Tercera División RFEF - Group 17 · Group 17 - 5
Caspe3–2Épila
Real Scored · Match result
Match prediction · 4 October 2026
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THE PREDICTION
Our match outlook
Home or awayWon
Based on 10 previous home-team games and 10 previous away-team games. Small samples provide less evidence.
Prediction saved
Match information
- Competition
- Tercera División RFEF - Group 17
- Venue
- To be confirmed
- Status
- Match Finished
- Score
- 3–2
- 90-minute score
- 3–2
- Last updated
Goals and cards
Goals
Match events are not yet available.
Cards
Match events are not yet available.
Lineups
Lineups have not been supplied yet. Confirmed selections appear here when available.
Real Scored match analysis
Caspe vs Épila: match review and analysis
Caspe vs Épila in Tercera División RFEF - Group 17 on 4 October 2026 has finished at full time. The match goal score was 3–2. Review the team form and league context below.
Real Scored brings together the match information, available team results and current standings below. The saved pre-match selection is Home or away.
Caspe recorded 3 wins, 3 draws and 4 losses in the 10 games used here, scoring 13 and conceding 11. Épila recorded 5 wins, 2 draws and 3 losses, with 11 scored and 7 conceded across 10 games.
| Statistic | Caspe | Épila |
|---|---|---|
| Games | 10 | 10 |
| Wins | 3 | 5 |
| Draws | 3 | 2 |
| Losses | 4 | 3 |
| Goals scored | 13 | 11 |
| Goals conceded | 11 | 7 |
| Over 1.5 games | 8 | 5 |
Why this selection?
The calculation combines each team’s recent attacking record with the opposing defence. Newer games receive more weight, and results at the same home or away venue receive extra weight.
Caspe: (1.38 weighted goals scored + 0.82 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 1.10 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
Épila: (1.11 weighted goals scored + 1.09 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 1.10 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
The model favours a decisive result. Either side winning satisfies this selection; a draw does not. It ranked highest when comparing the three double-chance options with Over 1.5 using a Poisson goal model.
Model goals are estimates from past scores, not shot-based expected goals. These form records were saved with the prediction before kickoff. League position is context below and is not an input to this goal model. Injuries, lineups and odds are not included.
Recent results and goal trends
LAST 10 GAMES
Caspe recent form
1.30 goals scored and 1.10 conceded per game. 8 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BinéfarTercera División RFEF - Group 17 | Away | 2–2 | Draw | |
| Real Zaragoza IITercera División RFEF - Group 17 | Home | 1–1 | Draw | |
| Huesca IITercera División RFEF - Group 17 | Away | 0–1 | Lost | |
| Atlético MonzónTercera División RFEF - Group 17 | Home | 3–0 | Won | |
| CuarteTercera División RFEF - Group 17 | Away | 1–2 | Lost | |
| CuarteTercera División RFEF - Group 17 | Home | 1–1 | Draw | |
| UtrillasTercera División RFEF - Group 17 | Away | 2–1 | Won | |
| CDJ TamariteTercera División RFEF - Group 17 | Home | 1–2 | Lost | |
| Atlético MonzónTercera División RFEF - Group 17 | Away | 0–1 | Lost | |
| AlmudévarTercera División RFEF - Group 17 | Home | 2–0 | Won |
Scores shown from Caspe’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.
LAST 10 GAMES
Épila recent form
1.10 goals scored and 0.70 conceded per game. 5 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| La AlmuniaTercera División RFEF - Group 17 | Home | 1–3 | Lost | |
| CDJ TamariteTercera División RFEF - Group 17 | Away | 2–1 | Won | |
| Andorra CFTercera División RFEF - Group 17 | Home | 0–0 | Draw | |
| CD SietamoTercera División RFEF - Group 17 | Away | 2–0 | Won | |
| Atlético MonzónTercera División RFEF - Group 17 | Away | 0–1 | Lost | |
| Atlético MonzónTercera División RFEF - Group 17 | Home | 0–1 | Lost | |
| ZueraTercera División RFEF - Group 17 | Home | 1–1 | Draw | |
| La AlmuniaTercera División RFEF - Group 17 | Away | 1–0 | Won | |
| RobresTercera División RFEF - Group 17 | Home | 1–0 | Won | |
| Belchite 97Tercera División RFEF - Group 17 | Home | 3–0 | Won |
Scores shown from Épila’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.
LEAGUE CONTEXT
Tercera División RFEF - Group 17 — current table
Season 2026 · Latest stored table, updated . Refresh delayed; showing the last available table. This table may include games played after this prediction was made.
Caspe are ranked 6 in Tercera: Group 17, with 8 points from 5 games.
Épila are ranked 9 in Tercera: Group 17, with 7 points from 5 games.
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Real Zaragoza II | 5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 11 | 3 | 8 | 13 |
| 2 | Ejea | 5 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 4 | 5 | 12 |
| 3 | Brea | 5 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 9 | 2 | 7 | 11 |
| 4 | Atlético Monzón | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 7 | 1 | 10 |
| 5 | Cuarte | 5 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 6 | 5 | 9 |
| 6 | Caspe | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 9 | 6 | 3 | 8 |
| 7 | Fraga | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 4 | 2 | 8 |
| 8 | Binéfar | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 11 | 10 | 1 | 7 |
| 9 | Épila | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 7 | 7 | 0 | 7 |
| 10 | La Almunia | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 8 | 9 | -1 | 7 |
| 11 | Almudévar | 5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 7 | 6 | 1 | 6 |
| 12 | CDJ Tamarite | 5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 7 | 8 | -1 | 6 |
| 13 | Huesca II | 5 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 5 | -1 | 6 |
| 14 | Illueca | 5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 7 | -3 | 6 |
| 15 | CD Sietamo | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 7 | 10 | -3 | 4 |
| 16 | Andorra CF | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 10 | -6 | 4 |
| 17 | Robres | 5 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 6 | 13 | -7 | 1 |
| 18 | Belchite 97 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 13 | -11 | 1 |
P: played · W: wins · D: draws · L: losses · GF/GA: goals for/against · GD: goal difference · Pts: points. Highlighted rows identify this match’s teams.
About this prediction
We compare each team’s recent goals scored and conceded, giving more weight to recent games and the same home or away venue. A goal model then chooses double chance or Over 1.5 goals. Predictions can change before kickoff and are not guaranteed results. Live scores refresh every 5 seconds.