3. Lig - Group 2 · 3. Lig Group 2 - 6
Bucaspor 1928vsGaziemirspor
Real Scored · Match preview
Match prediction · 11 October 2026
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THE PREDICTION
Our match outlook
Away or drawBased on 10 previous home-team games and 7 previous away-team games. Small samples provide less evidence.
Prediction saved
Match information
- Competition
- 3. Lig - Group 2
- Venue
- To be confirmed
- Status
- Not Started
- Score
- Not started
- 90-minute score
- —
- Last updated
Goals and cards
Goals
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Lineups
Lineups have not been supplied yet. Confirmed selections appear here when available.
Real Scored match analysis
Bucaspor 1928 vs Gaziemirspor: match review and analysis
Bucaspor 1928 vs Gaziemirspor in 3. Lig - Group 2 on 11 October 2026. Compare recent results, goal trends and league positions in this match preview.
Real Scored brings together the match information, available team results and current standings below. The saved pre-match selection is Away or draw.
Bucaspor 1928 recorded 2 wins, 2 draws and 6 losses in the 10 games used here, scoring 9 and conceding 20. Gaziemirspor recorded 3 wins, 0 draws and 4 losses, with 10 scored and 9 conceded across 7 games.
| Statistic | Bucaspor 1928 | Gaziemirspor |
|---|---|---|
| Games | 10 | 7 |
| Wins | 2 | 3 |
| Draws | 2 | 0 |
| Losses | 6 | 4 |
| Goals scored | 9 | 10 |
| Goals conceded | 20 | 9 |
| Over 1.5 games | 8 | 6 |
Why this selection?
The calculation combines each team’s recent attacking record with the opposing defence. Newer games receive more weight, and results at the same home or away venue receive extra weight.
Bucaspor 1928: (0.89 weighted goals scored + 1.15 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 1.02 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
Gaziemirspor: (1.41 weighted goals scored + 2.06 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 1.73 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
The model favours the away side avoiding defeat. An away win or a draw satisfies this selection. It ranked highest when comparing the three double-chance options with Over 1.5 using a Poisson goal model.
Model goals are estimates from past scores, not shot-based expected goals. These form records were saved with the prediction before kickoff. League position is context below and is not an input to this goal model. Injuries, lineups and odds are not included.
Recent results and goal trends
LAST 10 GAMES
Bucaspor 1928 recent form
0.90 goals scored and 2.00 conceded per game. 8 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bursa Yıldırımspor3. Lig - Group 2 | Away | 0–1 | Lost | |
| Altay3. Lig - Group 2 | Home | 1–2 | Lost | |
| Etimesgut SK3. Lig - Group 2 | Away | 0–2 | Lost | |
| GaziemirsporTürkiye Kupası | Home | 0–4 | Lost | |
| Akşehirspor3. Lig - Group 2 | Home | 2–1 | Won | |
| Balıkesirspor3. Lig - Group 2 | Away | 1–4 | Lost | |
| Karacabey Belediyespor2. Lig | Away | 1–0 | Won | |
| Batman Petrolspor2. Lig | Home | 3–3 | Draw | |
| Altınordu2. Lig | Away | 0–2 | Lost | |
| Beyoğlu Yeni Çarşı2. Lig | Home | 1–1 | Draw |
Scores shown from Bucaspor 1928’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.
LAST 7 GAMES
Gaziemirspor recent form
1.43 goals scored and 1.29 conceded per game. 6 of 7 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FethiyesporTürkiye Kupası | Home | 0–2 | Lost | |
| Nilüfer Belediye3. Lig - Group 2 | Home | 0–2 | Lost | |
| Karsiyaka3. Lig - Group 2 | Away | 1–0 | Won | |
| Denizli İYG3. Lig - Group 2 | Home | 5–0 | Won | |
| Bucaspor 1928Türkiye Kupası | Away | 4–0 | Won | |
| Söke 19703. Lig - Group 2 | Away | 0–2 | Lost | |
| Ayvalikgucu3. Lig - Group 2 | Home | 0–3 | Lost |
Scores shown from Gaziemirspor’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded. Only 7 usable previous results were available.
LEAGUE CONTEXT
3. Lig - Group 2 — current table
Season 2026 · Latest stored table, updated . Refresh delayed; showing the last available table. This table may include games played after this prediction was made.
Gaziemirspor are ranked 11 in 3. Lig Group 2, with 6 points from 5 games.
Bucaspor 1928 are ranked 14 in 3. Lig Group 2, with 3 points from 5 games.
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Nilüfer Belediye | 5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 9 | 1 | 8 | 13 |
| 2 | Etimesgut SK | 5 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 1 | 6 | 12 |
| 3 | Anadolu Üniversitesi | 5 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 10 | 3 | 7 | 11 |
| 4 | Bursa Yıldırımspor | 5 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 6 | 2 | 4 | 11 |
| 5 | Eskişehirspor | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 16 | 6 | 10 | 10 |
| 6 | Ayvalikgucu | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 10 | 6 | 4 | 10 |
| 7 | Balıkesirspor | 5 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 14 | 12 | 2 | 9 |
| 8 | Bigaspor | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 10 | 7 | 3 | 8 |
| 9 | Söke 1970 | 5 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 6 |
| 10 | Altay | 5 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 5 | 5 | 0 | 6 |
| 11 | Gaziemirspor | 5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 6 | 7 | -1 | 6 |
| 12 | Uşak Spor | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 7 | 8 | -1 | 5 |
| 13 | Karsiyaka | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 5 | -1 | 5 |
| 14 | Bucaspor 1928 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 4 | 10 | -6 | 3 |
| 15 | Akşehirspor | 5 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 4 | 13 | -9 | 3 |
| 16 | Kepezspor | 5 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 8 | -6 | 2 |
| 17 | Denizli İYG | 5 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 10 | -9 | 2 |
| 18 | Alanya 1221 FK | 5 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 13 | -12 | 1 |
P: played · W: wins · D: draws · L: losses · GF/GA: goals for/against · GD: goal difference · Pts: points. Highlighted rows identify this match’s teams.
About this prediction
We compare each team’s recent goals scored and conceded, giving more weight to recent games and the same home or away venue. A goal model then chooses double chance or Over 1.5 goals. Predictions can change before kickoff and are not guaranteed results. Live scores refresh every 5 seconds.