1st Division · Regular Season - 5
BurrelivsBesëlidhja Lezhë
Real Scored · Match preview
Match prediction · 11 October 2026
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THE PREDICTION
Our match outlook
Over 1.5 goalsBased on 10 previous home-team games and 10 previous away-team games. Small samples provide less evidence.
Prediction saved
Match information
- Competition
- 1st Division
- Venue
- Liri Ballabani Stadium
- Status
- Not Started
- Score
- Not started
- 90-minute score
- —
- Last updated
Goals and cards
Goals
Match events are not yet available.
Cards
Match events are not yet available.
Lineups
Lineups have not been supplied yet. Confirmed selections appear here when available.
Real Scored match analysis
Burreli vs Besëlidhja Lezhë: match review and analysis
Burreli vs Besëlidhja Lezhë in 1st Division on 11 October 2026. Compare recent results, goal trends and league positions in this match preview.
Real Scored brings together the match information, available team results and current standings below. The saved pre-match selection is Over 1.5 goals.
Burreli recorded 2 wins, 3 draws and 5 losses in the 10 games used here, scoring 13 and conceding 19. Besëlidhja Lezhë recorded 3 wins, 3 draws and 4 losses, with 10 scored and 13 conceded across 10 games.
| Statistic | Burreli | Besëlidhja Lezhë |
|---|---|---|
| Games | 10 | 10 |
| Wins | 2 | 3 |
| Draws | 3 | 3 |
| Losses | 5 | 4 |
| Goals scored | 13 | 10 |
| Goals conceded | 19 | 13 |
| Over 1.5 games | 7 | 8 |
Why this selection?
The calculation combines each team’s recent attacking record with the opposing defence. Newer games receive more weight, and results at the same home or away venue receive extra weight.
Burreli: (1.38 weighted goals scored + 1.22 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 1.30 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
Besëlidhja Lezhë: (0.82 weighted goals scored + 1.94 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 1.38 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
The combined scoring outlook makes at least two total goals the strongest of the four options compared. Either team can score those goals. It ranked highest when comparing the three double-chance options with Over 1.5 using a Poisson goal model.
Model goals are estimates from past scores, not shot-based expected goals. These form records were saved with the prediction before kickoff. League position is context below and is not an input to this goal model. Injuries, lineups and odds are not included.
Recent results and goal trends
LAST 10 GAMES
Burreli recent form
1.30 goals scored and 1.90 conceded per game. 7 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Eagle FACup | Home | 2–3 | Lost | |
| Oriku1st Division | Away | 1–0 | Won | |
| Sopoti Librazhd1st Division | Home | 1–3 | Lost | |
| Flamurtari1st Division | Away | 1–1 | Draw | |
| Kastrioti Krujë1st Division | Home | 2–2 | Draw | |
| Apolonia Fier1st Division | Away | 4–4 | Draw | |
| Lushnja1st Division | Home | 1–0 | Won | |
| Luftëtari1st Division | Away | 0–2 | Lost | |
| Skenderbeu Korce1st Division | Home | 0–1 | Lost | |
| Laci1st Division | Away | 1–3 | Lost |
Scores shown from Burreli’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.
LAST 10 GAMES
Besëlidhja Lezhë recent form
1.00 goals scored and 1.30 conceded per game. 8 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sopoti LibrazhdCup | Home | 1–1 | Draw | |
| Besa Kavajë1st Division | Home | 2–1 | Won | |
| Bylis1st Division | Away | 0–0 | Draw | |
| Korabi Peshkopi1st Division | Home | 1–2 | Lost | |
| FK Kukesi1st Division | Away | 0–2 | Lost | |
| Korabi PeshkopiFriendlies Clubs | Away | 0–0 | Draw | |
| Otrant-OlympicFriendlies Clubs | Home | 3–1 | Won | |
| Apolonia FierCup | Away | 0–3 | Lost | |
| Gramshi2nd Division - Group A | Home | 2–0 | Won | |
| Luzi 20082nd Division - Group A | Away | 1–3 | Lost |
Scores shown from Besëlidhja Lezhë’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.
LEAGUE CONTEXT
1st Division — current table
Season 2026 · Latest stored table, updated . Refresh delayed; showing the last available table. This table may include games played after this prediction was made.
Burreli are ranked 8 in Regular Season, with 5 points from 4 games.
Besëlidhja Lezhë are ranked 10 in Regular Season, with 4 points from 4 games.
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Pogradeci | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 1 | 4 | 8 |
| 2 | Besa Kavajë | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 13 | 5 | 8 | 7 |
| 3 | Korabi Peshkopi | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 5 | -1 | 7 |
| 4 | Iliria Fushë-Krujë | 4 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 6 |
| 5 | Bylis | 4 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 6 |
| 6 | FK Kukesi | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 6 | 0 | 6 |
| 7 | Kastrioti Krujë | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 5 | 0 | 5 |
| 8 | Burreli | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 6 | -1 | 5 |
| 9 | Sopoti Librazhd | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 7 | -2 | 5 |
| 10 | Besëlidhja Lezhë | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 5 | -2 | 4 |
| 11 | Flamurtari | 4 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 5 | -1 | 3 |
| 12 | Oriku | 4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 9 | -8 | 0 |
P: played · W: wins · D: draws · L: losses · GF/GA: goals for/against · GD: goal difference · Pts: points. Highlighted rows identify this match’s teams.
About this prediction
We compare each team’s recent goals scored and conceded, giving more weight to recent games and the same home or away venue. A goal model then chooses double chance or Over 1.5 goals. Predictions can change before kickoff and are not guaranteed results. Live scores refresh every 5 seconds.