Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group A · Group A - 5
BragançavsMontalegre
Real Scored · Match preview
Match prediction · 11 October 2026
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THE PREDICTION
Our match outlook
Home or drawBased on 10 previous home-team games and 10 previous away-team games. Small samples provide less evidence.
Prediction saved
Match information
- Competition
- Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group A
- Venue
- To be confirmed
- Status
- Not Started
- Score
- Not started
- 90-minute score
- —
- Last updated
Goals and cards
Goals
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Cards
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Lineups
Lineups have not been supplied yet. Confirmed selections appear here when available.
Real Scored match analysis
Bragança vs Montalegre: match review and analysis
Bragança vs Montalegre in Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group A on 11 October 2026. Compare recent results, goal trends and league positions in this match preview.
Real Scored brings together the match information, available team results and current standings below. The saved pre-match selection is Home or draw.
Bragança recorded 6 wins, 3 draws and 1 losses in the 10 games used here, scoring 20 and conceding 6. Montalegre recorded 2 wins, 5 draws and 3 losses, with 6 scored and 11 conceded across 10 games.
| Statistic | Bragança | Montalegre |
|---|---|---|
| Games | 10 | 10 |
| Wins | 6 | 2 |
| Draws | 3 | 5 |
| Losses | 1 | 3 |
| Goals scored | 20 | 6 |
| Goals conceded | 6 | 11 |
| Over 1.5 games | 6 | 5 |
Why this selection?
The calculation combines each team’s recent attacking record with the opposing defence. Newer games receive more weight, and results at the same home or away venue receive extra weight.
Bragança: (2.47 weighted goals scored + 1.19 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 1.83 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
Montalegre: (0.73 weighted goals scored + 0.51 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 0.62 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
The model favours the home side avoiding defeat. A home win or a draw satisfies this selection. It ranked highest when comparing the three double-chance options with Over 1.5 using a Poisson goal model.
Model goals are estimates from past scores, not shot-based expected goals. These form records were saved with the prediction before kickoff. League position is context below and is not an input to this goal model. Injuries, lineups and odds are not included.
Recent results and goal trends
LAST 10 GAMES
Bragança recent form
2.00 goals scored and 0.60 conceded per game. 6 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| CeloricenseTaça de Portugal | Home | 6–1 | Won | |
| Ponte da BarcaCampeonato de Portugal Prio - Group A | Home | 3–0 | Won | |
| Maia LidadorCampeonato de Portugal Prio - Group A | Away | 1–0 | Won | |
| RebordeloTaça de Portugal | Away | 4–0 | Won | |
| SC Braga BCampeonato de Portugal Prio - Group A | Home | 0–0 | Draw | |
| BritoCampeonato de Portugal Prio - Group A | Away | 3–2 | Won | |
| LeçaCampeonato de Portugal Prio - Promotion Round | Away | 0–1 | Lost | |
| VianenseCampeonato de Portugal Prio - Promotion Round | Home | 1–0 | Won | |
| RebordosaCampeonato de Portugal Prio - Promotion Round | Away | 1–1 | Draw | |
| LeçaCampeonato de Portugal Prio - Promotion Round | Home | 1–1 | Draw |
Scores shown from Bragança’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.
LAST 10 GAMES
Montalegre recent form
0.60 goals scored and 1.10 conceded per game. 5 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Maia LidadorCampeonato de Portugal Prio - Group A | Home | 1–1 | Draw | |
| SC Braga BCampeonato de Portugal Prio - Group A | Away | 2–2 | Draw | |
| Ponte da BarcaTaça de Portugal | Home | 0–0 | Draw | |
| BritoCampeonato de Portugal Prio - Group A | Home | 2–0 | Won | |
| CeloricenseCampeonato de Portugal Prio - Group A | Away | 0–0 | Draw | |
| SandinensesCampeonato de Portugal Prio - Group A | Away | 0–4 | Lost | |
| Os LimianosCampeonato de Portugal Prio - Group A | Home | 0–1 | Lost | |
| Vila RealCampeonato de Portugal Prio - Group A | Home | 0–0 | Draw | |
| RibeirãoCampeonato de Portugal Prio - Group A | Away | 1–0 | Won | |
| TirsenseCampeonato de Portugal Prio - Group A | Away | 0–3 | Lost |
Scores shown from Montalegre’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.
LEAGUE CONTEXT
Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group A — current table
Season 2026 · Latest stored table, updated . Refresh delayed; showing the last available table. This table may include games played after this prediction was made.
Bragança are ranked 1 in II Divisao: Group A, with 10 points from 4 games.
Montalegre are ranked 8 in II Divisao: Group A, with 6 points from 4 games.
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Bragança | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 7 | 2 | 5 | 10 |
| 2 | Tirsense | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 2 | 5 | 9 |
| 3 | Chaves II | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 9 |
| 4 | SC Braga B | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 8 | 3 | 5 | 8 |
| 5 | Os Limianos | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 8 | 5 | 3 | 8 |
| 6 | Vila Meã | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 3 | 4 | 7 |
| 7 | Celoricense | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 7 |
| 8 | Montalegre | 4 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 6 |
| 9 | Rebordosa | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 3 | -1 | 4 |
| 10 | Brito | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 8 | -4 | 3 |
| 11 | Ponte da Barca | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 8 | -4 | 3 |
| 12 | Maria da Fonte | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 7 | -5 | 3 |
| 13 | Maia Lidador | 4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 5 | -3 | 1 |
| 14 | Vinhais | 4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 10 | -9 | 0 |
P: played · W: wins · D: draws · L: losses · GF/GA: goals for/against · GD: goal difference · Pts: points. Highlighted rows identify this match’s teams.
About this prediction
We compare each team’s recent goals scored and conceded, giving more weight to recent games and the same home or away venue. A goal model then chooses double chance or Over 1.5 goals. Predictions can change before kickoff and are not guaranteed results. Live scores refresh every 5 seconds.