Non League Premier - Southern Central · Regular Season - 10
Bury TownvsKettering Town
Real Scored · Match preview
Match prediction · 3 October 2026
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THE PREDICTION
Our match outlook
Over 1.5 goalsBased on 10 previous home-team games and 10 previous away-team games. Small samples provide less evidence.
Prediction saved
Match information
- Competition
- Non League Premier - Southern Central
- Venue
- To be confirmed
- Status
- Not Started
- Score
- Not started
- 90-minute score
- —
- Last updated
Goals and cards
Goals
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Lineups
Lineups have not been supplied yet. Confirmed selections appear here when available.
Real Scored match analysis
Bury Town vs Kettering Town: match review and analysis
Bury Town vs Kettering Town in Non League Premier - Southern Central on 3 October 2026. Compare recent results, goal trends and league positions in this match preview.
Real Scored brings together the match information, available team results and current standings below. The saved pre-match selection is Over 1.5 goals.
Bury Town recorded 8 wins, 0 draws and 2 losses in the 10 games used here, scoring 25 and conceding 17. Kettering Town recorded 6 wins, 3 draws and 1 losses, with 23 scored and 8 conceded across 10 games.
| Statistic | Bury Town | Kettering Town |
|---|---|---|
| Games | 10 | 10 |
| Wins | 8 | 6 |
| Draws | 0 | 3 |
| Losses | 2 | 1 |
| Goals scored | 25 | 23 |
| Goals conceded | 17 | 8 |
| Over 1.5 games | 8 | 8 |
Why this selection?
The calculation combines each team’s recent attacking record with the opposing defence. Newer games receive more weight, and results at the same home or away venue receive extra weight.
Bury Town: (2.31 weighted goals scored + 0.95 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 1.63 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
Kettering Town: (2.52 weighted goals scored + 1.67 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 2.09 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
The combined scoring outlook makes at least two total goals the strongest of the four options compared. Either team can score those goals. It ranked highest when comparing the three double-chance options with Over 1.5 using a Poisson goal model.
Model goals are estimates from past scores, not shot-based expected goals. These form records were saved with the prediction before kickoff. League position is context below and is not an input to this goal model. Injuries, lineups and odds are not included.
Recent results and goal trends
LAST 10 GAMES
Bury Town recent form
2.50 goals scored and 1.70 conceded per game. 8 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bishop's StortfordNon League Premier - Southern Central | Away | 2–1 | Won | |
| St Albans CityFA Trophy | Away | 1–4 | Lost | |
| Hitchin TownNon League Premier - Southern Central | Home | 1–0 | Won | |
| GorlestonFA Cup | Away | 4–3 | Won | |
| Bromsgrove SportingNon League Premier - Southern Central | Away | 0–1 | Lost | |
| London LionsFA Cup | Away | 4–2 | Won | |
| LeistonNon League Premier - Southern Central | Home | 4–3 | Won | |
| Leighton TownNon League Premier - Southern Central | Away | 3–2 | Won | |
| LeamingtonNon League Premier - Southern Central | Home | 3–0 | Won | |
| Stratford TownNon League Premier - Southern Central | Away | 3–1 | Won |
Scores shown from Bury Town’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.
LAST 10 GAMES
Kettering Town recent form
2.30 goals scored and 0.80 conceded per game. 8 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Anstey NomadsNon League Premier - Southern Central | Home | 4–1 | Won | |
| Matlock TownFA Trophy | Away | 4–0 | Won | |
| Rushall OlympicNon League Premier - Southern Central | Away | 2–3 | Lost | |
| QuornFA Cup | Home | 2–0 | Won | |
| Stratford TownNon League Premier - Southern Central | Home | 1–0 | Won | |
| Wellingborough TownFA Cup | Home | 2–1 | Won | |
| Wellingborough TownFA Cup | Away | 2–2 | Draw | |
| StamfordNon League Premier - Southern Central | Home | 5–0 | Won | |
| Hitchin TownNon League Premier - Southern Central | Away | 1–1 | Draw | |
| Peterborough SportsNon League Premier - Southern Central | Home | 0–0 | Draw |
Scores shown from Kettering Town’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.
LEAGUE CONTEXT
Non League Premier - Southern Central — current table
Season 2026 · Latest stored table, updated . Refresh delayed; showing the last available table. This table may include games played after this prediction was made.
Bury Town are ranked 2 in Regular Season, with 24 points from 9 games.
Kettering Town are ranked 5 in Regular Season, with 18 points from 9 games.
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Real Bedford | 9 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 29 | 10 | 19 | 27 |
| 2 | Bury Town | 9 | 8 | 0 | 1 | 18 | 8 | 10 | 24 |
| 3 | Bromsgrove Sporting | 9 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 17 | 8 | 9 | 22 |
| 4 | Alvechurch | 9 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 17 | 4 | 13 | 20 |
| 5 | Kettering Town | 9 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 16 | 6 | 10 | 18 |
| 6 | Rushall Olympic | 10 | 6 | 0 | 4 | 21 | 17 | 4 | 18 |
| 7 | Peterborough Sports | 10 | 4 | 4 | 2 | 19 | 15 | 4 | 16 |
| 8 | Anstey Nomads | 9 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 16 | 13 | 3 | 15 |
| 9 | Needham Market | 9 | 4 | 1 | 4 | 18 | 16 | 2 | 13 |
| 10 | Halesowen Town | 7 | 4 | 0 | 3 | 8 | 8 | 0 | 12 |
| 11 | Leiston | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 17 | 17 | 0 | 11 |
| 12 | Redditch United | 9 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 12 | 13 | -1 | 10 |
| 13 | Racing Club Warwick | 10 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 11 | 14 | -3 | 10 |
| 14 | Bishop's Stortford | 9 | 3 | 1 | 5 | 10 | 13 | -3 | 10 |
| 15 | Stourbridge | 9 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 9 | 12 | -3 | 10 |
| 16 | Leamington | 9 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 12 | 14 | -2 | 9 |
| 17 | Worcester City | 9 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 7 | 12 | -5 | 7 |
| 18 | Hitchin Town | 10 | 1 | 4 | 5 | 7 | 16 | -9 | 7 |
| 19 | Banbury United | 9 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 9 | 16 | -7 | 6 |
| 20 | Stratford Town | 9 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 9 | 18 | -9 | 6 |
| 21 | Leighton Town | 9 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 12 | 20 | -8 | 5 |
| 22 | Stamford | 9 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 1 | 25 | -24 | 0 |
P: played · W: wins · D: draws · L: losses · GF/GA: goals for/against · GD: goal difference · Pts: points. Highlighted rows identify this match’s teams.
About this prediction
We compare each team’s recent goals scored and conceded, giving more weight to recent games and the same home or away venue. A goal model then chooses double chance or Over 1.5 goals. Predictions can change before kickoff and are not guaranteed results. Live scores refresh every 5 seconds.