AFC Champions League Elite · League Phase - 2
Buriram UnitedvsBeijing Guoan
RealScored · Match preview
Match prediction · 13 October 2026
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THE PREDICTION
Our match outlook
Home or awayBased on 10 previous home-team games and 10 previous away-team games. Small samples provide less evidence.
Prediction saved
Match information
- Competition
- AFC Champions League Elite
- Venue
- Chang Arena
- Status
- Not Started
- Score
- Not started
- 90-minute score
- —
- Last updated
Goals and cards
Goals
Match events are not yet available.
Cards
Match events are not yet available.
Lineups
Lineups are not available yet. Confirmed selections will appear here when available.
RealScored match analysis
Buriram United vs Beijing Guoan: match review and analysis
Buriram United vs Beijing Guoan in AFC Champions League Elite on 13 October 2026. Compare recent results, goal trends and league positions in this match preview.
RealScored brings together the match information, available team results and current standings below. The saved pre-match selection is Home or away.
Buriram United recorded 6 wins, 4 draws and 0 losses in the 10 games used here, scoring 15 and conceding 6. Beijing Guoan recorded 7 wins, 3 draws and 0 losses, with 26 scored and 9 conceded across 10 games.
| Statistic | Buriram United | Beijing Guoan |
|---|---|---|
| Games | 10 | 10 |
| Wins | 6 | 7 |
| Draws | 4 | 3 |
| Losses | 0 | 0 |
| Goals scored | 15 | 26 |
| Goals conceded | 6 | 9 |
| Over 1.5 games | 6 | 9 |
Why this selection?
The calculation combines each team’s recent attacking record with the opposing defence. Newer games receive more weight, and results at the same home or away venue receive extra weight.
Buriram United: (1.46 weighted goals scored + 0.75 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 1.11 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
Beijing Guoan: (2.41 weighted goals scored + 0.72 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 1.57 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
The model favours a decisive result. Either side winning satisfies this selection; a draw does not. It ranked highest when comparing the three double-chance options with Over 1.5 using a Poisson goal model.
Model goals are estimates from past scores, not shot-based expected goals. These form records were saved with the prediction before kickoff. League position is context below and is not an input to this goal model. Injuries, lineups and odds are not included.
Recent results and goal trends
LAST 10 GAMES
Buriram United recent form
1.50 goals scored and 0.60 conceded per game. 6 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rayong FCThai League 1 | Home | 3–2 | Won | |
| Pusamania BorneoASEAN Club Championship | Home | 0–0 | Draw | |
| Chonburi FCThai League 1 | Away | 1–0 | Won | |
| Johor Darul Takzim FCAFC Champions League Elite | Away | 1–1 | Draw | |
| Chiangrai UnitedThai League 1 | Home | 1–1 | Draw | |
| Sukhothai FCThai League 1 | Away | 3–1 | Won | |
| BG Pathum UnitedFriendlies Clubs | Away | 3–0 | Won | |
| PrachuapFA Cup | Home | 0–0 | Draw | |
| SelangorASEAN Club Championship | Home | 2–1 | Won | |
| SelangorASEAN Club Championship | Away | 1–0 | Won |
Scores shown from Buriram United’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.
LAST 10 GAMES
Beijing Guoan recent form
2.60 goals scored and 0.90 conceded per game. 9 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Qingdao JonoonSuper League | Away | 3–0 | Won | |
| Pohang SteelersAFC Champions League Elite | Home | 3–1 | Won | |
| SHANGHAI SIPGSuper League | Away | 0–0 | Draw | |
| Rizhao YuqiFA Cup | Home | 3–1 | Won | |
| Dalian ZhixingSuper League | Away | 1–1 | Draw | |
| Yunnan YukunSuper League | Home | 3–3 | Draw | |
| Shanghai ShenhuaSuper League | Away | 3–0 | Won | |
| Tianjin TedaSuper League | Away | 4–2 | Won | |
| Sichuan JiuniuSuper League | Home | 4–0 | Won | |
| Hangzhou GreentownSuper League | Home | 2–1 | Won |
Scores shown from Beijing Guoan’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.
LEAGUE CONTEXT
AFC Champions League Elite — current table
Season 2026 · Latest stored table, updated . Refresh delayed; showing the last available table. This table may include games played after this prediction was made.
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Al-Ahli Jeddah | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 4 |
| 2 | Al-Qadisiyah FC | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 4 |
| 3 | Al Ain | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 4 | 3 |
| 4 | Esteghlal FC | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 3 |
| 5 | Al-Hilal Saudi FC | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 3 |
| 6 | Shabab Al Ahli Dubai | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 |
| 7 | Neftchi | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 |
| 8 | Pakhtakor | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 2 |
| 9 | Al Shamal | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 |
| 10 | Al-Ittihad FC | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 |
| 11 | Tractor Sazi | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | -1 | 1 |
| 12 | Al-Gharafa | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | -1 | 0 |
| 13 | Al Quwa Al Jawiya | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | -1 | 0 |
| 14 | Al-Wasl FC | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 5 | -3 | 0 |
| 15 | Al Sadd | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | -3 | 0 |
| 16 | Al-Nassr | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | -4 | 0 |
Beijing Guoan are ranked 4 in East Region, with 3 points from 1 games.
Buriram United are ranked 8 in East Region, with 1 points from 1 games.
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Kashima | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 1 | 6 | 3 |
| 2 | Gamba Osaka | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 3 |
| 3 | SHANGHAI SIPG | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 4 | 2 | 3 |
| 4 | Beijing Guoan | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 3 |
| 5 | Vissel Kobe | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 3 |
| 6 | Jeonbuk Motors | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 3 |
| 7 | Daejeon Citizen | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 |
| 8 | Buriram United | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 |
| 9 | Johor Darul Takzim FC | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 |
| 10 | Kashiwa Reysol | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | -1 | 0 |
| 11 | Port FC | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | -1 | 0 |
| 12 | Kyoto Sanga | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | -1 | 0 |
| 13 | Ratchaburi | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 6 | -2 | 0 |
| 14 | Pohang Steelers | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | -2 | 0 |
| 15 | Công An Nhân Dân | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 4 | -3 | 0 |
| 16 | Newcastle Jets | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 7 | -6 | 0 |
P: played · W: wins · D: draws · L: losses · GF/GA: goals for/against · GD: goal difference · Pts: points. Highlighted rows identify this match’s teams.
About this prediction
We compare each team’s recent goals scored and conceded, giving more weight to recent games and the same home or away venue. A goal model then chooses double chance or Over 1.5 goals. Predictions can change before kickoff and are not guaranteed results. Live scores refresh every 5 seconds.