FA Cup · 3rd Round Qualifying
Brackley Town0–2Chelmsford City
Real Scored · Match result
Match prediction · 3 October 2026
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THE PREDICTION
Our match outlook
Home or awayWon
Based on 10 previous home-team games and 10 previous away-team games. Small samples provide less evidence.
Prediction saved
Match information
- Competition
- FA Cup
- Venue
- To be confirmed
- Status
- Match Finished
- Score
- 0–2
- 90-minute score
- 0–2
- Last updated
Goals and cards
Goals
Match events are not yet available.
Cards
Match events are not yet available.
Lineups
Lineups have not been supplied yet. Confirmed selections appear here when available.
Real Scored match analysis
Brackley Town vs Chelmsford City: match review and analysis
Brackley Town vs Chelmsford City in FA Cup on 3 October 2026 has finished at full time. The match goal score was 0–2. Review the team form and league context below.
Real Scored brings together the match information, available team results and current standings below. The saved pre-match selection is Home or away.
Brackley Town recorded 3 wins, 3 draws and 4 losses in the 10 games used here, scoring 10 and conceding 18. Chelmsford City recorded 2 wins, 8 draws and 0 losses, with 10 scored and 8 conceded across 10 games.
| Statistic | Brackley Town | Chelmsford City |
|---|---|---|
| Games | 10 | 10 |
| Wins | 3 | 2 |
| Draws | 3 | 8 |
| Losses | 4 | 0 |
| Goals scored | 10 | 10 |
| Goals conceded | 18 | 8 |
| Over 1.5 games | 8 | 6 |
Why this selection?
The calculation combines each team’s recent attacking record with the opposing defence. Newer games receive more weight, and results at the same home or away venue receive extra weight.
Brackley Town: (1.18 weighted goals scored + 0.87 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 1.02 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
Chelmsford City: (1.09 weighted goals scored + 1.60 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 1.34 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
The model favours a decisive result. Either side winning satisfies this selection; a draw does not. It ranked highest when comparing the three double-chance options with Over 1.5 using a Poisson goal model.
Model goals are estimates from past scores, not shot-based expected goals. These form records were saved with the prediction before kickoff. League position is context below and is not an input to this goal model. Injuries, lineups and odds are not included.
Recent results and goal trends
LAST 10 GAMES
Brackley Town recent form
1.00 goals scored and 1.80 conceded per game. 8 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| South ShieldsNational League - North | Home | 3–2 | Won | |
| Scarborough AthleticNational League - North | Home | 1–1 | Draw | |
| AFC PortchesterFA Cup | Home | 1–0 | Won | |
| MorecambeNational League - North | Away | 0–3 | Lost | |
| BuxtonNational League - North | Away | 0–5 | Lost | |
| Harborough TownNational League - North | Home | 1–0 | Won | |
| ChorleyNational League - North | Away | 2–2 | Draw | |
| MacclesfieldNational League - North | Away | 1–2 | Lost | |
| King's Lynn TownNational League - North | Home | 0–2 | Lost | |
| Hebburn TownNational League - North | Home | 1–1 | Draw |
Scores shown from Brackley Town’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.
LAST 10 GAMES
Chelmsford City recent form
1.00 goals scored and 0.80 conceded per game. 6 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| HorshamNational League - South | Home | 0–0 | Draw | |
| Canvey IslandFA Cup | Away | 1–0 | Won | |
| Hampton & RichmondNational League - South | Away | 1–1 | Draw | |
| Dorking WanderersNational League - South | Away | 3–3 | Draw | |
| SalisburyNational League - South | Home | 1–1 | Draw | |
| Weston-super-MareNational League - South | Away | 1–1 | Draw | |
| MaidenheadNational League - South | Home | 1–0 | Won | |
| Folkestone InvictaNational League - South | Away | 1–1 | Draw | |
| Truro CityNational League - South | Home | 0–0 | Draw | |
| Hemel Hempstead TownNational League - South | Away | 1–1 | Draw |
Scores shown from Chelmsford City’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.
LEAGUE CONTEXT
FA Cup — current table
No league table is currently available for this competition and season. Some cup rounds and friendlies do not have standings.
About this prediction
We compare each team’s recent goals scored and conceded, giving more weight to recent games and the same home or away venue. A goal model then chooses double chance or Over 1.5 goals. Predictions can change before kickoff and are not guaranteed results. Live scores refresh every 5 seconds.