Segunda División RFEF - Group 5 · Group 5 - 6
Calvo SotelovsRSD Alcalá
Real Scored · Match preview
Match prediction · 11 October 2026
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THE PREDICTION
Our match outlook
Home or awayBased on 10 previous home-team games and 10 previous away-team games. Small samples provide less evidence.
Prediction saved
Match information
- Competition
- Segunda División RFEF - Group 5
- Venue
- To be confirmed
- Status
- Not Started
- Score
- Not started
- 90-minute score
- —
- Last updated
Goals and cards
Goals
Match events are not yet available.
Cards
Match events are not yet available.
Lineups
Lineups have not been supplied yet. Confirmed selections appear here when available.
Real Scored match analysis
Calvo Sotelo vs RSD Alcalá: match review and analysis
Calvo Sotelo vs RSD Alcalá in Segunda División RFEF - Group 5 on 11 October 2026. Compare recent results, goal trends and league positions in this match preview.
Real Scored brings together the match information, available team results and current standings below. The saved pre-match selection is Home or away.
Calvo Sotelo recorded 5 wins, 1 draws and 4 losses in the 10 games used here, scoring 11 and conceding 10. RSD Alcalá recorded 4 wins, 2 draws and 4 losses, with 17 scored and 13 conceded across 10 games.
| Statistic | Calvo Sotelo | RSD Alcalá |
|---|---|---|
| Games | 10 | 10 |
| Wins | 5 | 4 |
| Draws | 1 | 2 |
| Losses | 4 | 4 |
| Goals scored | 11 | 17 |
| Goals conceded | 10 | 13 |
| Over 1.5 games | 6 | 9 |
Why this selection?
The calculation combines each team’s recent attacking record with the opposing defence. Newer games receive more weight, and results at the same home or away venue receive extra weight.
Calvo Sotelo: (0.90 weighted goals scored + 1.61 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 1.26 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
RSD Alcalá: (1.51 weighted goals scored + 1.01 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 1.26 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
The model favours a decisive result. Either side winning satisfies this selection; a draw does not. It ranked highest when comparing the three double-chance options with Over 1.5 using a Poisson goal model.
Model goals are estimates from past scores, not shot-based expected goals. These form records were saved with the prediction before kickoff. League position is context below and is not an input to this goal model. Injuries, lineups and odds are not included.
Recent results and goal trends
LAST 10 GAMES
Calvo Sotelo recent form
1.10 goals scored and 1.00 conceded per game. 6 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Real Valladolid IISegunda División RFEF - Group 5 | Away | 0–3 | Lost | |
| Atlético TordesillasSegunda División RFEF - Group 5 | Home | 1–0 | Won | |
| Real ÁvilaSegunda División RFEF - Group 5 | Away | 1–2 | Lost | |
| Atlético PasoSegunda División RFEF - Group 5 | Home | 0–0 | Draw | |
| Gimnástica SegovianaSegunda División RFEF - Group 5 | Home | 0–3 | Lost | |
| La SolanaTercera División RFEF - Group 18 | Home | 1–0 | Won | |
| ToledoTercera División RFEF - Group 18 | Away | 2–0 | Won | |
| CazalegasTercera División RFEF - Group 18 | Home | 1–0 | Won | |
| Huracán BalazoteTercera División RFEF - Group 18 | Away | 1–2 | Lost | |
| Guadalajara IITercera División RFEF - Group 18 | Home | 4–0 | Won |
Scores shown from Calvo Sotelo’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.
LAST 10 GAMES
RSD Alcalá recent form
1.70 goals scored and 1.30 conceded per game. 9 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| NavalcarneroSegunda División RFEF - Group 5 | Home | 1–3 | Lost | |
| Salamanca UDSSegunda División RFEF - Group 5 | Away | 0–3 | Lost | |
| Gimnástica SegovianaSegunda División RFEF - Group 5 | Home | 5–2 | Won | |
| GuadalajaraSegunda División RFEF - Group 5 | Away | 1–2 | Lost | |
| CF TalaveraSegunda División RFEF - Group 5 | Home | 3–0 | Won | |
| Gimnástica SegovianaFriendlies Clubs | Home | 1–1 | Draw | |
| CD CoriaSegunda División RFEF - Group 5 | Home | 1–2 | Lost | |
| Quintanar del ReySegunda División RFEF - Group 5 | Away | 0–0 | Draw | |
| Rayo Vallecano IISegunda División RFEF - Group 5 | Home | 3–0 | Won | |
| FuenlabradaSegunda División RFEF - Group 5 | Away | 2–0 | Won |
Scores shown from RSD Alcalá’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.
LEAGUE CONTEXT
Segunda División RFEF - Group 5 — current table
Season 2026 · Latest stored table, updated . Refresh delayed; showing the last available table. This table may include games played after this prediction was made.
RSD Alcalá are ranked 10 in Segunda Rfef: Group 5, with 6 points from 5 games.
Calvo Sotelo are ranked 16 in Segunda Rfef: Group 5, with 4 points from 5 games.
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | A Madrid III | 5 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 5 | 3 | 12 |
| 2 | Numancia | 5 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 0 | 5 | 11 |
| 3 | SS Reyes | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 3 | 4 | 10 |
| 4 | Conquense | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 10 | 7 | 3 | 10 |
| 5 | Real Valladolid II | 5 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 4 | 7 | 9 |
| 6 | Salamanca UDS | 5 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 5 | 2 | 9 |
| 7 | CF Talavera | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 7 | 5 | 2 | 8 |
| 8 | Gimnástica Segoviana | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 11 | 10 | 1 | 7 |
| 9 | Navalcarnero | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 8 | 8 | 0 | 7 |
| 10 | RSD Alcalá | 5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 10 | 10 | 0 | 6 |
| 11 | Real Ávila | 5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 5 | 8 | -3 | 6 |
| 12 | Guadalajara | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 8 | 9 | -1 | 5 |
| 13 | Atlético Paso | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 5 | -2 | 5 |
| 14 | Albacete II | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 7 | 15 | -8 | 5 |
| 15 | Atlético Tordesillas | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 8 | 10 | -2 | 4 |
| 16 | Calvo Sotelo | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 8 | -6 | 4 |
| 17 | Getafe II | 5 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 5 | -2 | 3 |
| 18 | Real Madrid III | 5 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 4 | -3 | 3 |
P: played · W: wins · D: draws · L: losses · GF/GA: goals for/against · GD: goal difference · Pts: points. Highlighted rows identify this match’s teams.
About this prediction
We compare each team’s recent goals scored and conceded, giving more weight to recent games and the same home or away venue. A goal model then chooses double chance or Over 1.5 goals. Predictions can change before kickoff and are not guaranteed results. Live scores refresh every 5 seconds.