Tercera División RFEF - Group 17 · Group 17 - 5
Brea1–0CDJ Tamarite
Real Scored · Match result
Match prediction · 4 October 2026
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THE PREDICTION
Our match outlook
Over 1.5 goalsLost
Based on 10 previous home-team games and 10 previous away-team games. Small samples provide less evidence.
Prediction saved
Match information
- Competition
- Tercera División RFEF - Group 17
- Venue
- To be confirmed
- Status
- Match Finished
- Score
- 1–0
- 90-minute score
- 1–0
- Last updated
Goals and cards
Goals
Match events are not yet available.
Cards
Match events are not yet available.
Lineups
Lineups have not been supplied yet. Confirmed selections appear here when available.
Real Scored match analysis
Brea vs CDJ Tamarite: match review and analysis
Brea vs CDJ Tamarite in Tercera División RFEF - Group 17 on 4 October 2026 has finished at full time. The match goal score was 1–0. Review the team form and league context below.
Real Scored brings together the match information, available team results and current standings below. The saved pre-match selection is Over 1.5 goals.
Brea recorded 4 wins, 4 draws and 2 losses in the 10 games used here, scoring 14 and conceding 9. CDJ Tamarite recorded 3 wins, 2 draws and 5 losses, with 13 scored and 18 conceded across 10 games.
| Statistic | Brea | CDJ Tamarite |
|---|---|---|
| Games | 10 | 10 |
| Wins | 4 | 3 |
| Draws | 4 | 2 |
| Losses | 2 | 5 |
| Goals scored | 14 | 13 |
| Goals conceded | 9 | 18 |
| Over 1.5 games | 9 | 9 |
Why this selection?
The calculation combines each team’s recent attacking record with the opposing defence. Newer games receive more weight, and results at the same home or away venue receive extra weight.
Brea: (1.65 weighted goals scored + 1.82 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 1.73 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
CDJ Tamarite: (1.48 weighted goals scored + 0.66 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 1.07 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
The combined scoring outlook makes at least two total goals the strongest of the four options compared. Either team can score those goals. It ranked highest when comparing the three double-chance options with Over 1.5 using a Poisson goal model.
Model goals are estimates from past scores, not shot-based expected goals. These form records were saved with the prediction before kickoff. League position is context below and is not an input to this goal model. Injuries, lineups and odds are not included.
Recent results and goal trends
LAST 10 GAMES
Brea recent form
1.40 goals scored and 0.90 conceded per game. 9 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Andorra CFTercera División RFEF - Group 17 | Home | 3–0 | Won | |
| CD SietamoTercera División RFEF - Group 17 | Away | 1–1 | Draw | |
| IlluecaTercera División RFEF - Group 17 | Home | 3–0 | Won | |
| Belchite 97Tercera División RFEF - Group 17 | Away | 1–1 | Draw | |
| CaspeTercera División RFEF - Group 17 | Home | 0–0 | Draw | |
| EbroTercera División RFEF - Group 17 | Away | 2–1 | Won | |
| CuarteTercera División RFEF - Group 17 | Home | 2–1 | Won | |
| Belchite 97Tercera División RFEF - Group 17 | Away | 0–2 | Lost | |
| ÉpilaTercera División RFEF - Group 17 | Home | 1–1 | Draw | |
| CDJ TamariteTercera División RFEF - Group 17 | Away | 1–2 | Lost |
Scores shown from Brea’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.
LAST 10 GAMES
CDJ Tamarite recent form
1.30 goals scored and 1.80 conceded per game. 9 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| CuarteTercera División RFEF - Group 17 | Home | 2–1 | Won | |
| ÉpilaTercera División RFEF - Group 17 | Home | 1–2 | Lost | |
| BinéfarTercera División RFEF - Group 17 | Away | 3–2 | Won | |
| Real Zaragoza IITercera División RFEF - Group 17 | Home | 1–2 | Lost | |
| IlluecaTercera División RFEF - Group 17 | Home | 0–1 | Lost | |
| CaspeTercera División RFEF - Group 17 | Away | 2–1 | Won | |
| BinéfarTercera División RFEF - Group 17 | Home | 1–2 | Lost | |
| UD CasetasTercera División RFEF - Group 17 | Away | 1–5 | Lost | |
| ZueraTercera División RFEF - Group 17 | Home | 1–1 | Draw | |
| La AlmuniaTercera División RFEF - Group 17 | Away | 1–1 | Draw |
Scores shown from CDJ Tamarite’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.
LEAGUE CONTEXT
Tercera División RFEF - Group 17 — current table
Season 2026 · Latest stored table, updated . Refresh delayed; showing the last available table. This table may include games played after this prediction was made.
Brea are ranked 3 in Tercera: Group 17, with 11 points from 5 games.
CDJ Tamarite are ranked 12 in Tercera: Group 17, with 6 points from 5 games.
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Real Zaragoza II | 5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 11 | 3 | 8 | 13 |
| 2 | Ejea | 5 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 4 | 5 | 12 |
| 3 | Brea | 5 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 9 | 2 | 7 | 11 |
| 4 | Atlético Monzón | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 7 | 1 | 10 |
| 5 | Cuarte | 5 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 6 | 5 | 9 |
| 6 | Caspe | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 9 | 6 | 3 | 8 |
| 7 | Fraga | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 4 | 2 | 8 |
| 8 | Binéfar | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 11 | 10 | 1 | 7 |
| 9 | Épila | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 7 | 7 | 0 | 7 |
| 10 | La Almunia | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 8 | 9 | -1 | 7 |
| 11 | Almudévar | 5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 7 | 6 | 1 | 6 |
| 12 | CDJ Tamarite | 5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 7 | 8 | -1 | 6 |
| 13 | Huesca II | 5 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 5 | -1 | 6 |
| 14 | Illueca | 5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 7 | -3 | 6 |
| 15 | CD Sietamo | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 7 | 10 | -3 | 4 |
| 16 | Andorra CF | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 10 | -6 | 4 |
| 17 | Robres | 5 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 6 | 13 | -7 | 1 |
| 18 | Belchite 97 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 13 | -11 | 1 |
P: played · W: wins · D: draws · L: losses · GF/GA: goals for/against · GD: goal difference · Pts: points. Highlighted rows identify this match’s teams.
About this prediction
We compare each team’s recent goals scored and conceded, giving more weight to recent games and the same home or away venue. A goal model then chooses double chance or Over 1.5 goals. Predictions can change before kickoff and are not guaranteed results. Live scores refresh every 5 seconds.