Tercera División RFEF - Group 9 · Group 9 - 5
Cantoria1–1Almería II
Real Scored · Match result
Match prediction · 4 October 2026
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THE PREDICTION
Our match outlook
Home or awayLost
Based on 4 previous home-team games and 10 previous away-team games. Small samples provide less evidence.
Prediction saved
Match information
- Competition
- Tercera División RFEF - Group 9
- Venue
- To be confirmed
- Status
- Match Finished
- Score
- 1–1
- 90-minute score
- 1–1
- Last updated
Goals and cards
Goals
Match events are not yet available.
Cards
Match events are not yet available.
Lineups
Lineups have not been supplied yet. Confirmed selections appear here when available.
Real Scored match analysis
Cantoria vs Almería II: match review and analysis
Cantoria vs Almería II in Tercera División RFEF - Group 9 on 4 October 2026 has finished at full time. The match goal score was 1–1. Review the team form and league context below.
Real Scored brings together the match information, available team results and current standings below. The saved pre-match selection is Home or away.
Cantoria recorded 0 wins, 2 draws and 2 losses in the 4 games used here, scoring 3 and conceding 6. Almería II recorded 3 wins, 2 draws and 5 losses, with 14 scored and 15 conceded across 10 games.
| Statistic | Cantoria | Almería II |
|---|---|---|
| Games | 4 | 10 |
| Wins | 0 | 3 |
| Draws | 2 | 2 |
| Losses | 2 | 5 |
| Goals scored | 3 | 14 |
| Goals conceded | 6 | 15 |
| Over 1.5 games | 3 | 9 |
Why this selection?
The calculation combines each team’s recent attacking record with the opposing defence. Newer games receive more weight, and results at the same home or away venue receive extra weight.
Cantoria: (0.91 weighted goals scored + 1.32 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 1.12 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
Almería II: (1.39 weighted goals scored + 1.55 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 1.47 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
The model favours a decisive result. Either side winning satisfies this selection; a draw does not. It ranked highest when comparing the three double-chance options with Over 1.5 using a Poisson goal model.
Model goals are estimates from past scores, not shot-based expected goals. These form records were saved with the prediction before kickoff. League position is context below and is not an input to this goal model. Injuries, lineups and odds are not included.
Recent results and goal trends
LAST 4 GAMES
Cantoria recent form
0.75 goals scored and 1.50 conceded per game. 3 of 4 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Granada IITercera División RFEF - Group 9 | Away | 0–2 | Lost | |
| Málaga IITercera División RFEF - Group 9 | Home | 2–2 | Draw | |
| Atletico de MarbellaTercera División RFEF - Group 9 | Home | 1–1 | Draw | |
| Atlético PorcunaTercera División RFEF - Group 9 | Away | 0–1 | Lost |
Scores shown from Cantoria’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded. Only 4 usable previous results were available.
LAST 10 GAMES
Almería II recent form
1.40 goals scored and 1.50 conceded per game. 9 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Atlético PorcunaTercera División RFEF - Group 9 | Home | 4–0 | Won | |
| UD San PedroTercera División RFEF - Group 9 | Away | 0–1 | Lost | |
| AlhaurinoTercera División RFEF - Group 9 | Home | 2–0 | Won | |
| Malaga CityTercera División RFEF - Group 9 | Away | 2–1 | Won | |
| ÁguilasSegunda División RFEF - Group 4 | Away | 0–2 | Lost | |
| Deportiva MineraSegunda División RFEF - Group 4 | Home | 3–4 | Lost | |
| YeclanoSegunda División RFEF - Group 4 | Away | 1–1 | Draw | |
| EsteponaSegunda División RFEF - Group 4 | Home | 1–2 | Lost | |
| Lorca DeportivaSegunda División RFEF - Group 4 | Home | 1–1 | Draw | |
| MelillaSegunda División RFEF - Group 4 | Away | 0–3 | Lost |
Scores shown from Almería II’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.
LEAGUE CONTEXT
Tercera División RFEF - Group 9 — current table
Season 2026 · Latest stored table, updated . Refresh delayed; showing the last available table. This table may include games played after this prediction was made.
Almería II are ranked 6 in Tercera: Group 9, with 10 points from 5 games.
Cantoria are ranked 16 in Tercera: Group 9, with 3 points from 5 games.
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Melilla | 5 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 3 | 8 | 15 |
| 2 | Marbelli | 5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 8 | 3 | 5 | 13 |
| 3 | Arenas Armilla | 5 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 8 | 4 | 4 | 11 |
| 4 | Motril | 5 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 8 | 4 | 4 | 11 |
| 5 | Málaga II | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 11 | 4 | 7 | 10 |
| 6 | Almería II | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 9 | 3 | 6 | 10 |
| 7 | UD San Pedro | 5 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 8 | -1 | 9 |
| 8 | Granada II | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 7 | 4 | 3 | 7 |
| 9 | Churriana Vega | 5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 9 | 9 | 0 | 6 |
| 10 | Atlético Porcuna | 5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 6 | 14 | -8 | 6 |
| 11 | Ciudad de Torredonjimeno | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 6 | -1 | 5 |
| 12 | Huétor Vega | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 7 | 9 | -2 | 5 |
| 13 | Torre del Mar | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 5 | -2 | 4 |
| 14 | Atletico de Marbella | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 5 | -3 | 4 |
| 15 | Alhaurino | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 7 | -4 | 4 |
| 16 | Cantoria | 5 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 7 | -3 | 3 |
| 17 | Mancha Real | 5 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 7 | -5 | 2 |
| 18 | Malaga City | 5 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 3 | 11 | -8 | 0 |
P: played · W: wins · D: draws · L: losses · GF/GA: goals for/against · GD: goal difference · Pts: points. Highlighted rows identify this match’s teams.
About this prediction
We compare each team’s recent goals scored and conceded, giving more weight to recent games and the same home or away venue. A goal model then chooses double chance or Over 1.5 goals. Predictions can change before kickoff and are not guaranteed results. Live scores refresh every 5 seconds.