FAW Championship · North - 10
Caersws3–3Bala Town
Real Scored · Match result
Match prediction · 3 October 2026
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THE PREDICTION
Our match outlook
Over 1.5 goalsWon
Based on 10 previous home-team games and 10 previous away-team games. Small samples provide less evidence.
Prediction saved
Match information
- Competition
- FAW Championship
- Venue
- To be confirmed
- Status
- Match Finished
- Score
- 3–3
- 90-minute score
- 3–3
- Last updated
Goals and cards
Goals
Match events are not yet available.
Cards
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Lineups
Lineups have not been supplied yet. Confirmed selections appear here when available.
Real Scored match analysis
Caersws vs Bala Town: match review and analysis
Caersws vs Bala Town in FAW Championship on 3 October 2026 has finished at full time. The match goal score was 3–3. Review the team form and league context below.
Real Scored brings together the match information, available team results and current standings below. The saved pre-match selection is Over 1.5 goals.
Caersws recorded 7 wins, 1 draws and 2 losses in the 10 games used here, scoring 27 and conceding 13. Bala Town recorded 6 wins, 0 draws and 4 losses, with 17 scored and 18 conceded across 10 games.
| Statistic | Caersws | Bala Town |
|---|---|---|
| Games | 10 | 10 |
| Wins | 7 | 6 |
| Draws | 1 | 0 |
| Losses | 2 | 4 |
| Goals scored | 27 | 17 |
| Goals conceded | 13 | 18 |
| Over 1.5 games | 9 | 8 |
Why this selection?
The calculation combines each team’s recent attacking record with the opposing defence. Newer games receive more weight, and results at the same home or away venue receive extra weight.
Caersws: (2.52 weighted goals scored + 1.87 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 2.19 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
Bala Town: (1.75 weighted goals scored + 1.23 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 1.49 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
The combined scoring outlook makes at least two total goals the strongest of the four options compared. Either team can score those goals. It ranked highest when comparing the three double-chance options with Over 1.5 using a Poisson goal model.
Model goals are estimates from past scores, not shot-based expected goals. These form records were saved with the prediction before kickoff. League position is context below and is not an input to this goal model. Injuries, lineups and odds are not included.
Recent results and goal trends
LAST 10 GAMES
Caersws recent form
2.70 goals scored and 1.30 conceded per game. 9 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| LlanuwchllynFAW Championship | Away | 5–2 | Won | |
| Brickfield RangersFAW Championship | Home | 0–2 | Lost | |
| Ruthin TownFAW Championship | Away | 3–0 | Won | |
| Buckley TownFAW Championship | Home | 2–0 | Won | |
| PorthmadogFAW Championship | Away | 3–1 | Won | |
| RhylFAW Championship | Away | 2–4 | Lost | |
| Gresford AthleticFAW Championship | Home | 1–0 | Won | |
| Mold AlexandraFAW Championship | Away | 2–2 | Draw | |
| Denbigh TownFAW Championship | Home | 6–0 | Won | |
| Buckley TownFAW Championship | Home | 3–2 | Won |
Scores shown from Caersws’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.
LAST 10 GAMES
Bala Town recent form
1.70 goals scored and 1.80 conceded per game. 8 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mold AlexandraFAW Championship | Home | 2–4 | Lost | |
| PenrhyncochFAW Championship | Away | 1–0 | Won | |
| Denbigh TownFAW Championship | Away | 2–5 | Lost | |
| PorthmadogFAW Championship | Away | 2–1 | Won | |
| Newtown AFCFAW Championship | Home | 0–1 | Lost | |
| RhylFAW Championship | Away | 3–1 | Won | |
| Gresford AthleticFAW Championship | Home | 3–0 | Won | |
| Ruthin TownFAW Championship | Home | 2–1 | Won | |
| Bangor City 1876 FCFAW Championship | Away | 2–1 | Won | |
| Colwyn BayFriendlies Clubs | Home | 0–4 | Lost |
Scores shown from Bala Town’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.
LEAGUE CONTEXT
FAW Championship — current table
Season 2026 · Latest stored table, updated . This table may include games played after this prediction was made.
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Swansea University | 8 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 25 | 6 | 19 | 20 |
| 2 | Aberystwyth Town | 8 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 22 | 8 | 14 | 19 |
| 3 | Pontypridd Town | 9 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 23 | 16 | 7 | 19 |
| 4 | Caerau (Ely) | 9 | 5 | 1 | 3 | 21 | 18 | 3 | 16 |
| 5 | Baglan Dragons | 10 | 5 | 1 | 4 | 11 | 11 | 0 | 16 |
| 6 | Carmarthen Town | 9 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 20 | 19 | 1 | 14 |
| 7 | Ynyshir Albions | 8 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 9 | 7 | 2 | 13 |
| 8 | Treowen Stars | 9 | 4 | 1 | 4 | 18 | 18 | 0 | 13 |
| 9 | Afan Lido | 10 | 3 | 2 | 5 | 13 | 17 | -4 | 11 |
| 10 | Trethomas Bluebirds | 9 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 17 | 17 | 0 | 10 |
| 11 | Pontardawe Town | 8 | 3 | 0 | 5 | 14 | 16 | -2 | 9 |
| 12 | Newport City | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 10 | 6 | 4 | 8 |
| 13 | Cardiff Draconians | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 9 | 12 | -3 | 8 |
| 14 | Caerphilly Athletic | 9 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 9 | 17 | -8 | 8 |
| 15 | Llantwit Major | 8 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 7 | 20 | -13 | 7 |
| 16 | llanelli AFC | 10 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 7 | 27 | -20 | 2 |
Bala Town are ranked 4 in North, with 19 points from 10 games.
Caersws are ranked 6 in North, with 17 points from 9 games.
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Brickfield Rangers | 10 | 9 | 0 | 1 | 26 | 6 | 20 | 27 |
| 2 | Newtown AFC | 9 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 18 | 3 | 15 | 22 |
| 3 | Porthmadog | 10 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 17 | 11 | 6 | 20 |
| 4 | Bala Town | 10 | 6 | 1 | 3 | 20 | 17 | 3 | 19 |
| 5 | Mold Alexandra | 10 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 24 | 14 | 10 | 18 |
| 6 | Caersws | 9 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 21 | 14 | 7 | 17 |
| 7 | Bangor City 1876 FC | 10 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 24 | 18 | 6 | 17 |
| 8 | Guilsfield | 10 | 4 | 4 | 2 | 16 | 12 | 4 | 16 |
| 9 | Buckley Town | 10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 22 | 17 | 5 | 12 |
| 10 | Llanuwchllyn | 10 | 3 | 2 | 5 | 13 | 23 | -10 | 11 |
| 11 | Rhyl | 10 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 17 | 19 | -2 | 10 |
| 12 | Ruthin Town | 10 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 9 | 20 | -11 | 8 |
| 13 | Denbigh Town | 10 | 2 | 1 | 7 | 18 | 23 | -5 | 7 |
| 14 | Holyhead Hotspur | 9 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 11 | 18 | -7 | 7 |
| 15 | Gresford Athletic | 9 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 6 | 21 | -15 | 7 |
| 16 | Penrhyncoch | 10 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 4 | 30 | -26 | 1 |
P: played · W: wins · D: draws · L: losses · GF/GA: goals for/against · GD: goal difference · Pts: points. Highlighted rows identify this match’s teams.
About this prediction
We compare each team’s recent goals scored and conceded, giving more weight to recent games and the same home or away venue. A goal model then chooses double chance or Over 1.5 goals. Predictions can change before kickoff and are not guaranteed results. Live scores refresh every 5 seconds.