–1 | Draw | |
| Harrogate TownNational League | Home | 4–1 | Won | |
| ScunthorpeNational League | Away | 2–1 | Won | |
| EastleighNational League | Away | 1–1 | Draw | |
| Newcastle United U21National League Cup | Home | 2–1 | Won | |
| CarlisleNational League | Home | 2–1 | Won | |
| WorthingNational League | Away | 3–2 | Won | |
| Boston UnitedNational League | Home | 2–1 | Won |
Scores shown from Boreham Wood’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.
LAST 10 GAMES
Altrincham recent form
1.50 goals scored and 1.20 conceded per game. 7 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| GatesheadNational League | Away | 1–0 | Won | |
| AFC HornchurchNational League | Home | 3–0 | Won | |
| AFC FyldeNational League | Away | 2–1 | Won | |
| HartlepoolNational League | Home | 2–1 | Won | |
| WokingNational League | Away | 1–5 | Lost | |
| EastleighNational League | Home | 2–1 | Won | |
| Forest GreenNational League | Away | 2–1 | Won | |
| FC Halifax TownNational League | Home | 2–1 | Won | |
| Boston UnitedNational League | Away | 0–1 | Lost | |
| Sutton UtdNational League | Away | 0–1 | Lost |
Scores shown from Altrincham’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.
LEAGUE CONTEXT
National League — current table
Season 2026 · Latest stored table, updated . Refresh delayed; showing the last available table. This table may include games played after this prediction was made.
Boreham Wood are ranked 1 in Conference, with 32 points from 12 games.
Altrincham are ranked 6 in Conference, with 21 points from 12 games.
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Boreham Wood | 12 | 10 | 2 | 0 | 32 | 13 | 19 | 32 |
| 2 | Harrogate Town | 12 | 8 | 1 | 3 | 28 | 17 | 11 | 25 |
| 3 | Southend | 12 | 7 | 3 | 2 | 29 | 18 | 11 | 24 |
| 4 | Yeovil Town | 12 | 6 | 4 | 2 | 26 | 15 | 11 | 22 |
| 5 | Worthing | 12 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 22 | 18 | 4 | 21 |
| 6 | Altrincham | 12 | 7 | 0 | 5 | 17 | 18 | -1 | 21 |
| 7 | AFC Fylde | 12 | 6 | 2 | 4 | 22 | 18 | 4 | 20 |
| 8 | Kidderminster Harriers | 12 | 5 | 4 | 3 | 15 | 12 | 3 | 19 |
| 9 | Barrow | 12 | 5 | 3 | 4 | 20 | 15 | 5 | 18 |
| 10 | Aldershot Town | 12 | 5 | 3 | 4 | 17 | 13 | 4 | 18 |
| 11 | Sutton Utd | 12 | 5 | 3 | 4 | 14 | 16 | -2 | 18 |
| 12 | AFC Hornchurch | 12 | 6 | 0 | 6 | 13 | 19 | -6 | 18 |
| 13 | FC Halifax Town | 12 | 5 | 2 | 5 | 18 | 14 | 4 | 17 |
| 14 | Carlisle | 12 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 23 | 20 | 3 | 16 |
| 15 | Woking | 12 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 20 | 19 | 1 | 15 |
| 16 | Forest Green | 11 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 17 | 18 | -1 | 15 |
| 17 | Eastleigh | 12 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 14 | 18 | -4 | 15 |
| 18 | Tamworth | 12 | 4 | 2 | 6 | 20 | 28 | -8 | 14 |
| 19 | Wealdstone | 12 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 17 | 18 | -1 | 12 |
| 20 | Boston United | 12 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 14 | 21 | -7 | 12 |
| 21 | Scunthorpe | 11 | 3 | 1 | 7 | 15 | 19 | -4 | 10 |
| 22 | Hartlepool | 12 | 3 | 0 | 9 | 8 | 17 | -9 | 9 |
| 23 | Solihull Moors | 12 | 2 | 1 | 9 | 13 | 30 | -17 | 7 |
| 24 | Gateshead | 12 | 1 | 1 | 10 | 7 | 27 | -20 | 4 |
P: played · W: wins · D: draws · L: losses · GF/GA: goals for/against · GD: goal difference · Pts: points. Highlighted rows identify this match’s teams.
About this prediction
We compare each team’s recent goals scored and conceded, giving more weight to recent games and the same home or away venue. A goal model then chooses double chance or Over 1.5 goals. Predictions can change before kickoff and are not guaranteed results. Live scores refresh every 5 seconds.