National League · Regular Season - 13
CarlislevsKidderminster Harriers
Real Scored · Match preview
Match prediction · 10 October 2026
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THE PREDICTION
Our match outlook
Over 1.5 goalsBased on 10 previous home-team games and 10 previous away-team games. Small samples provide less evidence.
Prediction saved
Match information
- Competition
- National League
- Venue
- Brunton Park
- Status
- Not Started
- Score
- Not started
- 90-minute score
- —
- Last updated
Goals and cards
Goals
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Cards
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Lineups
Lineups have not been supplied yet. Confirmed selections appear here when available.
Real Scored match analysis
Carlisle vs Kidderminster Harriers: match review and analysis
Carlisle vs Kidderminster Harriers in National League on 10 October 2026. Compare recent results, goal trends and league positions in this match preview.
Real Scored brings together the match information, available team results and current standings below. The saved pre-match selection is Over 1.5 goals.
Carlisle recorded 4 wins, 3 draws and 3 losses in the 10 games used here, scoring 20 and conceding 16. Kidderminster Harriers recorded 4 wins, 4 draws and 2 losses, with 14 scored and 9 conceded across 10 games.
| Statistic | Carlisle | Kidderminster Harriers |
|---|---|---|
| Games | 10 | 10 |
| Wins | 4 | 4 |
| Draws | 3 | 4 |
| Losses | 3 | 2 |
| Goals scored | 20 | 14 |
| Goals conceded | 16 | 9 |
| Over 1.5 games | 9 | 7 |
Why this selection?
The calculation combines each team’s recent attacking record with the opposing defence. Newer games receive more weight, and results at the same home or away venue receive extra weight.
Carlisle: (2.02 weighted goals scored + 1.05 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 1.54 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
Kidderminster Harriers: (1.30 weighted goals scored + 1.76 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 1.53 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
The combined scoring outlook makes at least two total goals the strongest of the four options compared. Either team can score those goals. It ranked highest when comparing the three double-chance options with Over 1.5 using a Poisson goal model.
Model goals are estimates from past scores, not shot-based expected goals. These form records were saved with the prediction before kickoff. League position is context below and is not an input to this goal model. Injuries, lineups and odds are not included.
Recent results and goal trends
LAST 10 GAMES
Carlisle recent form
2.00 goals scored and 1.60 conceded per game. 9 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aldershot TownNational League | Away | 3–1 | Won | |
| AFC FyldeNational League | Away | 2–0 | Won | |
| WokingNational League | Home | 2–5 | Lost | |
| EastleighNational League | Away | 0–1 | Lost | |
| Forest GreenNational League | Home | 1–1 | Draw | |
| SouthendNational League | Home | 2–2 | Draw | |
| Boreham WoodNational League | Away | 1–2 | Lost | |
| ScunthorpeNational League | Home | 4–2 | Won | |
| WealdstoneNational League | Away | 1–1 | Draw | |
| AFC HornchurchNational League | Home | 4–1 | Won |
Scores shown from Carlisle’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.
LAST 10 GAMES
Kidderminster Harriers recent form
1.40 goals scored and 0.90 conceded per game. 7 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sutton UtdNational League | Home | 1–1 | Draw | |
| Boreham WoodNational League | Away | 1–3 | Lost | |
| Yeovil TownNational League | Home | 0–1 | Lost | |
| WokingNational League | Away | 0–0 | Draw | |
| GatesheadNational League | Home | 1–0 | Won | |
| HartlepoolNational League | Home | 2–0 | Won | |
| WealdstoneNational League | Away | 4–1 | Won | |
| BarrowNational League | Home | 1–1 | Draw | |
| SouthendNational League | Away | 3–1 | Won | |
| Aldershot TownNational League | Home | 1–1 | Draw |
Scores shown from Kidderminster Harriers’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.
LEAGUE CONTEXT
National League — current table
Season 2026 · Latest stored table, updated . Refresh delayed; showing the last available table. This table may include games played after this prediction was made.
Kidderminster Harriers are ranked 8 in Conference, with 19 points from 12 games.
Carlisle are ranked 14 in Conference, with 16 points from 12 games.
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Boreham Wood | 13 | 11 | 2 | 0 | 34 | 13 | 21 | 35 |
| 2 | Harrogate Town | 12 | 8 | 1 | 3 | 28 | 17 | 11 | 25 |
| 3 | Southend | 12 | 7 | 3 | 2 | 29 | 18 | 11 | 24 |
| 4 | Yeovil Town | 12 | 6 | 4 | 2 | 26 | 15 | 11 | 22 |
| 5 | Worthing | 12 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 22 | 18 | 4 | 21 |
| 6 | Altrincham | 12 | 7 | 0 | 5 | 17 | 18 | -1 | 21 |
| 7 | AFC Fylde | 12 | 6 | 2 | 4 | 22 | 18 | 4 | 20 |
| 8 | Kidderminster Harriers | 12 | 5 | 4 | 3 | 15 | 12 | 3 | 19 |
| 9 | Barrow | 12 | 5 | 3 | 4 | 20 | 15 | 5 | 18 |
| 10 | Aldershot Town | 12 | 5 | 3 | 4 | 17 | 13 | 4 | 18 |
| 11 | Sutton Utd | 13 | 5 | 3 | 5 | 14 | 18 | -4 | 18 |
| 12 | AFC Hornchurch | 12 | 6 | 0 | 6 | 13 | 19 | -6 | 18 |
| 13 | FC Halifax Town | 12 | 5 | 2 | 5 | 18 | 14 | 4 | 17 |
| 14 | Carlisle | 12 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 23 | 20 | 3 | 16 |
| 15 | Woking | 12 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 20 | 19 | 1 | 15 |
| 16 | Forest Green | 11 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 17 | 18 | -1 | 15 |
| 17 | Eastleigh | 12 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 14 | 18 | -4 | 15 |
| 18 | Tamworth | 12 | 4 | 2 | 6 | 20 | 28 | -8 | 14 |
| 19 | Wealdstone | 12 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 17 | 18 | -1 | 12 |
| 20 | Boston United | 12 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 14 | 21 | -7 | 12 |
| 21 | Scunthorpe | 11 | 3 | 1 | 7 | 15 | 19 | -4 | 10 |
| 22 | Hartlepool | 12 | 3 | 0 | 9 | 8 | 17 | -9 | 9 |
| 23 | Solihull Moors | 12 | 2 | 1 | 9 | 13 | 30 | -17 | 7 |
| 24 | Gateshead | 12 | 1 | 1 | 10 | 7 | 27 | -20 | 4 |
P: played · W: wins · D: draws · L: losses · GF/GA: goals for/against · GD: goal difference · Pts: points. Highlighted rows identify this match’s teams.
About this prediction
We compare each team’s recent goals scored and conceded, giving more weight to recent games and the same home or away venue. A goal model then chooses double chance or Over 1.5 goals. Predictions can change before kickoff and are not guaranteed results. Live scores refresh every 5 seconds.