Ligue A · Regular Season - 7
BumamuruvsVital'O
RealScored · Match preview
Match prediction · 15 October 2026
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THE PREDICTION
Our match outlook
Home or awayBased on 10 previous home-team games and 10 previous away-team games. Small samples provide less evidence.
Prediction saved
Match information
- Competition
- Ligue A
- Venue
- To be confirmed
- Status
- Not Started
- Score
- Not started
- 90-minute score
- —
- Last updated
Goals and cards
Goals
Match events are not yet available.
Cards
Match events are not yet available.
Lineups
Lineups are not available yet. Confirmed selections will appear here when available.
RealScored match analysis
Bumamuru vs Vital'O: match review and analysis
Bumamuru vs Vital'O in Ligue A on 15 October 2026. Compare recent results, goal trends and league positions in this match preview.
RealScored brings together the match information, available team results and current standings below. The saved pre-match selection is Home or away.
Bumamuru recorded 3 wins, 2 draws and 5 losses in the 10 games used here, scoring 10 and conceding 15. Vital'O recorded 5 wins, 3 draws and 2 losses, with 13 scored and 13 conceded across 10 games.
| Statistic | Bumamuru | Vital'O |
|---|---|---|
| Games | 10 | 10 |
| Wins | 3 | 5 |
| Draws | 2 | 3 |
| Losses | 5 | 2 |
| Goals scored | 10 | 13 |
| Goals conceded | 15 | 13 |
| Over 1.5 games | 8 | 8 |
Why this selection?
The calculation combines each team’s recent attacking record with the opposing defence. Newer games receive more weight, and results at the same home or away venue receive extra weight.
Bumamuru: (1.00 weighted goals scored + 1.68 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 1.34 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
Vital'O: (1.18 weighted goals scored + 1.34 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 1.26 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
The model favours a decisive result. Either side winning satisfies this selection; a draw does not. It ranked highest when comparing the three double-chance options with Over 1.5 using a Poisson goal model.
Model goals are estimates from past scores, not shot-based expected goals. These form records were saved with the prediction before kickoff. League position is context below and is not an input to this goal model. Injuries, lineups and odds are not included.
Recent results and goal trends
LAST 10 GAMES
Bumamuru recent form
1.00 goals scored and 1.50 conceded per game. 8 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Young StarLigue A | Away | 3–0 | Won | |
| Flambeau du CentreLigue A | Home | 0–1 | Lost | |
| Olympic StarLigue A | Away | 1–3 | Lost | |
| MusongatiLigue A | Home | 2–0 | Won | |
| Panthere NoirLigue A | Away | 1–1 | Draw | |
| Le Messager NgoziLigue A | Home | 0–1 | Lost | |
| MusongatiLigue A | Away | 0–3 | Lost | |
| RukinzoLigue A | Home | 0–4 | Lost | |
| Green Farmers FCLigue A | Away | 2–1 | Won | |
| Kayanza UnitedLigue A | Home | 1–1 | Draw |
Scores shown from Bumamuru’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.
LAST 10 GAMES
Vital'O recent form
1.30 goals scored and 1.30 conceded per game. 8 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Royal VisionLigue A | Away | 0–5 | Lost | |
| Aigle NoirLigue A | Home | 3–2 | Won | |
| Kayanza UnitedLigue A | Away | 1–1 | Draw | |
| Ngozi CityLigue A | Home | 2–1 | Won | |
| Inter StarLigue A | Home | 1–1 | Draw | |
| Royal VisionLigue A | Away | 1–0 | Won | |
| Le Messager NgoziLigue A | Home | 1–2 | Lost | |
| Olympic StarLigue A | Away | 1–1 | Draw | |
| MusongatiLigue A | Home | 2–0 | Won | |
| RukinzoLigue A | Away | 1–0 | Won |
Scores shown from Vital'O’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.
LEAGUE CONTEXT
Ligue A — current table
Season 2026 · Latest stored table, updated . This table may include games played after this prediction was made.
Vital'O are ranked 9 in Ligue A, with 8 points from 5 games.
Bumamuru are ranked 10 in Ligue A, with 7 points from 6 games.
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Royal Vision | 7 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 22 | 3 | 19 | 19 |
| 2 | Muzinga | 7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 10 | 5 | 5 | 14 |
| 3 | Aigle Noir | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 11 | 8 | 3 | 11 |
| 4 | Le Messager Ngozi | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 10 |
| 5 | Musongati | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 8 | 8 | 0 | 10 |
| 6 | Olympic Star | 6 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 6 | 5 | 1 | 9 |
| 7 | Ngozi City | 6 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 7 | 10 | -3 | 9 |
| 8 | Rukinzo | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 9 | 1 | 8 | 8 |
| 9 | Vital'O | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 7 | 10 | -3 | 8 |
| 10 | Bumamuru | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 7 | 6 | 1 | 7 |
| 11 | Flambeau du Centre | 6 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 6 | 7 | -1 | 6 |
| 12 | Never Give Up Academy | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 7 | -3 | 5 |
| 13 | Kayanza United | 7 | 0 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 7 | -4 | 5 |
| 14 | Inter Star | 4 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 6 | -2 | 2 |
| 15 | Young Star | 7 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 3 | 20 | -17 | 2 |
| 16 | Panthere Noir | 5 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 7 | -5 | 1 |
P: played · W: wins · D: draws · L: losses · GF/GA: goals for/against · GD: goal difference · Pts: points. Highlighted rows identify this match’s teams.
About this prediction
We compare each team’s recent goals scored and conceded, giving more weight to recent games and the same home or away venue. A goal model then chooses double chance or Over 1.5 goals. Predictions can change before kickoff and are not guaranteed results. Live scores refresh every 5 seconds.