Serie D - Girone B · Group B - 6
Caldiero Terme1–0Nibbiano & Valtidone
Real Scored · Match result
Match prediction · 4 October 2026
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THE PREDICTION
Our match outlook
Away or drawLost
Based on 10 previous home-team games and 5 previous away-team games. Small samples provide less evidence.
Prediction saved
Match information
- Competition
- Serie D - Girone B
- Venue
- Mario Gavagnin-Sinibaldo Nocini
- Status
- Match Finished
- Score
- 1–0
- 90-minute score
- 1–0
- Last updated
Goals and cards
Goals
Match events are not yet available.
Cards
Match events are not yet available.
Lineups
Lineups have not been supplied yet. Confirmed selections appear here when available.
Real Scored match analysis
Caldiero Terme vs Nibbiano & Valtidone: match review and analysis
Caldiero Terme vs Nibbiano & Valtidone in Serie D - Girone B on 4 October 2026 has finished at full time. The match goal score was 1–0. Review the team form and league context below.
Real Scored brings together the match information, available team results and current standings below. The saved pre-match selection is Away or draw.
Caldiero Terme recorded 2 wins, 6 draws and 2 losses in the 10 games used here, scoring 19 and conceding 14. Nibbiano & Valtidone recorded 5 wins, 0 draws and 0 losses, with 7 scored and 1 conceded across 5 games.
| Statistic | Caldiero Terme | Nibbiano & Valtidone |
|---|---|---|
| Games | 10 | 5 |
| Wins | 2 | 5 |
| Draws | 6 | 0 |
| Losses | 2 | 0 |
| Goals scored | 19 | 7 |
| Goals conceded | 14 | 1 |
| Over 1.5 games | 9 | 2 |
Why this selection?
The calculation combines each team’s recent attacking record with the opposing defence. Newer games receive more weight, and results at the same home or away venue receive extra weight.
Caldiero Terme: (1.70 weighted goals scored + 0.17 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 0.93 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
Nibbiano & Valtidone: (1.37 weighted goals scored + 1.29 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 1.33 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
The model favours the away side avoiding defeat. An away win or a draw satisfies this selection. It ranked highest when comparing the three double-chance options with Over 1.5 using a Poisson goal model.
Model goals are estimates from past scores, not shot-based expected goals. These form records were saved with the prediction before kickoff. League position is context below and is not an input to this goal model. Injuries, lineups and odds are not included.
Recent results and goal trends
LAST 10 GAMES
Caldiero Terme recent form
1.90 goals scored and 1.40 conceded per game. 9 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FiorenzuolaSerie D - Girone B | Away | 1–1 | Draw | |
| ScanzorosciateSerie D - Girone B | Home | 1–0 | Won | |
| Real CalepinaSerie D - Girone B | Away | 2–2 | Draw | |
| LeonSerie D - Girone B | Home | 1–1 | Draw | |
| Milan IISerie D - Girone B | Away | 3–4 | Lost | |
| VaresinaSerie D - Girone B | Home | 2–2 | Draw | |
| VoghereseSerie D - Girone B | Away | 6–0 | Won | |
| Villa ValleSerie D - Girone B | Home | 1–1 | Draw | |
| SondrioSerie D - Girone B | Away | 1–1 | Draw | |
| BrusaportoSerie D - Girone B | Home | 1–2 | Lost |
Scores shown from Caldiero Terme’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.
LAST 5 GAMES
Nibbiano & Valtidone recent form
1.40 goals scored and 0.20 conceded per game. 2 of 5 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| ChievoSerie D - Girone B | Home | 2–0 | Won | |
| Pro PalazzoloSerie D - Girone B | Away | 1–0 | Won | |
| ScanzorosciateSerie D - Girone B | Home | 2–1 | Won | |
| FiorenzuolaSerie D - Girone B | Home | 1–0 | Won | |
| Club MilanoSerie D - Girone B | Away | 1–0 | Won |
Scores shown from Nibbiano & Valtidone’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded. Only 5 usable previous results were available.
LEAGUE CONTEXT
Serie D - Girone B — current table
Season 2026 · Latest stored table, updated . Refresh delayed; showing the last available table. This table may include games played after this prediction was made.
Nibbiano & Valtidone are ranked 2 in Group B, with 15 points from 6 games.
Caldiero Terme are ranked 7 in Group B, with 9 points from 6 games.
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Chievo | 6 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 14 | 6 | 8 | 15 |
| 2 | Nibbiano & Valtidone | 6 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 2 | 5 | 15 |
| 3 | Piacenza | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 10 | 4 | 6 | 10 |
| 4 | Pro Palazzolo | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 7 | -1 | 10 |
| 5 | Virtus Ciserano Bergamo | 6 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 8 | 4 | 4 | 9 |
| 6 | Leon | 6 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 9 | 7 | 2 | 9 |
| 7 | Caldiero Terme | 6 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 9 | 8 | 1 | 9 |
| 8 | Milan II | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 7 | 1 | 9 |
| 9 | Brusaporto | 6 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 7 | 8 | -1 | 9 |
| 10 | Real Calepina | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 11 | 9 | 2 | 8 |
| 11 | Virtus Verona | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 7 | -2 | 8 |
| 12 | Villa Valle | 6 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 6 | 6 | 0 | 7 |
| 13 | Pavonese | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 6 | -1 | 7 |
| 14 | Scanzorosciate | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 8 | -3 | 5 |
| 15 | Club Milano | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 7 | -3 | 4 |
| 16 | Rovato Vertovese | 6 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 8 | 12 | -4 | 3 |
| 17 | Fiorenzuola | 6 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 7 | -6 | 2 |
| 18 | Tritium | 6 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 7 | 15 | -8 | 2 |
P: played · W: wins · D: draws · L: losses · GF/GA: goals for/against · GD: goal difference · Pts: points. Highlighted rows identify this match’s teams.
About this prediction
We compare each team’s recent goals scored and conceded, giving more weight to recent games and the same home or away venue. A goal model then chooses double chance or Over 1.5 goals. Predictions can change before kickoff and are not guaranteed results. Live scores refresh every 5 seconds.