Non League Premier - Isthmian · Regular Season - 10
Burgess Hill Town4–1Maldon & Tiptree
Real Scored · Match result
Match prediction · 3 October 2026
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THE PREDICTION
Our match outlook
Over 1.5 goalsWon
Based on 10 previous home-team games and 10 previous away-team games. Small samples provide less evidence.
Prediction saved
Match information
- Competition
- Non League Premier - Isthmian
- Venue
- To be confirmed
- Status
- Match Finished
- Score
- 4–1
- 90-minute score
- 4–1
- Last updated
Goals and cards
Goals
Match events are not yet available.
Cards
Match events are not yet available.
Lineups
Lineups have not been supplied yet. Confirmed selections appear here when available.
Real Scored match analysis
Burgess Hill Town vs Maldon & Tiptree: match review and analysis
Burgess Hill Town vs Maldon & Tiptree in Non League Premier - Isthmian on 3 October 2026 has finished at full time. The match goal score was 4–1. Review the team form and league context below.
Real Scored brings together the match information, available team results and current standings below. The saved pre-match selection is Over 1.5 goals.
Burgess Hill Town recorded 4 wins, 5 draws and 1 losses in the 10 games used here, scoring 21 and conceding 12. Maldon & Tiptree recorded 3 wins, 0 draws and 7 losses, with 14 scored and 28 conceded across 10 games.
| Statistic | Burgess Hill Town | Maldon & Tiptree |
|---|---|---|
| Games | 10 | 10 |
| Wins | 4 | 3 |
| Draws | 5 | 0 |
| Losses | 1 | 7 |
| Goals scored | 21 | 14 |
| Goals conceded | 12 | 28 |
| Over 1.5 games | 9 | 9 |
Why this selection?
The calculation combines each team’s recent attacking record with the opposing defence. Newer games receive more weight, and results at the same home or away venue receive extra weight.
Burgess Hill Town: (2.41 weighted goals scored + 3.17 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 2.79 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
Maldon & Tiptree: (1.28 weighted goals scored + 1.31 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 1.29 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
The combined scoring outlook makes at least two total goals the strongest of the four options compared. Either team can score those goals. It ranked highest when comparing the three double-chance options with Over 1.5 using a Poisson goal model.
Model goals are estimates from past scores, not shot-based expected goals. These form records were saved with the prediction before kickoff. League position is context below and is not an input to this goal model. Injuries, lineups and odds are not included.
Recent results and goal trends
LAST 10 GAMES
Burgess Hill Town recent form
2.10 goals scored and 1.20 conceded per game. 9 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Winslow UnitedFA Trophy | Home | 6–2 | Won | |
| Hanwell TownFA Cup | Away | 1–2 | Lost | |
| Jersey BullsFA Cup | Away | 3–1 | Won | |
| RamsgateNon League Premier - Isthmian | Home | 2–2 | Draw | |
| Jersey BullsFA Cup | Home | 0–0 | Draw | |
| WhitehawkNon League Premier - Isthmian | Away | 1–1 | Draw | |
| DartfordNon League Premier - Isthmian | Home | 2–1 | Won | |
| CheshuntNon League Premier - Isthmian | Away | 1–1 | Draw | |
| LeatherheadNon League Premier - Isthmian | Home | 2–2 | Draw | |
| WhyteleafeNon League Premier - Isthmian | Home | 3–0 | Won |
Scores shown from Burgess Hill Town’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.
LAST 10 GAMES
Maldon & Tiptree recent form
1.40 goals scored and 2.80 conceded per game. 9 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cray WanderersNon League Premier - Isthmian | Home | 1–5 | Lost | |
| Egham TownFA Trophy | Home | 0–2 | Lost | |
| Brentwood TownNon League Premier - Isthmian | Away | 1–5 | Lost | |
| Carshalton AthleticNon League Premier - Isthmian | Home | 2–3 | Lost | |
| RamsgateNon League Premier - Isthmian | Away | 0–2 | Lost | |
| WhitehawkNon League Premier - Isthmian | Home | 3–2 | Won | |
| Cambridge CityFA Cup | Away | 1–6 | Lost | |
| LeatherheadNon League Premier - Isthmian | Away | 4–1 | Won | |
| DartfordNon League Premier - Isthmian | Home | 1–2 | Lost | |
| AveleyNon League Premier - Isthmian | Home | 1–0 | Won |
Scores shown from Maldon & Tiptree’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.
LEAGUE CONTEXT
Non League Premier - Isthmian — current table
Season 2026 · Latest stored table, updated . Refresh delayed; showing the last available table. This table may include games played after this prediction was made.
Burgess Hill Town are ranked 11 in Regular Season, with 13 points from 8 games.
Maldon & Tiptree are ranked 17 in Regular Season, with 9 points from 10 games.
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Welling United | 9 | 7 | 0 | 2 | 19 | 9 | 10 | 21 |
| 2 | Dartford | 9 | 7 | 0 | 2 | 15 | 9 | 6 | 21 |
| 3 | Carshalton Athletic | 11 | 7 | 0 | 4 | 18 | 19 | -1 | 21 |
| 4 | Lewes | 10 | 6 | 1 | 3 | 15 | 11 | 4 | 19 |
| 5 | Enfield Town | 8 | 6 | 0 | 2 | 23 | 11 | 12 | 18 |
| 6 | Dulwich Hamlet | 8 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 18 | 9 | 9 | 16 |
| 7 | Eastbourne Borough | 9 | 5 | 1 | 3 | 18 | 11 | 7 | 16 |
| 8 | Leatherhead | 9 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 17 | 15 | 2 | 15 |
| 9 | St Albans City | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 17 | 13 | 4 | 14 |
| 10 | Ramsgate | 9 | 4 | 1 | 4 | 21 | 13 | 8 | 13 |
| 11 | Burgess Hill Town | 8 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 15 | 10 | 5 | 13 |
| 12 | Cray Wanderers | 8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 18 | 12 | 6 | 12 |
| 13 | Chatham Town | 8 | 4 | 0 | 4 | 16 | 13 | 3 | 12 |
| 14 | Wingate & Finchley | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 13 | 18 | -5 | 11 |
| 15 | Aveley | 9 | 3 | 1 | 5 | 16 | 16 | 0 | 10 |
| 16 | Brentwood Town | 9 | 3 | 0 | 6 | 15 | 16 | -1 | 9 |
| 17 | Maldon & Tiptree | 10 | 3 | 0 | 7 | 14 | 30 | -16 | 9 |
| 18 | Cheshunt | 9 | 1 | 5 | 3 | 7 | 12 | -5 | 8 |
| 19 | Whyteleafe | 10 | 1 | 3 | 6 | 11 | 20 | -9 | 6 |
| 20 | Three Bridges | 9 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 16 | 28 | -12 | 5 |
| 21 | Whitehawk | 10 | 1 | 2 | 7 | 10 | 22 | -12 | 5 |
| 22 | Stanway Rovers | 8 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 6 | 21 | -15 | 4 |
P: played · W: wins · D: draws · L: losses · GF/GA: goals for/against · GD: goal difference · Pts: points. Highlighted rows identify this match’s teams.
About this prediction
We compare each team’s recent goals scored and conceded, giving more weight to recent games and the same home or away venue. A goal model then chooses double chance or Over 1.5 goals. Predictions can change before kickoff and are not guaranteed results. Live scores refresh every 5 seconds.