K3 League · Regular Season - 24
Busan Transportation2–1Yeoju Sejong
Real Scored · Match result
Match prediction · 10 October 2026
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THE PREDICTION
Our match outlook
Over 1.5 goalsWon
Based on 10 previous home-team games and 10 previous away-team games. Small samples provide less evidence.
Prediction saved
Match information
- Competition
- K3 League
- Venue
- Busan Gudeok Stadium
- Status
- Match Finished
- Score
- 2–1
- 90-minute score
- 2–1
- Last updated
Goals and cards
Goals
Match events are not yet available.
Cards
Match events are not yet available.
Lineups
Lineups have not been supplied yet. Confirmed selections appear here when available.
Real Scored match analysis
Busan Transportation vs Yeoju Sejong: match review and analysis
Busan Transportation vs Yeoju Sejong in K3 League on 10 October 2026 has finished at full time. The match goal score was 2–1. Review the team form and league context below.
Real Scored brings together the match information, available team results and current standings below. The saved pre-match selection is Over 1.5 goals.
Busan Transportation recorded 4 wins, 3 draws and 3 losses in the 10 games used here, scoring 20 and conceding 19. Yeoju Sejong recorded 3 wins, 2 draws and 5 losses, with 9 scored and 10 conceded across 10 games.
| Statistic | Busan Transportation | Yeoju Sejong |
|---|---|---|
| Games | 10 | 10 |
| Wins | 4 | 3 |
| Draws | 3 | 2 |
| Losses | 3 | 5 |
| Goals scored | 20 | 9 |
| Goals conceded | 19 | 10 |
| Over 1.5 games | 10 | 5 |
Why this selection?
The calculation combines each team’s recent attacking record with the opposing defence. Newer games receive more weight, and results at the same home or away venue receive extra weight.
Busan Transportation: (1.97 weighted goals scored + 1.07 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 1.52 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
Yeoju Sejong: (0.88 weighted goals scored + 2.11 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 1.49 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
The combined scoring outlook makes at least two total goals the strongest of the four options compared. Either team can score those goals. It ranked highest when comparing the three double-chance options with Over 1.5 using a Poisson goal model.
Model goals are estimates from past scores, not shot-based expected goals. These form records were saved with the prediction before kickoff. League position is context below and is not an input to this goal model. Injuries, lineups and odds are not included.
Recent results and goal trends
LAST 10 GAMES
Busan Transportation recent form
2.00 goals scored and 1.90 conceded per game. 10 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mokpo CityK3 League | Away | 1–3 | Lost | |
| Dangjin CitizenK3 League | Away | 3–5 | Lost | |
| Gangneung CityK3 League | Away | 1–1 | Draw | |
| Ulsan CitizenK3 League | Away | 1–2 | Lost | |
| Changwon CityK3 League | Home | 4–3 | Won | |
| Jinju CitizenFA Cup | Home | 1–1 | Draw | |
| YangpyeongK3 League | Away | 4–2 | Won | |
| Suwon BluewingsFA Cup | Home | 1–1 | Draw | |
| Siheung CitizenK3 League | Away | 2–0 | Won | |
| Gijang UnitedFA Cup | Home | 2–1 | Won |
Scores shown from Busan Transportation’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.
LAST 10 GAMES
Yeoju Sejong recent form
0.90 goals scored and 1.00 conceded per game. 5 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jeonbuk Motors IIK3 League | Home | 2–1 | Won | |
| ChuncheonK3 League | Away | 1–2 | Lost | |
| PocheonK3 League | Away | 0–1 | Lost | |
| Mokpo CityK3 League | Away | 0–1 | Lost | |
| Dangjin CitizenK3 League | Away | 2–1 | Won | |
| Dangjin CitizenFA Cup | Home | 0–1 | Lost | |
| Gangneung CityK3 League | Away | 1–1 | Draw | |
| Gyeongnam FCFA Cup | Away | 0–0 | Draw | |
| Ulsan CitizenK3 League | Away | 0–1 | Lost | |
| Pyeongtaek CitizenFA Cup | Away | 3–1 | Won |
Scores shown from Yeoju Sejong’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.
LEAGUE CONTEXT
K3 League — current table
Season 2026 · Latest stored table, updated . Refresh delayed; showing the last available table. This table may include games played after this prediction was made.
Busan Transportation are ranked 4 in K3 League, with 37 points from 23 games.
Yeoju Sejong are ranked 9 in K3 League, with 28 points from 23 games.
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Siheung Citizen | 23 | 17 | 4 | 2 | 37 | 20 | 17 | 55 |
| 2 | Pocheon | 23 | 13 | 7 | 3 | 38 | 19 | 19 | 46 |
| 3 | Daejeon Korail | 23 | 12 | 5 | 6 | 33 | 18 | 15 | 41 |
| 4 | Busan Transportation | 23 | 10 | 7 | 6 | 40 | 29 | 11 | 37 |
| 5 | Gyeongju HNP | 23 | 9 | 8 | 6 | 35 | 31 | 4 | 35 |
| 6 | Dangjin Citizen | 23 | 9 | 4 | 10 | 46 | 39 | 7 | 31 |
| 7 | Chuncheon | 23 | 8 | 6 | 9 | 39 | 35 | 4 | 30 |
| 8 | Changwon City | 23 | 7 | 8 | 8 | 26 | 28 | -2 | 29 |
| 9 | Yeoju Sejong | 23 | 7 | 7 | 9 | 26 | 29 | -3 | 28 |
| 10 | Ulsan Citizen | 24 | 8 | 4 | 12 | 25 | 28 | -3 | 28 |
| 11 | Gangneung City | 23 | 7 | 6 | 10 | 21 | 32 | -11 | 27 |
| 12 | Mokpo City | 23 | 5 | 9 | 9 | 22 | 36 | -14 | 24 |
| 13 | Yangpyeong | 24 | 4 | 8 | 12 | 30 | 46 | -16 | 20 |
| 14 | Jeonbuk Motors II | 23 | 1 | 7 | 15 | 23 | 51 | -28 | 10 |
P: played · W: wins · D: draws · L: losses · GF/GA: goals for/against · GD: goal difference · Pts: points. Highlighted rows identify this match’s teams.
About this prediction
We compare each team’s recent goals scored and conceded, giving more weight to recent games and the same home or away venue. A goal model then chooses double chance or Over 1.5 goals. Predictions can change before kickoff and are not guaranteed results. Live scores refresh every 5 seconds.