III Liga - Group 3 · Group III - 12
Carina GubinvsGoczałkowice Zdrój
Real Scored · Match preview
Match prediction · 10 October 2026
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THE PREDICTION
Our match outlook
Home or awayBased on 10 previous home-team games and 10 previous away-team games. Small samples provide less evidence.
Prediction saved
Match information
- Competition
- III Liga - Group 3
- Venue
- To be confirmed
- Status
- Not Started
- Score
- Not started
- 90-minute score
- —
- Last updated
Goals and cards
Goals
Match events are not yet available.
Cards
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Lineups
Lineups have not been supplied yet. Confirmed selections appear here when available.
Real Scored match analysis
Carina Gubin vs Goczałkowice Zdrój: match review and analysis
Carina Gubin vs Goczałkowice Zdrój in III Liga - Group 3 on 10 October 2026. Compare recent results, goal trends and league positions in this match preview.
Real Scored brings together the match information, available team results and current standings below. The saved pre-match selection is Home or away.
Carina Gubin recorded 1 wins, 2 draws and 7 losses in the 10 games used here, scoring 6 and conceding 21. Goczałkowice Zdrój recorded 3 wins, 1 draws and 6 losses, with 10 scored and 15 conceded across 10 games.
| Statistic | Carina Gubin | Goczałkowice Zdrój |
|---|---|---|
| Games | 10 | 10 |
| Wins | 1 | 3 |
| Draws | 2 | 1 |
| Losses | 7 | 6 |
| Goals scored | 6 | 10 |
| Goals conceded | 21 | 15 |
| Over 1.5 games | 8 | 8 |
Why this selection?
The calculation combines each team’s recent attacking record with the opposing defence. Newer games receive more weight, and results at the same home or away venue receive extra weight.
Carina Gubin: (0.63 weighted goals scored + 1.67 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 1.15 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
Goczałkowice Zdrój: (0.87 weighted goals scored + 2.01 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 1.44 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
The model favours a decisive result. Either side winning satisfies this selection; a draw does not. It ranked highest when comparing the three double-chance options with Over 1.5 using a Poisson goal model.
Model goals are estimates from past scores, not shot-based expected goals. These form records were saved with the prediction before kickoff. League position is context below and is not an input to this goal model. Injuries, lineups and odds are not included.
Recent results and goal trends
LAST 10 GAMES
Carina Gubin recent form
0.60 goals scored and 2.10 conceded per game. 8 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Stal BrzegIII Liga - Group 3 | Away | 1–0 | Won | |
| Stilon GorzówIII Liga - Group 3 | Home | 1–3 | Lost | |
| Zagłębie Lubin IIIII Liga - Group 3 | Away | 0–3 | Lost | |
| Odra Bytom OdrzańskiIII Liga - Group 3 | Home | 1–1 | Draw | |
| Górnik PolkowiceIII Liga - Group 3 | Away | 1–2 | Lost | |
| Barycz SułówIII Liga - Group 3 | Home | 0–1 | Lost | |
| Zaglebie SosnowiecIII Liga - Group 3 | Home | 0–4 | Lost | |
| ROW RybnikIII Liga - Group 3 | Away | 0–4 | Lost | |
| Karkonosze Jelenia GóraIII Liga - Group 3 | Home | 1–1 | Draw | |
| Warta GorzówIII Liga - Group 3 | Away | 1–2 | Lost |
Scores shown from Carina Gubin’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.
LAST 10 GAMES
Goczałkowice Zdrój recent form
1.00 goals scored and 1.50 conceded per game. 8 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| ROW RybnikIII Liga - Group 3 | Home | 0–1 | Lost | |
| Karkonosze Jelenia GóraIII Liga - Group 3 | Away | 0–2 | Lost | |
| Warta GorzówIII Liga - Group 3 | Home | 4–1 | Won | |
| Miedź Legnica IIIII Liga - Group 3 | Away | 0–5 | Lost | |
| KluczborkIII Liga - Group 3 | Home | 3–0 | Won | |
| Rakow IIIII Liga - Group 3 | Away | 0–0 | Draw | |
| Polonia NysaIII Liga - Group 3 | Home | 2–0 | Won | |
| Sparta KatowiceIII Liga - Group 3 | Away | 1–2 | Lost | |
| Ślęza WrocławIII Liga - Group 3 | Home | 0–2 | Lost | |
| Zaglebie SosnowiecIII Liga - Group 3 | Away | 0–2 | Lost |
Scores shown from Goczałkowice Zdrój’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.
LEAGUE CONTEXT
III Liga - Group 3 — current table
Season 2026 · Latest stored table, updated . Refresh delayed; showing the last available table. This table may include games played after this prediction was made.
Goczałkowice Zdrój are ranked 14 in Group III, with 11 points from 11 games.
Carina Gubin are ranked 18 in Group III, with 8 points from 11 games.
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Sparta Katowice | 11 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 19 | 7 | 12 | 24 |
| 2 | Zagłębie Lubin II | 11 | 6 | 5 | 0 | 23 | 13 | 10 | 23 |
| 3 | Odra Bytom Odrzański | 11 | 7 | 2 | 2 | 12 | 5 | 7 | 23 |
| 4 | Barycz Sułów | 11 | 6 | 2 | 3 | 18 | 13 | 5 | 20 |
| 5 | Zaglebie Sosnowiec | 10 | 6 | 1 | 3 | 15 | 9 | 6 | 19 |
| 6 | Górnik Polkowice | 12 | 5 | 3 | 4 | 23 | 19 | 4 | 18 |
| 7 | ROW Rybnik | 11 | 5 | 2 | 4 | 23 | 18 | 5 | 17 |
| 8 | Stilon Gorzów | 12 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 20 | 19 | 1 | 16 |
| 9 | Karkonosze Jelenia Góra | 11 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 12 | 9 | 3 | 15 |
| 10 | Miedź Legnica II | 11 | 4 | 2 | 5 | 25 | 21 | 4 | 14 |
| 11 | Warta Gorzów | 11 | 3 | 5 | 3 | 11 | 17 | -6 | 14 |
| 12 | Kluczbork | 10 | 4 | 0 | 6 | 10 | 17 | -7 | 12 |
| 13 | Stal Brzeg | 11 | 3 | 2 | 6 | 18 | 17 | 1 | 11 |
| 14 | Goczałkowice Zdrój | 11 | 3 | 2 | 6 | 11 | 16 | -5 | 11 |
| 15 | Ślęza Wrocław | 11 | 3 | 1 | 7 | 17 | 26 | -9 | 10 |
| 16 | Rakow II | 9 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 12 | 17 | -5 | 9 |
| 17 | Polonia Nysa | 11 | 2 | 2 | 7 | 12 | 24 | -12 | 8 |
| 18 | Carina Gubin | 11 | 2 | 2 | 7 | 8 | 22 | -14 | 8 |
P: played · W: wins · D: draws · L: losses · GF/GA: goals for/against · GD: goal difference · Pts: points. Highlighted rows identify this match’s teams.
About this prediction
We compare each team’s recent goals scored and conceded, giving more weight to recent games and the same home or away venue. A goal model then chooses double chance or Over 1.5 goals. Predictions can change before kickoff and are not guaranteed results. Live scores refresh every 5 seconds.