Primeira Liga · Regular Season - 8
Casa PiavsSanta Clara
Real Scored · Match preview
Match prediction · 10 October 2026
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THE PREDICTION
Our match outlook
Away or drawBased on 10 previous home-team games and 10 previous away-team games. Small samples provide less evidence.
Prediction saved
Match information
- Competition
- Primeira Liga
- Venue
- Estadio Municipal de Rio Maior
- Status
- Not Started
- Score
- Not started
- 90-minute score
- —
- Last updated
Goals and cards
Goals
Match events are not yet available.
Cards
Match events are not yet available.
Lineups
Lineups have not been supplied yet. Confirmed selections appear here when available.
Real Scored match analysis
Casa Pia vs Santa Clara: match review and analysis
Casa Pia vs Santa Clara in Primeira Liga on 10 October 2026. Compare recent results, goal trends and league positions in this match preview.
Real Scored brings together the match information, available team results and current standings below. The saved pre-match selection is Away or draw.
Casa Pia recorded 2 wins, 1 draws and 7 losses in the 10 games used here, scoring 7 and conceding 24. Santa Clara recorded 6 wins, 4 draws and 0 losses, with 17 scored and 6 conceded across 10 games.
| Statistic | Casa Pia | Santa Clara |
|---|---|---|
| Games | 10 | 10 |
| Wins | 2 | 6 |
| Draws | 1 | 4 |
| Losses | 7 | 0 |
| Goals scored | 7 | 17 |
| Goals conceded | 24 | 6 |
| Over 1.5 games | 6 | 7 |
Why this selection?
The calculation combines each team’s recent attacking record with the opposing defence. Newer games receive more weight, and results at the same home or away venue receive extra weight.
Casa Pia: (0.67 weighted goals scored + 0.57 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 0.62 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
Santa Clara: (1.61 weighted goals scored + 2.52 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 2.07 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
The model favours the away side avoiding defeat. An away win or a draw satisfies this selection. It ranked highest when comparing the three double-chance options with Over 1.5 using a Poisson goal model.
Model goals are estimates from past scores, not shot-based expected goals. These form records were saved with the prediction before kickoff. League position is context below and is not an input to this goal model. Injuries, lineups and odds are not included.
Recent results and goal trends
LAST 10 GAMES
Casa Pia recent form
0.70 goals scored and 2.40 conceded per game. 6 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| EstorilPrimeira Liga | Away | 2–1 | Won | |
| FC PortoPrimeira Liga | Home | 1–4 | Lost | |
| Vitória SCPrimeira Liga | Away | 0–0 | Draw | |
| MoreirensePrimeira Liga | Home | 0–1 | Lost | |
| GIL VicentePrimeira Liga | Away | 0–2 | Lost | |
| BenficaPrimeira Liga | Home | 0–7 | Lost | |
| MaritimoPrimeira Liga | Away | 0–1 | Lost | |
| LeixoesFriendlies Clubs | Away | 2–6 | Lost | |
| Benfica BFriendlies Clubs | Away | 0–1 | Lost | |
| EstrelaFriendlies Clubs | Away | 2–1 | Won |
Scores shown from Casa Pia’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.
LAST 10 GAMES
Santa Clara recent form
1.70 goals scored and 0.60 conceded per game. 7 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| SC BragaPrimeira Liga | Home | 0–0 | Draw | |
| AroucaPrimeira Liga | Away | 2–1 | Won | |
| Rio AvePrimeira Liga | Home | 4–0 | Won | |
| AlvercaPrimeira Liga | Away | 1–1 | Draw | |
| FamalicaoPrimeira Liga | Home | 1–0 | Won | |
| Academico ViseuPrimeira Liga | Away | 1–0 | Won | |
| NacionalPrimeira Liga | Home | 2–2 | Draw | |
| AroucaFriendlies Clubs | Home | 3–0 | Won | |
| Felgueiras 1932Friendlies Clubs | Home | 1–1 | Draw | |
| MoreirenseFriendlies Clubs | Home | 2–1 | Won |
Scores shown from Santa Clara’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.
LEAGUE CONTEXT
Primeira Liga — current table
Season 2026 · Latest stored table, updated . Refresh delayed; showing the last available table. This table may include games played after this prediction was made.
Santa Clara are ranked 4 in Primeira Liga, with 15 points from 7 games.
Casa Pia are ranked 17 in Primeira Liga, with 4 points from 7 games.
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | FC Porto | 7 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 18 | 3 | 15 | 21 |
| 2 | Sporting CP | 8 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 20 | 9 | 11 | 18 |
| 3 | Benfica | 7 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 22 | 7 | 15 | 16 |
| 4 | Santa Clara | 7 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 11 | 4 | 7 | 15 |
| 5 | Arouca | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 10 | 7 | 3 | 11 |
| 6 | GIL Vicente | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 5 | 1 | 11 |
| 7 | SC Braga | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 8 | 8 | 0 | 11 |
| 8 | Academico Viseu | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 9 | 9 | 0 | 11 |
| 9 | Estrela | 7 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 14 | 14 | 0 | 10 |
| 10 | Alverca | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 9 | 11 | -2 | 8 |
| 11 | Maritimo | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 8 | 12 | -4 | 8 |
| 12 | Moreirense | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 8 | 15 | -7 | 8 |
| 13 | Famalicao | 7 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 9 | 7 | 2 | 7 |
| 14 | Vitória SC | 7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 8 | -3 | 5 |
| 15 | Nacional | 7 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 7 | 15 | -8 | 4 |
| 16 | Rio Ave | 7 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 5 | 15 | -10 | 4 |
| 17 | Casa Pia | 7 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 3 | 16 | -13 | 4 |
| 18 | Estoril | 7 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 3 | 10 | -7 | 2 |
P: played · W: wins · D: draws · L: losses · GF/GA: goals for/against · GD: goal difference · Pts: points. Highlighted rows identify this match’s teams.
About this prediction
We compare each team’s recent goals scored and conceded, giving more weight to recent games and the same home or away venue. A goal model then chooses double chance or Over 1.5 goals. Predictions can change before kickoff and are not guaranteed results. Live scores refresh every 5 seconds.