Third League - Southwest · Southwest - 11
Botev IhtimanvsOborishte
Real Scored · Match preview
Match prediction · 10 October 2026
Not Started
This match has finished. Go back home for the latest fixtures →
THE PREDICTION
Our match outlook
Over 1.5 goalsBased on 10 previous home-team games and 10 previous away-team games. Small samples provide less evidence.
Prediction saved
Match information
- Competition
- Third League - Southwest
- Venue
- To be confirmed
- Status
- Not Started
- Score
- Not started
- 90-minute score
- —
- Last updated
Goals and cards
Goals
Match events are not yet available.
Cards
Match events are not yet available.
Lineups
Lineups have not been supplied yet. Confirmed selections appear here when available.
Real Scored match analysis
Botev Ihtiman vs Oborishte: match review and analysis
Botev Ihtiman vs Oborishte in Third League - Southwest on 10 October 2026. Compare recent results, goal trends and league positions in this match preview.
Real Scored brings together the match information, available team results and current standings below. The saved pre-match selection is Over 1.5 goals.
Botev Ihtiman recorded 5 wins, 0 draws and 5 losses in the 10 games used here, scoring 13 and conceding 12. Oborishte recorded 6 wins, 3 draws and 1 losses, with 22 scored and 12 conceded across 10 games.
| Statistic | Botev Ihtiman | Oborishte |
|---|---|---|
| Games | 10 | 10 |
| Wins | 5 | 6 |
| Draws | 0 | 3 |
| Losses | 5 | 1 |
| Goals scored | 13 | 22 |
| Goals conceded | 12 | 12 |
| Over 1.5 games | 5 | 8 |
Why this selection?
The calculation combines each team’s recent attacking record with the opposing defence. Newer games receive more weight, and results at the same home or away venue receive extra weight.
Botev Ihtiman: (1.13 weighted goals scored + 1.28 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 1.21 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
Oborishte: (2.31 weighted goals scored + 1.25 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 1.78 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
The combined scoring outlook makes at least two total goals the strongest of the four options compared. Either team can score those goals. It ranked highest when comparing the three double-chance options with Over 1.5 using a Poisson goal model.
Model goals are estimates from past scores, not shot-based expected goals. These form records were saved with the prediction before kickoff. League position is context below and is not an input to this goal model. Injuries, lineups and odds are not included.
Recent results and goal trends
LAST 10 GAMES
Botev Ihtiman recent form
1.30 goals scored and 1.20 conceded per game. 5 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BanskoThird League - Southwest | Away | 0–1 | Lost | |
| Spartak PlovdivCup | Away | 0–1 | Lost | |
| FK Minyor PernikThird League - Southwest | Home | 0–2 | Lost | |
| Pirin RazlogThird League - Southwest | Away | 0–1 | Lost | |
| Natsional SofiaThird League - Southwest | Home | 3–2 | Won | |
| Chavdar EtropoleThird League - Southwest | Away | 4–1 | Won | |
| CSKA Sofia IIIThird League - Southwest | Home | 2–1 | Won | |
| Balkan BotevgradThird League - Southwest | Away | 0–1 | Lost | |
| KostinbrodThird League - Southwest | Home | 1–0 | Won | |
| Slivnishki geroyThird League - Southwest | Away | 3–2 | Won |
Scores shown from Botev Ihtiman’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.
LAST 10 GAMES
Oborishte recent form
2.20 goals scored and 1.20 conceded per game. 8 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| KyustendilThird League - Southwest | Home | 2–2 | Draw | |
| Yantra 2019Cup | Home | 1–3 | Lost | |
| Septemvri SimitliThird League - Southwest | Away | 3–1 | Won | |
| Strumska SlavaThird League - Southwest | Home | 3–2 | Won | |
| BelasitsaThird League - Southwest | Home | 1–0 | Won | |
| BanskoThird League - Southwest | Away | 4–0 | Won | |
| FK Minyor PernikThird League - Southwest | Home | 0–0 | Draw | |
| Pirin RazlogThird League - Southwest | Away | 4–2 | Won | |
| Natsional SofiaThird League - Southwest | Home | 3–1 | Won | |
| Chavdar EtropoleThird League - Southwest | Away | 1–1 | Draw |
Scores shown from Oborishte’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.
LEAGUE CONTEXT
Third League - Southwest — current table
Season 2026 · Latest stored table, updated . This table may include games played after this prediction was made.
Oborishte are ranked 2 in Southwest, with 22 points from 10 games.
Botev Ihtiman are ranked 7 in Southwest, with 15 points from 10 games.
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | FK Minyor Pernik | 10 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 22 | 6 | 16 | 23 |
| 2 | Oborishte | 10 | 6 | 4 | 0 | 22 | 10 | 12 | 22 |
| 3 | Bansko | 10 | 7 | 1 | 2 | 21 | 13 | 8 | 22 |
| 4 | Strumska Slava | 10 | 6 | 1 | 3 | 20 | 12 | 8 | 19 |
| 5 | Septemvri Sofia II | 9 | 5 | 1 | 3 | 13 | 9 | 4 | 16 |
| 6 | Balkan Botevgrad | 10 | 5 | 1 | 4 | 9 | 10 | -1 | 16 |
| 7 | Botev Ihtiman | 10 | 5 | 0 | 5 | 14 | 13 | 1 | 15 |
| 8 | Kostinbrod | 10 | 5 | 0 | 5 | 11 | 10 | 1 | 15 |
| 9 | Slavia Sofia II | 10 | 4 | 0 | 6 | 15 | 14 | 1 | 12 |
| 10 | CSKA Sofia III | 9 | 2 | 6 | 1 | 8 | 7 | 1 | 12 |
| 11 | Levski Sofia II | 10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 12 | 12 | 0 | 12 |
| 12 | Septemvri Simitli | 10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 14 | 18 | -4 | 12 |
| 13 | Slivnishki geroy | 10 | 3 | 2 | 5 | 14 | 18 | -4 | 11 |
| 14 | Belasitsa | 10 | 3 | 1 | 6 | 16 | 20 | -4 | 10 |
| 15 | Chavdar Etropole | 10 | 3 | 1 | 6 | 12 | 23 | -11 | 10 |
| 16 | Kyustendil | 10 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 10 | 16 | -6 | 9 |
| 17 | Natsional Sofia | 10 | 1 | 4 | 5 | 12 | 18 | -6 | 7 |
| 18 | Pirin Razlog | 10 | 2 | 1 | 7 | 8 | 24 | -16 | 7 |
P: played · W: wins · D: draws · L: losses · GF/GA: goals for/against · GD: goal difference · Pts: points. Highlighted rows identify this match’s teams.
About this prediction
We compare each team’s recent goals scored and conceded, giving more weight to recent games and the same home or away venue. A goal model then chooses double chance or Over 1.5 goals. Predictions can change before kickoff and are not guaranteed results. Live scores refresh every 5 seconds.