Segunda División · Regular Season - 9
CadizvsSporting Gijon
Real Scored · Match preview
Match prediction · 11 October 2026
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THE PREDICTION
Our match outlook
Over 1.5 goalsBased on 10 previous home-team games and 10 previous away-team games. Small samples provide less evidence.
Prediction saved
Match information
- Competition
- Segunda División
- Venue
- Nuevo Mirandilla
- Status
- Not Started
- Score
- Not started
- 90-minute score
- —
- Last updated
Goals and cards
Goals
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Cards
Match events are not yet available.
Lineups
Lineups have not been supplied yet. Confirmed selections appear here when available.
Real Scored match analysis
Cadiz vs Sporting Gijon: match review and analysis
Cadiz vs Sporting Gijon in Segunda División on 11 October 2026. Compare recent results, goal trends and league positions in this match preview.
Real Scored brings together the match information, available team results and current standings below. The saved pre-match selection is Over 1.5 goals.
Cadiz recorded 2 wins, 4 draws and 4 losses in the 10 games used here, scoring 14 and conceding 13. Sporting Gijon recorded 4 wins, 1 draws and 5 losses, with 11 scored and 16 conceded across 10 games.
| Statistic | Cadiz | Sporting Gijon |
|---|---|---|
| Games | 10 | 10 |
| Wins | 2 | 4 |
| Draws | 4 | 1 |
| Losses | 4 | 5 |
| Goals scored | 14 | 11 |
| Goals conceded | 13 | 16 |
| Over 1.5 games | 8 | 6 |
Why this selection?
The calculation combines each team’s recent attacking record with the opposing defence. Newer games receive more weight, and results at the same home or away venue receive extra weight.
Cadiz: (1.51 weighted goals scored + 1.53 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 1.52 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
Sporting Gijon: (1.21 weighted goals scored + 1.18 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 1.19 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
The combined scoring outlook makes at least two total goals the strongest of the four options compared. Either team can score those goals. It ranked highest when comparing the three double-chance options with Over 1.5 using a Poisson goal model.
Model goals are estimates from past scores, not shot-based expected goals. These form records were saved with the prediction before kickoff. League position is context below and is not an input to this goal model. Injuries, lineups and odds are not included.
Recent results and goal trends
LAST 10 GAMES
Cadiz recent form
1.40 goals scored and 1.30 conceded per game. 8 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| LeganesSegunda División | Home | 4–0 | Won | |
| TenerifeSegunda División | Away | 1–1 | Draw | |
| GironaSegunda División | Home | 1–2 | Lost | |
| Las PalmasSegunda División | Home | 0–1 | Lost | |
| AlmeriaSegunda División | Away | 2–3 | Lost | |
| ValladolidSegunda División | Home | 1–1 | Draw | |
| EldenseSegunda División | Away | 2–2 | Draw | |
| Celta de Vigo IISegunda División | Home | 0–0 | Draw | |
| Las PalmasFriendlies Clubs | Home | 1–3 | Lost | |
| Granada CFFriendlies Clubs | Home | 2–0 | Won |
Scores shown from Cadiz’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.
LAST 10 GAMES
Sporting Gijon recent form
1.10 goals scored and 1.60 conceded per game. 6 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Celta de Vigo IISegunda División | Home | 3–2 | Won | |
| OviedoSegunda División | Away | 0–2 | Lost | |
| FC AndorraSegunda División | Away | 3–1 | Won | |
| EldenseSegunda División | Home | 0–1 | Lost | |
| GironaSegunda División | Home | 0–2 | Lost | |
| TenerifeSegunda División | Away | 1–0 | Won | |
| BurgosSegunda División | Home | 1–0 | Won | |
| SabadellSegunda División | Home | 0–0 | Draw | |
| ValladolidFriendlies Clubs | Home | 2–4 | Lost | |
| Racing SantanderFriendlies Clubs | Away | 1–4 | Lost |
Scores shown from Sporting Gijon’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.
LEAGUE CONTEXT
Segunda División — current table
Season 2026 · Latest stored table, updated . Refresh delayed; showing the last available table. This table may include games played after this prediction was made.
Sporting Gijon are ranked 8 in Segunda, with 13 points from 8 games.
Cadiz are ranked 19 in Segunda, with 7 points from 8 games.
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Eibar | 8 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 18 | 7 | 11 | 21 |
| 2 | Castellón | 8 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 15 | 3 | 12 | 20 |
| 3 | Almeria | 8 | 6 | 0 | 2 | 13 | 5 | 8 | 18 |
| 4 | Girona | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 14 | 8 | 6 | 14 |
| 5 | Mallorca | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 8 | 3 | 5 | 14 |
| 6 | Burgos | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 12 | 9 | 3 | 14 |
| 7 | Sabadell | 8 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 8 | 6 | 2 | 13 |
| 8 | Sporting Gijon | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 8 | 8 | 0 | 13 |
| 9 | Granada CF | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 13 | 13 | 0 | 11 |
| 10 | Oviedo | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 8 | 8 | 0 | 11 |
| 11 | Las Palmas | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 12 | 13 | -1 | 11 |
| 12 | Tenerife | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 10 | 12 | -2 | 11 |
| 13 | Leganes | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 11 | -5 | 11 |
| 14 | Valladolid | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 8 | 11 | -3 | 9 |
| 15 | Cordoba | 8 | 3 | 0 | 5 | 13 | 18 | -5 | 9 |
| 16 | Real Sociedad II | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 11 | 13 | -2 | 8 |
| 17 | Eldense | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 8 | 10 | -2 | 8 |
| 18 | Celta de Vigo II | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 10 | 14 | -4 | 8 |
| 19 | Cadiz | 8 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 11 | 10 | 1 | 7 |
| 20 | FC Andorra | 8 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 12 | 15 | -3 | 7 |
| 21 | AD Ceuta FC | 8 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 7 | 18 | -11 | 5 |
| 22 | Albacete | 8 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 5 | 15 | -10 | 1 |
P: played · W: wins · D: draws · L: losses · GF/GA: goals for/against · GD: goal difference · Pts: points. Highlighted rows identify this match’s teams.
About this prediction
We compare each team’s recent goals scored and conceded, giving more weight to recent games and the same home or away venue. A goal model then chooses double chance or Over 1.5 goals. Predictions can change before kickoff and are not guaranteed results. Live scores refresh every 5 seconds.