Carioca U20 · Regular Season - 9
Botafogo U204–1Maricá U20
Real Scored · Match result
Match prediction · 3 October 2026
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THE PREDICTION
Our match outlook
Home or awayWon
Based on 10 previous home-team games and 10 previous away-team games. Small samples provide less evidence.
Prediction saved
Match information
- Competition
- Carioca U20
- Venue
- To be confirmed
- Status
- Match Finished
- Score
- 4–1
- 90-minute score
- 4–1
- Last updated
Goals and cards
Goals
Match events are not yet available.
Cards
Match events are not yet available.
Lineups
Lineups have not been supplied yet. Confirmed selections appear here when available.
Real Scored match analysis
Botafogo U20 vs Maricá U20: match review and analysis
Botafogo U20 vs Maricá U20 in Carioca U20 on 3 October 2026 has finished at full time. The match goal score was 4–1. Review the team form and league context below.
Real Scored brings together the match information, available team results and current standings below. The saved pre-match selection is Home or away.
Botafogo U20 recorded 4 wins, 2 draws and 4 losses in the 10 games used here, scoring 16 and conceding 14. Maricá U20 recorded 2 wins, 2 draws and 6 losses, with 10 scored and 13 conceded across 10 games.
| Statistic | Botafogo U20 | Maricá U20 |
|---|---|---|
| Games | 10 | 10 |
| Wins | 4 | 2 |
| Draws | 2 | 2 |
| Losses | 4 | 6 |
| Goals scored | 16 | 10 |
| Goals conceded | 14 | 13 |
| Over 1.5 games | 8 | 5 |
Why this selection?
The calculation combines each team’s recent attacking record with the opposing defence. Newer games receive more weight, and results at the same home or away venue receive extra weight.
Botafogo U20: (1.68 weighted goals scored + 1.25 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 1.46 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
Maricá U20: (1.00 weighted goals scored + 1.24 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 1.12 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
The model favours a decisive result. Either side winning satisfies this selection; a draw does not. It ranked highest when comparing the three double-chance options with Over 1.5 using a Poisson goal model.
Model goals are estimates from past scores, not shot-based expected goals. These form records were saved with the prediction before kickoff. League position is context below and is not an input to this goal model. Injuries, lineups and odds are not included.
Recent results and goal trends
LAST 10 GAMES
Botafogo U20 recent form
1.60 goals scored and 1.40 conceded per game. 8 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Vasco da Gama U20Carioca U20 | Away | 0–3 | Lost | |
| Flamengo U20Carioca U20 | Home | 0–1 | Lost | |
| Fluminense U20Carioca U20 | Away | 0–3 | Lost | |
| Estrela De Marco U20Copa do Brasil U20 | Home | 4–0 | Won | |
| Sampaio Correa FE U20Carioca U20 | Home | 4–0 | Won | |
| Volta Redonda U20Carioca U20 | Home | 4–1 | Won | |
| Madureira U20Carioca U20 | Home | 1–1 | Draw | |
| Boavista U20Carioca U20 | Away | 1–1 | Draw | |
| Santos U20Brasileiro U20 A | Home | 1–0 | Won | |
| Santos U20Brasileiro U20 A | Away | 1–4 | Lost |
Scores shown from Botafogo U20’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.
LAST 10 GAMES
Maricá U20 recent form
1.00 goals scored and 1.30 conceded per game. 5 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Volta Redonda U20Carioca U20 | Home | 1–0 | Won | |
| Bangu U20Carioca U20 | Away | 0–1 | Lost | |
| Madureira U20Carioca U20 | Home | 2–3 | Lost | |
| Boavista U20Carioca U20 | Away | 2–2 | Draw | |
| Nova Iguaçu U20Carioca U20 | Home | 3–0 | Won | |
| Portuguesa RJ U20Carioca U20 | Away | 0–1 | Lost | |
| Sampaio Correa FE U20Carioca U20 | Away | 1–1 | Draw | |
| Vasco da Gama U20Carioca U20 | Home | 1–3 | Lost | |
| América RJ U20Copa Rio U20 | Home | 0–1 | Lost | |
| Madureira U20Copa Rio U20 | Away | 0–1 | Lost |
Scores shown from Maricá U20’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.
LEAGUE CONTEXT
Carioca U20 — current table
Season 2026 · Latest stored table, updated . Refresh delayed; showing the last available table. This table may include games played after this prediction was made.
Botafogo U20 are ranked 5 in Regular Season, with 11 points from 8 games.
Maricá U20 are ranked 8 in Regular Season, with 8 points from 9 games.
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Flamengo U20 | 9 | 8 | 0 | 1 | 25 | 8 | 17 | 24 |
| 2 | Fluminense U20 | 9 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 23 | 7 | 16 | 23 |
| 3 | Vasco da Gama U20 | 9 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 17 | 6 | 11 | 22 |
| 4 | Sampaio Correa FE U20 | 9 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 12 | 17 | -5 | 14 |
| 5 | Botafogo U20 | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 14 | 11 | 3 | 11 |
| 6 | Madureira U20 | 9 | 1 | 6 | 2 | 10 | 13 | -3 | 9 |
| 7 | Boavista U20 | 9 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 11 | 16 | -5 | 9 |
| 8 | Maricá U20 | 9 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 11 | 15 | -4 | 8 |
| 9 | Bangu U20 | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 7 | 11 | -4 | 8 |
| 10 | Nova Iguaçu U20 | 9 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 10 | 17 | -7 | 7 |
| 11 | Portuguesa RJ U20 | 9 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 6 | 14 | -8 | 5 |
| 12 | Volta Redonda U20 | 9 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 7 | 18 | -11 | 5 |
P: played · W: wins · D: draws · L: losses · GF/GA: goals for/against · GD: goal difference · Pts: points. Highlighted rows identify this match’s teams.
About this prediction
We compare each team’s recent goals scored and conceded, giving more weight to recent games and the same home or away venue. A goal model then chooses double chance or Over 1.5 goals. Predictions can change before kickoff and are not guaranteed results. Live scores refresh every 5 seconds.